Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$149

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.6%

Resolved

Trades

164

lifetime

Volume

$959

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-22

last 10-10 01:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

49% 16% -$88

Tech

32% 67% -$43

Politics

12% 33% -$22

Crypto

5% 100% +$0

Sports

3% 67% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the next claude opus model be released by september 22 2026	7	$253	161	160	+1	Yes	+$1	09-22 03:59
Clavicular in jail by September 30?	3	$76	40	40	+0	No	+$0	09-22 21:00
cnn politico or ms now unbanned from white house by september 30	12	$54	99	99	+0	Yes	-$2	09-24 05:13
will the next gpt sol model 5pt7 debut at a score of at least 1460 by june 30 2027	2	$44	40	40	+0	No	+$0	09-22 01:50
next openai gpt luna 5pt7 released by september 27 2026	1	$44	80	0	+80	Yes	-$44	09-22 04:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	4	$39	40	40	+0	No	+$0	09-22 19:11
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	2	$38	40	40	+0	No	-$5	09-23 12:37
Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31?	3	$27	84	84	+0	No	-$15	09-25 20:22
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	2	$25	40	40	+0	open	—	09-24 10:09
Republican Senate odds hit 50% by October 31?	2	$20	40	40	+0	No	-$11	09-25 20:22
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?	2	$20	40	40	+0	open	—	09-25 20:22
Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?	2	$20	40	40	+0	No	-$11	09-25 20:22
Will the NBA announce an expansion team in Las Vegas by October 9, 2026?	3	$17	12	12	+0	No	+$5	10-10 01:10
will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 27 million views this week 20260929	6	$16	117	0	+117	No	-$16	09-25 17:55
Will world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026?	2	$15	40	40	+0	open	—	09-23 17:09
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	3	$13	54	54	+0	open	—	09-22 19:23
Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?	6	$13	60	60	+0	Yes	-$1	09-25 17:53
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 22?	1	$13	160	0	+160	No	-$13	09-22 05:28
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	2	$12	20	20	+0	open	—	09-24 00:31
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $180 in September?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	$0	09-26 01:15
over 5m committed to the jumper public sale	8	$10	64	60	+4	Yes	-$2	09-25 20:14
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	2	$10	20	20	+0	No	+$0	09-22 06:01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?	3	$9	19	19	+0	open	—	10-10 01:10
will clavicular be arrested by september 30	1	$9	40	0	+40	No	-$9	09-22 05:31
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	1	$9	20	0	+20	Yes	-$9	09-23 17:26
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?	3	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	10-10 01:09
will msft dip to 495 in september 2026 from september 25	4	$8	40	40	+0	No	-$3	09-25 18:05
wti up or down on september 22 2026	2	$7	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	09-22 06:16
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	3	$7	22	22	+0	Yes	+$3	10-10 01:10
over 4m committed to the jumper public sale	4	$6	38	38	+0	Yes	-$3	09-25 19:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 01:10:38	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x6d2e76…
10-10 01:10:32	Will the NBA announce an expansion team in Las Vegas by October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x7847a3…
10-10 01:10:23	Will the NBA announce an expansion team in Las Vegas by October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0xb4365a…
10-10 01:10:16	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	SELL	22	23¢	$5	0x4e331d…
10-10 01:10:08	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?	Yes	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0xe07c1f…
10-10 01:10:02	Will the NBA announce an expansion team in Las Vegas by November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x9e489f…
10-10 01:09:53	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x4e19dc…
10-10 01:09:46	SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x882622…
10-10 01:09:41	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x07241b…
10-10 01:09:37	Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x82fc0b…
10-10 01:09:31	Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xa1fa33…
10-02 20:05:24	Will the NBA announce an expansion team in Las Vegas by November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x0f8179…
10-02 20:05:23	Will the NBA announce an expansion team in Las Vegas by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xb9bbb2…
09-30 12:37:26	will the nba announce an expansion team in las vegas by october 30 2026	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x7d32ed…
09-30 12:37:24	will the nba announce an expansion team in las vegas by october 9 2026	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x039d22…
09-26 10:04:20	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $40 in September?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xc89c14…
09-26 01:15:03	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $180 in September?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x68e10e…
09-26 01:15:02	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $180 in September?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xddf54c…
09-25 23:14:23	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x2b9496…
09-25 21:09:23	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x7c5416…
09-25 20:52:44	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x9bc63c…
09-25 20:49:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x9a85d6…
09-25 20:22:35	Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?	Yes	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0xd9f0ec…
09-25 20:22:33	Republican Senate odds hit 50% by October 31?	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0xe9483c…
09-25 20:22:32	Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31?	Yes	SELL	84	7¢	$6	0xb1275b…
09-25 20:22:30	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0x043fcb…
09-25 20:15:14	over 3m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x22230e…
09-25 20:14:39	over 5m committed to the jumper public sale	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x45eebc…
09-25 20:14:38	over 5m committed to the jumper public sale	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x2936fe…
09-25 20:14:35	over 5m committed to the jumper public sale	No	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x35dd59…
09-25 19:47:09	over 5m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x35123d…
09-25 19:39:27	state d4 drought 2026 09 29 or	No	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x2deb2d…
09-25 19:38:47	over 4m committed to the jumper public sale	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x3d3e28…
09-25 19:17:00	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x963ff6…
09-25 18:53:57	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x979a8a…
09-25 18:53:17	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-25 House seat?	No	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xc34ab6…
