Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$431

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-06

last 09-13 18:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

54% 47% -$140

Crypto

31% 67% -$170

Politics

15% 29% -$122

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	3	$528	397	397	+0	Yes	+$122	09-09 04:10
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	13	$499	313	313	+0	Yes	+$102	09-07 14:10
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	4	$408	230	230	+0	No	+$4	09-08 04:27
Will Trump say "Department of War" during remarks at the Pentagon?	2	$404	265	265	+0	No	+$4	09-11 08:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$378	209	209	+0	Up	+$28	09-08 14:48
FC Andorra vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: Both Teams to Score	1	$260	566	0	+566	Yes	-$260	09-12 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	3	$225	352	0	+352	Up	-$225	09-12 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$150	185	0	+185	Down	+$35	09-08 14:38
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)	1	$132	176	0	+176	Noskova	-$132	09-08 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$124	154	0	+154	Up	+$29	09-08 14:12
Will Trump say "Honor" 2+ times during remarks at Steel Across America?	2	$124	78	78	+0	Yes	+$24	09-08 15:18
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	4	$121	316	0	+316	No	-$121	09-08 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	3	$119	70	70	+0	Down	+$19	09-08 15:29
Will the announcers say "Late Hit" during the Patriots vs Seahawks game?	2	$96	176	0	+176	No	+$80	09-09 21:58
Will the announcers say "Safety" during the Cardinals vs Chargers game?	7	$95	246	246	+0	Yes	-$29	09-12 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	3	$75	117	0	+117	Up	+$42	09-12 10:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$73	116	55	+61	Down	-$27	09-08 16:07
Will Andy Burnham say "Budget" during the next PMQ?	1	$70	100	0	+100	Yes	+$30	09-08 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$64	43	43	+0	Up	+$6	09-13 18:34
Will Chewy say "Loyalty" during earnings call?	2	$60	133	0	+133	Yes	+$73	09-08 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$56	32	32	+0	Up	+$6	09-08 15:49
Will Trump say "European Union" or "EU" during his bilateral meeting with the Taoiseach of Ireland?	4	$52	280	0	+280	No	-$52	09-12 10:52
Will Macy's say "Headwind" during earnings call?	1	$50	93	0	+93	Yes	+$43	09-09 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$50	89	0	+89	Up	-$50	09-12 11:22
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention (Night 1)?	1	$50	91	0	+91	No	-$50	09-09 21:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$37	407	0	+407	Up	-$37	09-13 18:45
Will Macy's say "Automation" during earnings call?	1	$35	74	0	+74	Yes	+$39	09-09 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$34	38	0	+38	Up	+$4	09-13 18:37
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 1.5	1	$32	400	0	+400	Over	-$32	09-12 14:03
Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	1	$31	56	0	+56	Yes	-$31	09-13 14:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-13 18:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x621f5b…
09-13 18:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	107	32¢	$34	0x2fbdbb…
09-13 18:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	38	89¢	$34	0xc2e5eb…
09-13 18:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	43	81¢	$35	0xa6ec40…
09-13 18:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	43	68¢	$29	0x3ff517…
09-13 14:58:31	Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	56	55¢	$31	0xbca33b…
09-12 14:03:15	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	400	8¢	$32	0xe42c57…
09-12 13:39:34	Will the announcers say "Safety" during the Cardinals vs Chargers game?	No	SELL	246	14¢	$33	0xa0477c…
09-12 13:22:43	FC Andorra vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	566	46¢	$260	0xb7549f…
09-12 13:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	126	60¢	$75	0x6f0ee4…
09-12 13:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	112	67¢	$75	0x4aaeda…
09-12 13:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	114	66¢	$75	0xc64f3a…
09-12 11:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x8b9a57…
09-12 11:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x3dd6b5…
09-12 10:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x58ccd3…
09-12 10:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xbc06d3…
09-12 10:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xc1c2cd…
09-12 10:52:46	Will Trump say "European Union" or "EU" during his bilateral meeting with the Taoiseach of Ireland?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xb33f3d…
09-12 10:52:33	Will Trump say "European Union" or "EU" during his bilateral meeting with the Taoiseach of Ireland?	Yes	BUY	101	10¢	$10	0x32c253…
09-12 10:45:46	Will the announcers say "Safety" during the Cardinals vs Chargers game?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6fa4fe…
09-12 10:45:30	Will the announcers say "Safety" during the Cardinals vs Chargers game?	No	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xae15b8…
09-12 10:32:42	Will the announcers say "Safety" during the Cardinals vs Chargers game?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x87158b…
09-12 10:31:55	Will the announcers say "Safety" during the Cardinals vs Chargers game?	No	BUY	95	10¢	$10	0x19e783…
09-12 08:29:06	will the announcers say safety during the cardinals vs chargers game 20260913	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x4c5e92…
09-12 08:26:19	will the announcers say safety during the cardinals vs chargers game 20260913	No	BUY	118	38¢	$45	0x27f421…
