Upset-Warden — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.0%

Resolved

586

Trades

5,397

lifetime

Volume

$278.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 07-17 10:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Other

100% 70% +$12,977

Crypto

0% 40% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 6?	62	$6.4K	3,754	3,754	+0	No	+$1,060	06-06 08:28
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 1?	22	$5.7K	2,854	2,854	+0	No	+$39	07-01 06:24
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 2?	28	$5.0K	2,749	2,749	-0	No	-$31	07-02 05:15
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 21?	23	$3.5K	1,753	1,752	+0	No	+$34	06-21 03:38
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on June 6?	21	$3.4K	1,769	1,769	-0	Yes	+$97	06-06 10:07
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on July 2?	13	$3.2K	1,715	1,715	+0	No	+$179	07-02 03:16
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 24?	21	$3.2K	1,646	1,646	+0	No	+$104	06-24 04:06
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 14?	189	$3.2K	1,686	1,685	+0	Yes	+$214	06-14 11:17
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 22?	63	$2.9K	1,712	1,712	+0	No	+$346	06-22 08:22
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 27?	79	$2.7K	1,721	1,717	+4	Yes	+$602	04-27 09:39
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?	33	$2.7K	1,393	1,393	+0	No	+$72	06-16 07:35
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 14?	33	$2.7K	1,545	1,545	+0	No	+$436	06-14 08:17
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 17?	30	$2.6K	1,511	1,511	+0	Yes	+$306	06-17 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or below on June 13?	32	$2.6K	1,346	1,346	+0	No	+$107	06-13 07:28
highest temperature in shanghai on april 20 2026 19c	52	$2.6K	1,505	1,552	-47	Yes	+$18	04-20 08:03
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 4?	18	$2.5K	1,286	1,286	+0	Yes	+$66	06-04 10:50
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 9?	38	$2.5K	1,318	1,318	+0	No	+$175	06-09 08:12
highest temperature in chengdu on april 19 2026 29c	51	$2.4K	1,646	1,672	-26	No	+$680	04-19 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 5?	11	$2.4K	1,270	1,270	+0	No	+$111	05-05 07:06
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 29?	56	$2.4K	1,420	1,420	+0	No	+$231	05-29 10:03
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 3?	8	$2.4K	1,197	1,197	+0	No	+$34	06-03 04:18
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 14?	41	$2.3K	1,238	1,238	+0	No	+$149	06-14 07:33
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on May 1?	32	$2.3K	1,231	1,231	+0	Yes	+$132	05-01 11:45
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on June 7?	17	$2.3K	1,150	1,150	+0	No	+$41	06-06 17:14
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 5?	2	$2.1K	1,080	1,080	+0	No	+$12	06-05 07:01
highest temperature in chengdu on april 19 2026 30c	18	$2.1K	1,113	1,160	-48	Yes	+$202	04-19 07:32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 19?	9	$2.0K	1,084	1,084	+0	No	+$147	06-19 05:36
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?	18	$2.0K	1,035	1,035	+0	No	+$92	07-03 08:05
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 29?	17	$2.0K	1,054	1,051	+3	No	+$89	06-29 08:36
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 1?	21	$2.0K	1,634	1,634	+0	No	+$59	07-01 07:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 10:37:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or below on July 17?	Yes	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x86d216…
07-17 09:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or below on July 17?	Yes	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x207f62…
07-05 09:25:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 5?	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x9722be…
07-05 08:50:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 5?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc63a73…
07-05 08:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x2b542e…
07-05 08:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	16	24¢	$4	0x823240…
07-05 08:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0xb175c2…
07-05 08:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0x3c37b6…
07-03 10:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	163	94¢	$153	0xa2cf05…
07-03 08:05:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xf7e935…
07-03 08:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xf1fc4d…
07-03 08:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x84b773…
07-03 08:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0xb24c66…
07-03 08:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x76b8bd…
07-03 08:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x49c010…
07-03 08:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x084792…
07-03 08:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?	No	SELL	384	100¢	$384	0xd5b3a6…
07-03 08:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2be1b0…
07-03 08:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?	No	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0x7f540b…
07-03 07:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?	No	BUY	357	97¢	$347	0xbd66ae…
07-03 07:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x8cf947…
07-03 07:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xadf3b7…
07-03 07:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf4a52e…
07-03 07:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?	No	BUY	26	80¢	$21	0xd35ff5…
07-03 07:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?	No	BUY	597	88¢	$524	0x8c7516…
07-03 07:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$9	0x61df2d…
07-03 07:58:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4dcd45…
07-03 07:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?	No	SELL	270	1¢	$3	0x19560d…
07-03 06:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x5d9a92…
07-03 05:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?	No	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x1870cd…
07-03 05:59:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?	No	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xf702e1…
07-03 05:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x88bc36…
07-03 05:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?	No	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xfbfce8…
07-03 05:40:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?	No	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x5b8849…
07-03 05:36:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?	No	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x12e1d3…
07-03 05:34:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xf2ce0d…
07-03 05:29:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfa9c7e…
