Warm-Concentrate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

Trades

988

lifetime

Volume

$1.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 05-12 07:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 80% +$1

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 15m 1772212500	4	$91	328	327	+1	open	—	02-27 17:21
xrp updown 15m 1772313300	5	$32	66	65	+1	open	—	02-28 21:20
bitcoin up or down february 22 8am et	4	$26	50	50	+0	open	—	02-22 13:19
bitcoin up or down february 22 5pm et	6	$24	50	50	+0	open	—	02-22 22:11
xrp up or down february 22 2pm et	3	$23	50	50	+0	open	—	02-22 19:21
ethereum up or down february 2 12pm et	5	$22	38	38	+0	open	—	02-02 17:27
bitcoin up or down february 20 2pm et	12	$17	33	33	+0	open	—	02-20 19:21
ethereum up or down march 3 12pm et	9	$17	17	12	+5	open	—	03-03 17:59
xrp up or down february 22 6pm et	4	$17	50	50	+0	open	—	02-22 23:20
bitcoin up or down march 2 2pm et	12	$14	15	15	+0	open	—	03-02 19:45
ethereum up or down january 31 7am et	7	$14	14	14	+0	open	—	01-31 12:20
bitcoin up or down january 31 7am et	11	$14	13	13	+0	open	—	01-31 12:37
xrp up or down february 16 11am et	5	$12	49	49	+0	open	—	02-16 16:22
sol updown 15m 1772211600	3	$12	32	32	+0	open	—	02-27 17:04
ethereum up or down february 18 12pm et	3	$12	26	26	+0	open	—	02-18 17:12
xrp up or down february 16 5am et	10	$12	25	25	+0	open	—	02-16 10:08
xrp updown 15m 1772029800	3	$12	23	23	+0	open	—	02-25 14:40
bitcoin up or down february 14 7am et	4	$12	25	25	+0	open	—	02-14 12:19
solana up or down february 20 3pm et	2	$12	15	15	+0	open	—	02-20 20:22
btc updown 15m 1769613300	6	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	01-28 15:21
bitcoin up or down march 1 6pm et	5	$11	95	95	+0	open	—	03-01 23:43
eth updown 15m 1772203500	3	$11	26	26	+0	open	—	02-27 14:57
xrp up or down january 31 5am et	6	$11	12	12	+0	open	—	01-31 10:21
bitcoin up or down february 20 7am et	5	$11	18	18	+0	open	—	02-20 12:19
eth updown 15m 1772118000	3	$10	28	28	+0	open	—	02-26 15:10
btc updown 15m 1769436000	4	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	01-26 14:11
btc updown 15m 1769505300	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	01-27 09:16
btc updown 15m 1769713200	4	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	01-29 18:56
xrp up or down february 15 6am et	2	$9	11	11	+0	open	—	02-15 11:28
btc updown 15m 1769527800	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	01-27 15:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 07:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x0088a4…
05-12 07:07:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x898f97…
05-12 06:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xdd8e38…
05-12 06:31:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x025631…
05-12 06:26:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xcb3ab2…
05-12 06:22:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0e05ac…
05-12 05:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xcd2eca…
05-12 05:41:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xffe2a2…
05-12 05:36:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x50f5d6…
05-12 05:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb12da6…
05-12 05:32:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xcb5b75…
05-12 04:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd457cd…
05-12 04:46:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0363bf…
05-12 04:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x167f4e…
05-12 03:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xca09a8…
05-12 03:51:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4dc385…
05-12 03:46:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5bee67…
05-12 03:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2491bc…
05-12 03:07:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3509e4…
05-11 17:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5e9a05…
05-11 17:31:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x036f5e…
05-11 17:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6ae2a8…
05-11 17:27:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1b0554…
05-11 17:21:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x956949…
05-11 17:16:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x10f992…
05-11 17:11:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x129003…
05-11 17:06:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x81cb1c…
05-11 17:01:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x671d0d…
05-11 17:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf4f95a…
05-11 16:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf58758…
05-11 16:56:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x513899…
05-11 16:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x03619c…
05-11 16:51:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5bf255…
05-11 16:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x44d0a1…
05-11 13:11:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x02f352…
04-24 12:48:34	Will BNB reach $900 in April?	Yes	BUY	82	0¢	$0	0xb1d981…
04-24 12:43:12	Will BNB reach $900 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x78bb3a…
04-22 02:33:46	Will XRP dip to $0.40 in April?	Yes	SELL	87	0¢	$0	0x651c39…
04-22 02:33:40	Will BNB dip to $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	87	0¢	$0	0x3caf8b…
04-22 02:33:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	87	0¢	$0	0xf0ad19…
04-22 02:33:30	Will Solana dip to $30 in April?	Yes	SELL	87	0¢	$0	0x611289…
