Expensive-Retrospectivity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$66

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.4%

Resolved

Trades

808

lifetime

Volume

$15.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 06-08 17:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 20% $-17

Sports

32% 53% +$60

Other

3% 100% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$845	581	560	+21	open	—	04-27 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$619	1,139	0	+1,139	open	—	05-19 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$589	408	393	+15	open	—	04-27 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$400	723	0	+723	open	—	04-27 05:35
btc updown 5m 1776511200	2	$387	260	252	+9	open	—	04-18 11:25
btc updown 5m 1780544400	2	$256	168	168	+0	open	—	06-04 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$221	145	145	+0	open	—	05-19 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$212	225	225	+0	open	—	05-19 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$197	131	131	+0	open	—	05-25 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	7	$195	130	130	+0	open	—	05-17 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$173	176	176	+0	open	—	05-19 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$171	172	153	+19	open	—	05-18 17:40
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?	6	$170	139	139	+0	open	—	05-24 15:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$169	355	0	+355	open	—	05-19 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$158	288	0	+288	open	—	05-17 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$156	292	0	+292	open	—	05-19 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$150	294	0	+294	open	—	05-19 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$148	280	0	+280	open	—	05-20 13:49
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 btts	4	$147	98	97	+1	open	—	04-19 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$145	290	0	+290	open	—	05-20 11:09
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5	4	$140	89	89	+0	No	+$39	05-10 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$139	257	0	+257	open	—	05-20 11:21
Thunder vs. Lakers	2	$139	87	87	+0	Thunder	+$35	05-12 05:24
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5	3	$138	85	85	+0	No	+$32	05-11 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$136	94	94	+0	open	—	05-25 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$128	240	0	+240	open	—	05-17 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$126	118	118	+0	open	—	05-20 18:05
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	3	$126	92	92	+0	open	—	05-18 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$125	88	88	+0	open	—	05-31 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$124	275	0	+275	open	—	05-18 11:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 17:46:01	btc updown 5m 1780940700	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0d3e91…
06-05 01:09:42	btc updown 5m 1780621800	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x3ecda4…
06-04 03:45:31	btc updown 5m 1780544400	Down	SELL	168	99¢	$166	0x1ada38…
06-04 03:39:54	btc updown 5m 1780544400	Down	BUY	168	53¢	$89	0x832555…
06-03 16:51:30	Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5	Over	BUY	75	73¢	$54	0x7dc9ac…
06-03 08:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x25c67c…
06-01 16:37:04	Birmingham: Coleman Wong vs Oliver Tarvet	Coleman Wong	BUY	60	61¢	$37	0x309d92…
06-01 16:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	37	48¢	$18	0x22a3f2…
06-01 16:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	37	52¢	$19	0xf644cb…
06-01 16:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	37	53¢	$19	0xb0aba5…
06-01 16:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xa852f6…
06-01 16:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x409500…
06-01 15:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	52¢	$13	0x768d14…
06-01 11:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd1f9ca…
06-01 11:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x27b012…
06-01 11:08:45	T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrain	Hong Kong, China	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xcb7007…
06-01 08:51:29	T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrain	Hong Kong, China	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x00aff6…
05-31 21:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x802984…
05-31 17:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	88	99¢	$87	0x7b98d0…
05-31 17:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	88	43¢	$38	0x1aa3f5…
05-31 17:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x88eee3…
05-31 16:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe16f36…
05-31 15:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x3f57a8…
05-31 15:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc32348…
05-31 14:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x67ed4c…
05-31 14:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0a523b…
05-31 14:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xd40c56…
05-30 19:12:04	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	258	43¢	$111	0x936ad5…
05-28 11:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x86745a…
05-26 09:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0xda34a1…
05-26 09:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8032c7…
05-26 09:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x69289b…
05-26 09:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6d2a88…
05-26 08:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5e0ccc…
05-26 07:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8392cc…
05-25 18:33:58	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xb0ca09…
05-25 18:33:21	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	27	47¢	$13	0xcca1eb…
05-25 17:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x76060b…
05-25 15:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xc2a06b…
05-25 15:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0b9ab3…
05-25 15:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x9b47ea…
05-25 15:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x29bf52…
05-25 15:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	36	53¢	$19	0x7d217a…
05-25 13:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0x89a4fe…
05-25 12:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x6c14a2…
05-25 12:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x1604a9…
05-25 03:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x6cb5e3…
05-25 03:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	131	99¢	$130	0x370a47…
05-25 03:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	131	51¢	$67	0x1ee0b6…
05-25 02:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	94	99¢	$93	0x21c6c7…
05-25 02:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	94	45¢	$42	0x25db3b…
05-25 02:48:14	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5	No	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x11bb1c…
05-24 19:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x6b7a24…
05-24 19:10:54	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	Over	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x361980…
05-24 19:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xb5b63e…
05-24 19:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	38	61¢	$23	0x007e42…
05-24 19:05:39	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	Over	SELL	48	51¢	$24	0x50052f…
05-24 18:38:49	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	Over	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xee22f0…
05-24 18:38:42	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5	Yes	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x06c559…
05-24 18:38:33	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5	No	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x7a1520…
05-24 18:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x9e0da5…
05-24 18:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x32623e…
05-24 15:36:47	English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?	Yes	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0x0db854…
05-24 15:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x553a8d…
05-24 15:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x1dc742…
05-24 15:16:19	English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?	Yes	SELL	33	50¢	$17	0x41c80f…
05-24 14:56:29	English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?	Yes	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xe6d699…
05-24 10:33:34	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	77	14¢	$11	0x284465…
05-23 03:02:50	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	133	8¢	$11	0x4ea6e6…
05-20 18:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	86	51¢	$44	0x3faf26…
05-20 18:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0x28912c…
05-20 18:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0xd608be…
05-20 18:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	72	30¢	$22	0x578854…
05-20 17:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	72	54¢	$39	0x49a522…
05-20 13:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	280	53¢	$148	0xaa5fe5…
05-20 13:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x958a37…
05-20 13:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	112	45¢	$50	0x81e4af…
05-20 11:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	257	54¢	$139	0xb1e6b3…
05-20 11:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	290	50¢	$145	0x6abac0…
05-20 11:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xbcf76b…
05-20 11:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf8fce1…
05-20 11:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x3990b1…
05-20 10:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x1d0978…
05-20 06:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x4af0bc…
05-20 04:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x188ca7…
05-19 16:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x919b78…
05-19 15:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xbfe4c1…
05-19 15:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x9a8e62…
05-19 15:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	145	99¢	$144	0x47ec84…
05-19 14:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	145	53¢	$77	0x1c892f…
05-19 14:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	176	47¢	$82	0x3211e1…
05-19 14:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	176	51¢	$90	0x6979d6…
05-19 14:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	225	43¢	$97	0xb361af…
05-19 14:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	225	51¢	$115	0x4f307f…
05-19 14:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	86	47¢	$40	0x7b41e6…
05-19 14:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x814b72…
05-19 14:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x430a48…
05-19 14:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xa99db1…
05-19 14:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xe541d1…
05-19 14:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xafb3f5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	328	$418.7K	12,663	06-08 17:50
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	317	$123.0K	16,217	06-08 17:49
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	300	$96.5K	13,230	06-08 17:49
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	286	$86.0K	25,578	06-08 17:49
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	286	$82.7K	24,574	06-08 17:49
Colorless-Camp 0x0748…92a1	283	$54.9K	10,083	06-05 01:14
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	283	$30.7K	3,331	06-08 17:49
Those-Billion 0xb6bd…9b7e	282	$25.2K	3,243	06-08 17:48