Expensive-Retrospectivity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$66

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.4%

Resolved

Trades

880

lifetime

Volume

$32.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 06-29 18:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Sports

65% 53% +$60

Crypto

32% 20% $-17

Other

2% 100% +$23

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	26	$16.0K	8,356	8,356	+0	open	—	06-22 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$845	581	560	+21	open	—	04-27 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$619	1,139	0	+1,139	open	—	05-19 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$589	408	393	+15	open	—	04-27 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$400	723	0	+723	open	—	04-27 05:35
btc updown 5m 1776511200	2	$387	260	252	+9	open	—	04-18 11:25
btc updown 5m 1780544400	2	$256	168	168	+0	open	—	06-04 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$221	145	145	+0	open	—	05-19 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$212	225	225	+0	open	—	05-19 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$197	131	131	+0	open	—	05-25 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	7	$195	130	130	+0	open	—	05-17 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$173	176	176	+0	open	—	05-19 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$171	172	153	+19	open	—	05-18 17:40
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?	6	$170	139	139	+0	open	—	05-24 15:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$169	355	0	+355	open	—	05-19 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$158	288	0	+288	open	—	05-17 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$156	292	0	+292	open	—	05-19 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$150	294	0	+294	open	—	05-19 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$148	280	0	+280	open	—	05-20 13:49
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 btts	4	$147	98	97	+1	open	—	04-19 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$145	290	0	+290	open	—	05-20 11:09
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5	4	$140	89	89	+0	No	+$39	05-10 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$139	257	0	+257	open	—	05-20 11:21
Thunder vs. Lakers	2	$139	87	87	+0	Thunder	+$35	05-12 05:24
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5	3	$138	85	85	+0	No	+$32	05-11 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$136	94	94	+0	open	—	05-25 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$128	240	0	+240	open	—	05-17 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$126	118	118	+0	open	—	05-20 18:05
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	3	$126	92	92	+0	open	—	05-18 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$125	88	88	+0	open	—	05-31 17:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 18:49:56	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Japan	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0xb12a07…
06-29 18:26:01	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xe4588c…
06-29 17:28:56	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	34	35¢	$12	0x427975…
06-23 04:48:44	btc updown 5m 1782190200	Up	BUY	35	52¢	$18	0x6610ae…
06-22 16:50:05	btc updown 5m 1782147000	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x35b003…
06-22 11:21:28	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	919	100¢	$914	0xa32fc1…
06-22 11:01:28	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0x7c0d3d…
06-22 10:45:55	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,763	100¢	$1,761	0x0ae91c…
06-22 00:26:44	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xa9eaf9…
06-21 18:29:40	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,596	100¢	$1,595	0xbaa36a…
06-21 18:06:26	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6dd8f5…
06-21 17:15:17	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	182	100¢	$182	0x0f52ce…
06-21 17:06:49	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	354	100¢	$354	0xdd2df9…
06-21 16:27:53	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xce85d8…
06-21 16:27:40	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x92e76a…
06-21 16:20:11	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x69d6a5…
06-21 16:19:29	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa67776…
06-21 16:13:25	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x118305…
06-21 15:09:40	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xa391d6…
06-21 13:32:59	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x5e7e43…
06-21 13:32:07	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9653aa…
06-21 13:31:55	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x99bdd7…
06-21 10:19:37	btc updown 5m 1782037200	Down	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0xdcb71d…
06-21 07:14:46	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	410	100¢	$410	0x01089a…
06-20 18:18:43	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 spread home 2pt5	Netherlands	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x800b1f…
06-20 17:27:13	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 spread home 2pt5	Netherlands	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xf0bbbe…
06-20 17:23:08	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 goals brian brobbey gte3	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x7d9f61…
06-20 17:22:55	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 btts	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x741665…
06-17 14:50:01	btc updown 5m 1781707800	Down	BUY	27	48¢	$13	0x5dec2a…
06-16 05:13:48	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xf501bc…
06-16 05:13:48	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	226	91¢	$206	0x74db07…
06-16 05:13:48	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	450	91¢	$410	0x40dc71…
06-16 05:04:57	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	28	91¢	$25	0x05121f…
