Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$326

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-02

last 10-04 12:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

65% 33% -$14

Politics

21% 33% -$6

Tech

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?	5	$50	60	20	+40	No	-$4	10-02 17:08
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	6	$46	40	40	+0	open	—	10-03 00:06
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.85% in October?	8	$40	60	60	+0	No	-$4	10-03 00:06
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.55% in October?	2	$26	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	10-02 14:00
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?	2	$18	20	20	+0	No	-$3	10-02 17:43
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $519,000 and $521,000 on December 31?	4	$18	60	60	+0	open	—	10-03 00:06
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $427,000 and $437,000 on December 31?	2	$15	20	20	+0	open	—	10-03 00:06
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 4?	2	$14	10	10	+0	No	+$6	10-04 12:33
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 3?	1	$8	22	0	+22	Yes	-$8	10-03 00:11
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 3?	1	$8	785	0	+785	No	-$8	10-03 13:01
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 3?	1	$8	16	0	+16	Yes	-$8	10-03 00:11
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 3?	1	$8	19	0	+19	No	+$11	10-03 00:11
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 3?	1	$8	19	0	+19	No	+$11	10-03 00:52
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% in October?	3	$8	20	17	+3	No	-$3	10-02 17:29
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 3?	1	$8	16	0	+16	No	+$8	10-03 00:11
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 3?	1	$8	17	0	+17	Yes	-$8	10-03 00:52
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 3?	1	$8	20	0	+20	Yes	-$8	10-03 00:11
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 4?	1	$8	19	0	+19	Yes	-$8	10-04 00:51
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 4?	2	$7	5	5	+0	No	+$3	10-04 12:33
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 3?	1	$5	14	0	+14	No	+$9	10-03 00:11
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 4?	1	$4	10	0	+10	Yes	-$4	10-04 00:51
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 3?	1	$3	3,100	0	+3,100	No	-$3	10-03 06:48
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ilhan Omar by October 31, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	10-02 11:42
Will Jenna Dewan be eliminated in week 4 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	3	$0	20	19	+1	No	$0	10-03 00:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 12:33:35	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 4?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x903c8f…
10-04 12:33:35	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 4?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7dbac5…
10-04 00:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 4?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xf07572…
10-04 00:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x840383…
10-04 00:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 4?	No	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0x680b9a…
10-04 00:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 4?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x21a581…
10-03 13:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	785	1¢	$8	0x0cb499…
10-03 06:48:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	3,100	0¢	$3	0xb4c04a…
10-03 00:52:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 3?	No	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0x99707b…
10-03 00:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 3?	No	BUY	17	45¢	$8	0xd50c37…
10-03 00:11:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 3?	No	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xbafb5d…
10-03 00:11:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0x1093d6…
10-03 00:11:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 3?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x08b329…
10-03 00:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 3?	No	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0xa9ca7d…
10-03 00:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 3?	No	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0x928a26…
10-03 00:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x542262…
10-03 00:06:39	Will Jenna Dewan be eliminated in week 4 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0x4790cf…
10-03 00:06:38	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	52¢	$21	0xbb6fd1…
10-03 00:06:38	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.85% in October?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x47cd82…
10-03 00:06:38	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $519,000 and $521,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	60	6¢	$4	0x32fe8d…
10-03 00:06:38	Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $427,000 and $437,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x2d7e9b…
10-02 19:43:48	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $519,000 and $521,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x6370f3…
10-02 19:36:29	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $519,000 and $521,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xc121b6…
10-02 18:15:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0x998a74…
10-02 18:15:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x802e39…
10-02 17:43:21	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xf9a34a…
10-02 17:39:51	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1b1f43…
10-02 17:39:41	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc7da9b…
10-02 17:39:41	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	64¢	$9	0xaa093e…
10-02 17:29:47	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% in October?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0xdf3933…
10-02 17:29:45	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% in October?	Yes	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0xcb4e44…
10-02 17:08:47	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x8432fb…
10-02 17:08:47	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x8432fb…
10-02 17:03:54	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x113a2b…
10-02 16:25:35	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	71¢	$13	0x90ac1a…
10-02 16:25:35	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x388185…
10-02 15:25:00	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x99e073…
10-02 14:25:33	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.85% in October?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x89799d…
10-02 14:25:33	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.85% in October?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x5ccd84…
10-02 14:00:21	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.55% in October?	Yes	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x528843…
10-02 13:50:53	Will Jenna Dewan be eliminated in week 4 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xe19177…
10-02 13:49:47	Will Jenna Dewan be eliminated in week 4 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x698b03…
10-02 13:20:18	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $519,000 and $521,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x38f042…
10-02 13:13:06	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x942242…
10-02 12:13:39	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.55% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x87905a…
10-02 11:46:05	Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $427,000 and $437,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x6299b1…
10-02 11:42:38	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ilhan Omar by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xfaa21e…
10-02 11:39:20	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.85% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x2a9ecb…
10-02 11:39:03	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.85% in October?	Yes	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x7a528e…
10-02 11:38:17	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.85% in October?	Yes	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0x8d2082…
10-02 11:37:45	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.85% in October?	Yes	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0xbbb20a…
10-02 11:37:45	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.85% in October?	Yes	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x4fa6c5…