Athletic-Fresco — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$217

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-13 17:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 0% $-1

Other

9% 25% $-6

Sports

4% 0% $-3

Politics

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	2	$39	24	24	+0	open	—	05-01 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	3	$26	23	17	+6	open	—	04-30 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$20	21	11	+11	open	—	04-30 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	04-30 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	04-30 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-30 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 14:51
Valorant: WIP Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	04-30 10:46
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-04 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$5	33	0	+33	open	—	04-30 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-30 09:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	3	$3	5	1	+4	open	—	04-30 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-03 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-01 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 08:55
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-01 18:22
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders	1	$2	5	0	+5	Royal Challengers Bangalore	$-2	05-13 17:10
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Division One (BO5) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs	1	$2	6	0	+6	Shopify Rebellion Black	$-2	05-06 22:28
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	$-2	05-10 15:57
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$2	10	0	+10	Knicks	$-2	05-06 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-04 14:05
SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score	2	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-09 15:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	05-01 18:22
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 18:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	2	$2	143	143	+0	open	—	04-30 09:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	05-04 09:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 17:10:42	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Kolkata Knight Riders	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x968799…
05-10 15:57:24	West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xde00ce…
05-09 15:50:09	SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x53ea6d…
05-09 15:50:01	SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0032d4…
05-06 22:28:41	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Division One (BO5) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs	Division One	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xa203c5…
05-06 22:26:12	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x030ee8…
05-05 18:26:08	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x56a89f…
05-04 23:29:40	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x204b76…
05-04 14:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x80dc05…
05-04 14:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x05cd2a…
05-04 14:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x081135…
05-04 14:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x97f5ef…
05-04 09:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x54a2dd…
05-04 09:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6d290c…
05-03 18:38:06	New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels	New York Mets	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xb321cb…
05-03 18:37:34	Valorant: WIP Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs	Joblife	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x73ee81…
05-03 15:05:54	New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels	New York Mets	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb35039…
05-03 15:04:50	Valorant: WIP Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs	Joblife	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x8d1efb…
05-03 14:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9da931…
05-03 14:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x0cb54f…
05-03 14:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x76af00…
05-01 22:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6ba539…
05-01 22:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf78f17…
05-01 18:23:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x2e8588…
05-01 18:22:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0x3f9a64…
05-01 18:22:30	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf04574…
05-01 13:40:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x785530…
05-01 13:22:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0e880a…
05-01 13:20:34	Valorant: VARREL vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega	VARREL	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfb6e08…
05-01 13:19:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x3f1d8d…
05-01 12:30:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0xa2cf60…
05-01 00:07:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	24	68¢	$16	0x126409…
04-30 16:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xbb9f41…
04-30 16:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xce86b0…
04-30 16:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc8d74c…
04-30 12:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x5fb8ae…
04-30 12:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x75a961…
04-30 10:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x0bed70…
04-30 09:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0xd50e4e…
04-30 09:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x602ca3…
04-30 09:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x89b781…
04-30 09:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x52a389…
04-30 09:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf956f1…
04-30 09:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x72c7ab…
04-30 09:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0xb02b19…
04-30 09:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x50bc27…
04-30 09:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xbf9486…
04-30 09:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xe40fd5…
04-30 09:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xa58ca4…
04-30 09:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x5ae7b6…
04-30 09:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x04accd…
04-30 09:02:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0x31ac8b…
04-30 08:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8c5262…
04-30 08:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7c723f…
04-30 08:46:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x4286ee…
04-30 08:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2b9d5c…
04-30 08:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x07b9f7…
04-30 03:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x762e4e…
04-30 03:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbffa53…