06-16 04:59:18	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x658cc1…
06-16 04:54:54	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x494cab…
06-16 04:47:31	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x4dbff8…
06-16 04:02:00	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x70e217…
06-16 03:53:42	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	209	91¢	$190	0x1dcca4…
06-16 03:49:37	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	133	91¢	$121	0x112f9a…
06-16 03:32:52	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x1c58de…
06-16 03:31:37	wnba la gsv 2026 06 15	Los Angeles Sparks	BUY	192	3¢	$5	0xedb93b…
06-16 03:17:28	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	33	92¢	$31	0x3bbec6…
06-16 03:17:18	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	90	92¢	$83	0xaef956…
06-16 03:17:06	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,230	92¢	$4,812	0xd414bd…
06-16 03:12:42	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,743	91¢	$1,586	0x33d4b8…
06-16 03:06:19	Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	37	94¢	$35	0x7a74ab…
06-15 22:38:21	Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x8e0b48…
06-15 20:32:30	Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0xa88000…
06-15 17:57:37	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 corners odd even	Even	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0xd06b6d…
06-15 17:57:33	will cristiano ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	37	85¢	$31	0x6c02ce…
06-15 17:57:30	will lionel messi score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	35	89¢	$31	0x233483…
06-15 17:17:37	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0x6e47bc…
06-15 17:17:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	30	76¢	$23	0xedebec…
06-15 17:17:28	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	No	SELL	22	75¢	$17	0x9bd2a2…
06-15 16:58:09	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 corners odd even	Even	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0xfde0f3…
06-15 16:20:21	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 goals pedri gte1	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x5fccaf…
06-15 16:09:37	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xd818b9…
06-15 16:08:45	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x6b4d1d…
06-14 14:26:55	f1 catalunya grand prix driver podium antonelli 2026 06 14	Yes	SELL	27	90¢	$25	0xf9c5fa…
06-14 14:26:31	f1 catalunya grand prix driver podium antonelli 2026 06 14	Yes	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x5ac154…
06-13 15:51:21	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 btts	Yes	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x94cb77…
06-12 09:10:36	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xb48216…
06-12 06:10:06	will lionel messi score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x2d5ea5…
06-12 06:09:40	will cristiano ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x75ebb6…
06-12 06:02:58	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	No	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xc92792…
06-12 05:38:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xe82a7e…
06-12 04:53:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	26	80¢	$21	0x16e233…
06-11 20:32:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x7a06f6…
06-11 03:36:03	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x2b36cf…
06-11 03:14:45	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x32b813…
06-11 03:11:28	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd9742a…
06-11 03:09:58	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xeeb3e1…
06-08 17:46:01	btc updown 5m 1780940700	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0d3e91…
06-05 01:09:42	btc updown 5m 1780621800	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x3ecda4…
06-04 03:45:31	btc updown 5m 1780544400	Down	SELL	168	99¢	$166	0x1ada38…
06-04 03:39:54	btc updown 5m 1780544400	Down	BUY	168	53¢	$89	0x832555…
06-03 16:51:30	Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5	Over	BUY	75	73¢	$54	0x7dc9ac…
06-03 08:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x25c67c…
06-01 16:37:04	Birmingham: Coleman Wong vs Oliver Tarvet	Coleman Wong	BUY	60	61¢	$37	0x309d92…
06-01 16:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	37	48¢	$18	0x22a3f2…
06-01 16:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	37	52¢	$19	0xf644cb…
06-01 16:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	37	53¢	$19	0xb0aba5…
06-01 16:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xa852f6…
06-01 16:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x409500…
06-01 15:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	52¢	$13	0x768d14…
06-01 11:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd1f9ca…
06-01 11:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x27b012…
06-01 11:08:45	T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrain	Hong Kong, China	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xcb7007…
06-01 08:51:29	T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrain	Hong Kong, China	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x00aff6…
05-31 21:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x802984…
05-31 17:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	88	99¢	$87	0x7b98d0…
05-31 17:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	88	43¢	$38	0x1aa3f5…
05-31 17:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x88eee3…
05-31 16:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe16f36…
05-31 15:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x3f57a8…
05-31 15:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc32348…
05-31 14:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x67ed4c…
05-31 14:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0a523b…
05-31 14:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xd40c56…
05-30 19:12:04	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	258	43¢	$111	0x936ad5…