07-03 05:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 3?	No	SELL	536	100¢	$536	0x521612…
07-03 04:59:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 3?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xd337e0…
07-03 04:57:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xfe4377…
07-03 04:57:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?	No	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xdb2c71…
07-03 04:54:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 3?	No	BUY	436	86¢	$375	0xffe732…
07-03 04:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?	No	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x78f0ff…
07-03 04:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 3?	No	BUY	47	75¢	$36	0x7b3b27…
07-03 04:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x3f089d…
07-03 04:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 3?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x2618c7…
07-03 04:34:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?	No	BUY	26	63¢	$17	0x8c7536…
07-03 04:31:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?	No	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x661476…
07-03 04:28:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?	No	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x7bf196…
07-03 04:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?	No	BUY	55	89¢	$49	0x04be86…
07-03 04:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5aa3ba…
07-03 04:14:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?	No	BUY	48	76¢	$36	0x382bce…
07-03 04:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xcfbc35…
07-03 04:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?	No	SELL	67	98¢	$65	0x810449…
07-03 03:57:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?	No	BUY	67	89¢	$59	0xfb97e6…
07-03 03:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 3?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xbdb587…
07-03 03:25:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x649c65…
07-03 03:24:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 3?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe6cb99…
07-03 03:05:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 3?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x427e84…
07-03 03:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 3?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0b91a0…
07-03 02:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 3?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$41	0xeaa9c1…
07-02 08:59:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 2?	Yes	SELL	235	1¢	$1	0x797809…
07-02 08:20:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 2?	No	SELL	482	100¢	$482	0xcd2221…
07-02 07:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 2?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x2a71aa…
07-02 07:56:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 2?	No	SELL	134	61¢	$82	0x76a31a…
07-02 07:54:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 2?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xbc41f1…
07-02 07:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 2?	No	BUY	18	80¢	$14	0x96cf52…
07-02 07:54:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 2?	No	BUY	41	90¢	$37	0x350b1a…
07-02 07:53:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 2?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x2657ee…
07-02 07:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 2?	Yes	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0xac189b…
07-02 07:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 2?	Yes	BUY	209	81¢	$169	0x1dca12…
07-02 07:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 2?	Yes	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x064a99…
07-02 07:53:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 2?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x30ec56…
07-02 07:53:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 2?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xccf31e…
07-02 07:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 2?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xedb5e9…
07-02 07:29:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 2?	No	BUY	131	98¢	$129	0xbfa22d…
07-02 07:29:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 2?	No	BUY	97	97¢	$94	0x2109dc…
07-02 07:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 2?	No	BUY	131	96¢	$125	0x9c85ce…
07-02 07:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 2?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xfe0cd1…
07-02 07:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 2?	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0xedf7e6…
07-02 07:26:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 2?	No	BUY	81	88¢	$72	0x0b2a12…
07-02 06:38:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	No	SELL	722	100¢	$721	0x6bd295…
07-02 06:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x141b8b…
07-02 06:31:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	No	BUY	559	99¢	$553	0xd100d8…
07-02 06:31:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x0dabc9…
07-02 06:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	No	BUY	115	64¢	$74	0x4c11e6…
07-02 06:29:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	No	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0x8134bb…
07-02 06:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 2?	No	SELL	649	100¢	$649	0xaff0aa…
07-02 06:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 2?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe2c937…
07-02 06:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 2?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x6813bb…
07-02 06:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 2?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x781ebe…
07-02 06:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 2?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x48408b…
07-02 06:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 2?	No	BUY	459	97¢	$447	0x2c5a80…
07-02 05:58:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 2?	No	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xb7489d…
07-02 05:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?	Yes	SELL	212	100¢	$211	0xfc5651…
07-02 05:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?	Yes	SELL	406	100¢	$406	0xd4f007…
07-02 05:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?	Yes	SELL	162	100¢	$162	0x8d4d29…
07-02 05:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc6d0bd…
07-02 05:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 2?	No	SELL	462	100¢	$462	0x571478…
07-02 05:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 2?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xff070c…