09-12 08:21:19	will trump say european union bilateral meeting with the taoiseach of ireland	Yes	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0x85eaa7…
09-12 08:21:09	will trump say nato bilateral meeting with the taoiseach of ireland	Yes	BUY	46	33¢	$15	0x057147…
09-12 08:20:58	will trump say european union bilateral meeting with the taoiseach of ireland	Yes	BUY	58	40¢	$23	0x71713e…
09-11 08:34:57	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x61cbe4…
09-11 08:34:09	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,258	0¢	$5	0xe71e15…
09-11 08:31:19	Will Trump say "Department of War" during remarks at the Pentagon?	Yes	SELL	265	77¢	$204	0x075602…
09-11 00:06:16	Will Trump say "Department of War" during remarks at the Pentagon?	Yes	BUY	265	75¢	$200	0x2613d9…
09-09 21:58:18	Will the announcers say "Late Hit" during the Patriots vs Seahawks game?	No	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x965f41…
09-09 21:34:03	Will Macy's say "Automation" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	74	47¢	$35	0x460fb3…
09-09 21:25:01	Will Macy's say "Headwind" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xe161f1…
09-09 21:21:28	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention (Night 1)?	Yes	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xb09888…
09-09 20:44:40	Will the announcers say "Late Hit" during the Patriots vs Seahawks game?	No	BUY	134	53¢	$71	0xfc8187…
09-09 04:10:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	371	84¢	$312	0x2467b0…
09-08 20:05:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	52¢	$14	0x378e53…
09-08 18:59:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	397	51¢	$203	0xd43bf7…
09-08 18:42:57	Will Chewy say "Loyalty" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x10cda3…
09-08 16:10:51	Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)	Sabalenka	BUY	176	75¢	$132	0xa52bae…
09-08 16:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xb91862…
09-08 16:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	55	42¢	$23	0xe7897d…
09-08 16:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	55	46¢	$25	0x027784…
09-08 15:52:27	Will Chewy say "Loyalty" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0x1c4866…
09-08 15:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0xe79e26…
09-08 15:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x758cce…
09-08 15:40:22	Will Andy Burnham say "Budget" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xc9efe3…
09-08 15:37:22	Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	79	29¢	$23	0x9b8d5a…
09-08 15:35:04	Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 7?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x911241…
09-08 15:34:01	Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 7?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x0a8003…
09-08 15:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	70	98¢	$69	0x214a93…
09-08 15:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xa777d1…
09-08 15:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x2047fc…
09-08 15:18:16	Will Trump say "Honor" 2+ times during remarks at Steel Across America?	Yes	SELL	78	94¢	$74	0xa1ee99…
09-08 14:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	209	97¢	$203	0x8b6643…
09-08 14:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x78b6e7…
09-08 14:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	181	83¢	$150	0x7faffd…
09-08 14:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	185	81¢	$150	0x176387…
09-08 14:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	154	81¢	$124	0x8ef7bc…
09-08 05:25:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x56a7ec…
09-08 04:27:36	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	28¢	$20	0x5ad1b0…
09-08 04:27:12	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	SELL	161	95¢	$153	0x4fbadf…
09-07 19:02:49	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	45¢	$45	0xffb1a6…
09-07 18:21:06	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	161	94¢	$152	0x074149…
09-07 18:07:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	48¢	$50	0x4fbe3b…
09-07 16:35:07	Will Trump say "Honor" 2+ times during remarks at Steel Across America?	Yes	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x7102b2…
09-07 14:10:40	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	265	96¢	$255	0x8afe1c…
09-07 14:10:28	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x9cede6…
09-07 14:10:13	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xedd937…
09-07 14:09:58	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xa92323…
09-07 14:09:28	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x1ba565…
09-07 14:09:13	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x25192c…
09-07 14:08:43	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xd4ad2e…
09-07 14:08:30	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x7615a5…
09-07 14:00:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x5cb406…
09-06 21:05:28	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	66¢	$51	0xd90f9f…
09-06 21:04:58	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	SELL	68	77¢	$53	0xfa6953…
09-06 21:03:15	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	66¢	$78	0xa526a0…
09-06 21:02:46	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	66¢	$37	0x51d762…
09-06 21:00:45	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0x21718d…
09-06 21:00:03	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x3a1e27…
09-06 20:55:36	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	23	84¢	$19	0xaf6aaa…
09-06 19:51:58	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x8aeca2…
09-06 19:49:54	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	52¢	$32	0xaa8c22…