09-25 18:52:42	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-25 House seat?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xf6100f…
09-25 18:51:48	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-25 House seat?	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xa65e73…
09-25 18:51:33	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xbc29b0…
09-25 18:22:38	SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xb0ee19…
09-25 18:22:35	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xfa537e…
09-25 18:22:33	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xe75b2d…
09-25 18:22:32	over 5m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x9d7eaf…
09-25 18:22:30	over 4m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x99f24b…
09-25 18:10:45	over 4m committed to the jumper public sale	No	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x24638e…
09-25 18:05:48	Will Haven be the fewest played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xfecc11…
09-25 18:05:47	over 5m committed to the jumper public sale	No	SELL	24	8¢	$2	0x93acd8…
09-25 18:05:47	Will "Riot" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x431e86…
09-25 18:05:45	Will Qwen have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 21?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xaffffc…
09-25 18:05:45	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 30 million views this week 20260929	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x4567e1…
09-25 18:05:44	will msft dip to 495 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xbd013e…
09-25 18:02:50	Will Haven be the fewest played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x99b65d…
09-25 18:02:41	Will “If I Don't Leave I'm Gonna Stay” by Carly Pearce and Riley Green win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x6b0c03…
09-25 18:02:39	Will Haven be the fewest played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xef808e…
09-25 18:01:23	Will "The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xa4b142…
09-25 18:01:06	will china or chinese be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260930	No	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xabb298…
09-25 18:01:00	over 5m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1e2f65…
09-25 18:00:42	over 4m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0xe09b53…
09-25 18:00:41	over 5m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0x96f507…
09-25 18:00:08	Will “Raindance” by Dave and Tems win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf68ae3…
09-25 17:59:42	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x431852…
09-25 17:59:27	Will “Raindance” by Dave and Tems win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1e32ae…
09-25 17:58:44	will msft dip to 495 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xe78b94…
09-25 17:58:38	Will “Raindance” by Dave and Tems win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x4f5389…
09-25 17:58:35	Will “I Knew It, I Knew You” by Taylor Swift win Single of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0x19696a…
09-25 17:58:33	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xc0a6e8…
09-25 17:58:32	Will "Riot" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x487613…
09-25 17:58:30	Will “Raindance” by Dave and Tems win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x37198b…
09-25 17:58:30	Will “Raindance” by Dave and Tems win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x316366…
09-25 17:58:26	Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x77a3bc…
09-25 17:58:26	Will "A Minecraft Movie" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x33e81e…
09-25 17:58:23	Will "A Minecraft Movie" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0xe0edb9…
09-25 17:58:23	Will "Jo Koy: Blue in the Face" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x40aecf…
09-25 17:58:18	will msft dip to 495 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x221128…
09-25 17:56:30	Will “I Knew It, I Knew You” by Taylor Swift win Single of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x3c9379…
09-25 17:56:29	Will “Raindance” by Dave and Tems win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xdbfd72…
09-25 17:55:47	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 27 million views this week 20260929	Yes	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0xa226f5…
09-25 17:55:27	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 27 million views this week 20260929	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x835619…
09-25 17:55:08	will china or chinese be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260930	No	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x5c911f…
09-25 17:54:42	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0xc0a6bd…
09-25 17:54:41	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 27 million views this week 20260929	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x3f41fc…
09-25 17:54:09	Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0xd4b65e…
09-25 17:54:08	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 27 million views this week 20260929	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x321049…
09-25 17:53:50	Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?	No	SELL	60	10¢	$6	0x7b2f7c…
09-25 17:53:47	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 27 million views this week 20260929	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x183cae…
09-25 17:53:27	Will “Lover Girl” by Megan Thee Stallion win Best Hip-Hop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x64ebbc…
09-25 17:53:08	Will “Lover Girl” by Megan Thee Stallion win Best Hip-Hop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x792fe3…
09-25 17:52:30	Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x69919a…
09-25 17:52:29	Will DeepSeek be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xb20aed…
09-25 17:52:27	Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?	No	BUY	15	10¢	$1	0x2b52b0…
09-25 17:52:09	Will “If I Don't Leave I'm Gonna Stay” by Carly Pearce and Riley Green win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x377a99…
09-25 17:52:08	Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xf594d7…
09-25 17:51:50	Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?	No	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x00d02c…
09-25 17:51:36	will experimental be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260930	Yes	BUY	29	8¢	$2	0xdc9c21…
09-25 17:51:36	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 30 million views this week 20260929	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2980b8…
09-25 17:51:33	Will Qwen have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 21?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xf83bdf…
09-25 17:51:32	will msft dip to 495 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x5e39db…
09-25 17:51:29	Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?	No	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0xb8aaf8…
09-25 17:51:29	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 27 million views this week 20260929	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x0379ea…
09-24 10:09:11	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	21¢	$8	0xa25248…