Metallic-Hybridization-Meteorology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 05-20 22:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

53% — —

Politics

37% 100% +$24

Tech

7% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	7	$674	452	452	+0	open	—	05-16 22:20
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	7	$622	619	619	+0	open	—	05-20 17:39
Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April?	3	$397	207	207	+0	open	—	05-01 05:08
James Comey arrested by April 29?	2	$337	197	197	+0	open	—	04-29 17:46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$275	158	158	+0	No	+$13	04-29 12:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$262	149	149	+0	open	—	04-28 15:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$261	158	158	+0	open	—	04-27 16:41
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$252	133	133	+0	open	—	04-27 16:28
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$212	128	128	+0	No	+$12	05-05 23:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	3	$197	124	124	+0	open	—	04-26 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$65	74	74	+0	open	—	05-20 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$30	41	0	+41	open	—	05-20 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-20 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	05-20 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-20 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$1	11	0	+11	open	—	04-28 15:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 22:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa8c934…
05-20 22:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0xd9244b…
05-20 22:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xd4f5bf…
05-20 22:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	40	86¢	$35	0x9b36f9…
05-20 22:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x556a3d…
05-20 22:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0xdb7233…
05-20 22:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x08267c…
05-20 21:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xffd8b8…
05-20 21:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb6662a…
05-20 21:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x87eb44…
05-20 17:39:29	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x04ef1b…
05-20 17:37:19	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	352	40¢	$141	0xf583b8…
05-20 14:40:40	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	365	39¢	$141	0xebeb88…
05-20 14:33:36	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	179	62¢	$112	0x91b6cf…
05-20 06:04:04	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	76	79¢	$60	0xd51568…
05-19 22:23:26	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	75	85¢	$64	0x9bfc78…
05-16 22:20:42	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	128	81¢	$104	0x3c44ee…
05-12 21:30:07	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xf2ecba…
05-12 21:29:41	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	128	78¢	$100	0x9cbb19…
05-12 14:09:49	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	66	77¢	$51	0xc0d296…
05-05 23:09:32	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	171	65¢	$112	0x6c3fb2…
05-05 23:07:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	128	87¢	$112	0x62c1e2…
05-05 06:23:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x1f4ecc…
05-05 06:21:06	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	130	76¢	$99	0x5aad20…
05-01 10:15:10	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	250	75¢	$188	0x013b2b…
05-01 05:58:02	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0xf7aecf…
05-01 05:08:12	Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April?	No	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0xdd7a5d…
05-01 03:30:06	Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April?	No	SELL	154	100¢	$154	0xff19a1…
04-30 01:27:14	Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April?	No	BUY	207	92¢	$190	0x2c75a2…
04-29 17:46:56	James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	SELL	197	98¢	$193	0x2e7df7…
04-29 12:55:24	James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	BUY	197	73¢	$144	0x323e42…
04-29 12:54:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	158	91¢	$144	0xed0f33…
04-28 15:50:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	158	83¢	$131	0xcd11f9…
04-28 15:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x715180…
04-28 15:35:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	149	89¢	$133	0xbe7e7c…
04-27 16:42:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	149	87¢	$130	0x7d1cc8…
04-27 16:41:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	158	82¢	$130	0xa23c0f…
04-27 16:33:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	158	83¢	$131	0x7e0f88…
04-27 16:28:06	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	133	99¢	$131	0xd38054…
04-26 16:36:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	91¢	$121	0x9f56fb…
04-26 16:36:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	124	98¢	$121	0x17cb45…
04-20 18:16:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0xff3dec…
04-20 18:00:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	95	60¢	$57	0xaa4a65…