Formal-Offence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$278

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-09 16:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 60% $-19

Other

3% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	6	$28	18	18	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	4	$23	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	3	$23	13	13	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$21	16	16	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	6	$19	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	3	$17	19	5	+14	Down	$-7	05-09 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	7	$14	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	4	$13	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	8	$11	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$10	9	9	+0	Down	$-2	05-09 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	3	$9	18	4	+14	Up	$-7	05-09 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	4	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 16:00
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	05-09 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	Down	$-7	05-09 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	4	$7	8	0	+8	Up	$-7	05-09 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	5	$5	17	2	+14	Up	$-1	05-09 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Down	$-1	05-09 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$2	3	2	+2	Up	$-2	05-09 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	$-2	05-09 15:40
Thunder vs. Lakers	2	$2	4	4	+0	Thunder	$-0	05-09 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Up	$-1	05-09 14:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 16:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x13adea…
05-09 16:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfa5e15…
05-09 16:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xcf92b3…
05-09 16:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x38b754…
05-09 16:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x5f6042…
05-09 16:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf57859…
05-09 16:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x28130f…
05-09 16:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x673ccb…
05-09 16:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc62ef9…
05-09 16:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4d2f83…
05-09 16:28:46	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xb0311a…
05-09 16:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xf47837…
05-09 16:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x536a3f…
05-09 16:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x78cf41…
05-09 16:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x15ef5d…
05-09 16:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1f2ee2…
05-09 16:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xa911ae…
05-09 16:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x65b6b1…
05-09 16:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x28768e…
05-09 16:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x53d51e…
05-09 16:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xe0c367…
05-09 16:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x82767d…
05-09 16:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4280d4…
05-09 16:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0xe49571…
05-09 16:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf48461…
05-09 16:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xc0ad81…
05-09 16:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9c8c95…
05-09 16:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x4a8a15…
05-09 16:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x4c30ce…
05-09 16:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe508f6…
05-09 15:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xef9cc5…
05-09 15:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x6a4181…
05-09 15:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9c8e18…
05-09 15:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0c72e4…
05-09 15:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x153cfc…
05-09 15:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xcffb76…
05-09 15:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x31c5b8…
05-09 15:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xdd92fc…
05-09 15:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xa62f7f…
05-09 15:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x4c21a0…
05-09 15:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5367d2…
05-09 15:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x00d496…
05-09 15:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x4cb5b4…
05-09 15:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x27648b…
05-09 15:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x70a872…
05-09 15:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x112475…
05-09 15:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xd9df9d…
05-09 15:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x78649a…
05-09 15:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	93¢	$3	0xb49b2f…
05-09 15:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x220df2…
05-09 15:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0xb28ef3…
05-09 15:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9ab33e…
05-09 15:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xcf00d4…
05-09 15:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xfa99df…
05-09 15:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x5aaeee…
05-09 15:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xbd5ed2…
05-09 15:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x43b228…
05-09 15:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xe97442…
05-09 15:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x459155…
05-09 15:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x2757f5…
05-09 15:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x804f98…
05-09 15:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x97c400…
05-09 15:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0xeb83e8…
05-09 15:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x48b5cc…
05-09 15:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9cbe2e…
05-09 15:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x54389b…
05-09 15:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0b51fe…
05-09 15:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x450ae7…
05-09 15:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x3f6784…
05-09 15:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x64d640…
05-09 15:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xd0d0b2…
05-09 15:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x38f2e9…
05-09 15:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xb60016…
05-09 15:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa65bf4…
05-09 15:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x0f07a0…
05-09 15:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x48d457…
05-09 14:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x5638b9…
05-09 14:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xd57458…
05-09 14:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x22cbb1…
05-09 14:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xed8483…
05-09 14:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xdb899a…
05-09 14:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x5df4f3…
05-09 14:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xcfabcb…
05-09 14:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x1bfb60…
05-09 14:42:10	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$5	0x371662…
05-09 14:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb2a100…
05-09 14:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xa658b5…
05-09 14:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x734bce…
05-09 14:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb0abe1…
05-08 23:47:43	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5afda3…
05-08 23:42:51	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x198e8a…