04-22 02:33:24	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	Yes	SELL	87	0¢	$0	0x71f66f…
04-22 02:33:20	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	87	0¢	$0	0x158ef9…
04-22 02:33:14	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	Yes	SELL	87	0¢	$0	0x07b57e…
04-22 02:33:08	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	Yes	SELL	87	0¢	$0	0x884f61…
04-22 02:33:02	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	Yes	SELL	87	0¢	$0	0xaf27b7…
04-19 06:55:34	Will Solana dip to $30 in April?	Yes	BUY	81	0¢	$0	0xa8aedb…
04-19 06:29:18	Will Solana dip to $30 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xa2c072…
04-19 06:27:52	Will Solana dip to $30 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xda13f4…
04-19 06:16:04	Will Solana dip to $30 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xd66fe5…
04-15 01:57:24	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	Yes	BUY	72	0¢	$0	0xe68252…
04-15 01:38:14	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xb92312…
04-08 12:38:15	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	Yes	BUY	87	0¢	$0	0xfee61a…
04-08 06:55:19	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xc87562…
04-08 06:26:47	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0x321235…
04-08 01:28:43	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xdabd1b…
04-07 16:57:55	Will BNB dip to $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0xfdf895…
04-07 11:23:27	Will XRP dip to $0.40 in April?	Yes	BUY	47	0¢	$0	0x05bd76…
04-07 11:08:25	Will BNB dip to $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x91d298…
04-07 10:59:45	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	Yes	BUY	87	0¢	$0	0xa9499f…
04-07 10:02:53	Will XRP dip to $0.40 in April?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x6d89bf…
04-07 08:36:21	Will XRP dip to $0.40 in April?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x0f6440…
04-06 21:46:25	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	87	0¢	$0	0x1ca1ca…
04-06 11:57:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	81	0¢	$0	0x7a8eda…
04-06 11:56:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xe4c408…
04-05 12:30:27	sol updown 5m 1775392200	Up	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x1ff2fc…
04-05 12:30:19	sol updown 5m 1775392200	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x541691…
04-05 12:12:09	xrp updown 5m 1775391000	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xf869de…
04-05 05:21:21	eth updown 5m 1775366400	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xfa116f…
04-05 05:21:21	eth updown 5m 1775366400	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xa2b0e1…
04-05 05:21:19	eth updown 5m 1775366400	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x96593e…
04-05 05:21:09	eth updown 5m 1775366400	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x1e205c…
04-05 01:08:21	eth updown 5m 1775351100	Up	SELL	13	11¢	$1	0x00121c…
04-05 01:07:47	eth updown 5m 1775351100	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x39f3da…
03-15 19:05:45	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xec538a…
03-15 19:05:45	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x95fb93…
03-15 19:05:41	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x1b9e55…
03-15 19:05:39	will solana reach 150 in march 2026	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x43c7c1…
03-15 19:05:37	will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x59fa95…
03-15 19:05:31	will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x2ff774…
03-15 19:05:29	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb89cd5…
03-15 19:05:25	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x55dbc1…
03-15 19:05:21	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of march	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x534459…
03-15 19:05:19	will bnb reach 1000 in march	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xfa9a67…
03-15 19:05:11	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xea8a08…
03-15 19:05:07	will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x751923…
03-15 19:05:03	will solana dip to 30 in march 2026	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xee2e3f…
03-15 19:05:03	will silver si hit low 40 by end of march	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x140e32…
03-15 18:27:59	will bnb dip to 200 in march	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x39f1f9…
03-15 17:14:17	eth updown 15m 1773594000	Down	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x1a7ae1…
03-15 16:56:07	solana up or down march 15 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xddcefc…
03-15 16:28:33	eth updown 15m 1773591300	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc998e9…
03-15 16:24:13	eth updown 5m 1773591600	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xf9ee58…
03-15 16:24:11	eth updown 5m 1773591600	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x9310f0…
03-15 16:16:23	eth updown 5m 1773591300	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa39ea5…
03-15 16:14:53	eth updown 5m 1773591000	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3dff72…
03-15 16:07:55	eth updown 5m 1773590700	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x15c3d6…
03-15 16:04:05	eth updown 5m 1773590400	Down	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xb06594…
03-15 16:04:05	eth updown 5m 1773590400	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x7d7d39…
03-15 15:58:27	eth updown 5m 1773590100	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xbed4dd…