Prize-Merit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

349

Trades

764

lifetime

Volume

$8.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 09-01 14:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 93 days

Categories

Other

72% 75% -$8

Crypto

21% 82% +$0

Politics

5% 63% $0

Sports

1% 67% $0

Pop-Culture

1% 50% $0

Tech

1% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	7	$127	63	63	+0	No	+$0	08-25 11:03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 12?	3	$86	43	43	+0	No	+$0	08-12 01:45
will super troopers 3 score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260804175312532	4	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	08-10 14:00
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 27?	6	$60	30	30	-0	No	$0	08-27 02:27
iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-31 20:29
bitcoin above 68k on july 20 2026	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-20 10:34
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 24?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-24 17:21
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 13?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	08-13 04:29
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or below on July 24?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-23 16:22
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 11?	5	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-11 02:09
will bitcoin reach 67k on july 24	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-24 21:59
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 3?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	08-03 02:47
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-19 10:41
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 9?	10	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	08-09 19:50
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	4	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	08-31 00:34
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 27?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-26 18:52
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-30 05:42
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 22?	3	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-22 06:29
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 4?	3	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-04 22:11
will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	3	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-30 05:52
will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 20	4	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-21 01:27
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 14?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	08-14 15:20
will bitcoin reach 72k july 27 august 2 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-02 01:50
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 30?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-30 09:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 27?	2	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	08-27 02:00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 12?	5	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-12 15:30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on August 3?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	08-03 02:48
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 20?	3	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-19 06:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 28?	2	$53	26	26	+0	Yes	$0	08-27 18:40
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C or higher on July 28?	3	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-27 23:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 14:21:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 1?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf65e77…
09-01 09:23:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xe936c1…
09-01 04:00:04	Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x1ae374…
09-01 02:26:01	Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9636c1…
08-31 22:00:58	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5e0114…
08-31 20:57:03	Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$16	0x090660…
08-31 20:39:39	Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x363d99…
08-31 20:30:36	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18516c…
08-31 18:41:24	Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xc8a6e6…
08-31 15:26:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on September 1?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc8b16d…
08-31 15:22:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on September 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8e82f3…
08-31 12:58:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on September 1?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1b4b28…
08-31 02:24:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x9553b6…
08-31 00:34:34	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9bffee…
08-31 00:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or below on August 31?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x0d558c…
08-31 00:24:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or below on August 31?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xec28a4…
08-31 00:03:09	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf8e1a2…
08-30 23:00:54	Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xea0621…
08-30 22:26:45	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x955ddf…
08-30 21:47:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3ffff1…
08-30 19:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or below on August 31?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc3dc3c…
08-30 16:16:01	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc7eeb3…
08-30 13:14:28	ethereum above 2600 on august 30 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x286552…
08-30 11:19:15	bitcoin above 80k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6fd0f4…
08-30 09:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 30?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xbb7387…
08-30 08:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 30?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xfb2dbf…
08-30 03:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 30?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xba52f4…
08-30 02:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x66cf70…
08-29 18:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5fb466…
08-29 10:12:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 29?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x163eb9…
08-29 07:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 29?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x29828d…
08-28 13:01:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 28?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x8da22a…
08-28 11:19:31	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on August 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe09cc5…
08-28 11:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 28?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x4fd4b2…
08-28 08:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 28?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc9c86c…
08-28 03:46:15	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on August 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x60a285…
08-28 01:37:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 28?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x95f1c3…
08-27 23:06:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 28?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x78851d…
08-27 22:21:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x18cd4f…
08-27 20:22:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x360797…
08-27 18:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 27?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc7cae2…
08-27 18:40:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 28?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xf51759…
08-27 17:51:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x3cc9a3…
08-27 15:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3eadfc…
08-27 11:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd52612…
08-27 10:09:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 27?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xae52dd…
08-27 09:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 27?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1c51b4…
08-27 08:06:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdb0435…
08-27 04:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x63dfc9…
08-27 02:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb2b8ad…
08-27 02:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x02b77e…
08-27 02:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 27?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf59ab2…
08-27 02:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 27?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x20abba…
08-27 02:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 27?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x795ec9…
08-27 02:00:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 27?	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xb5a4c3…
08-27 01:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 27?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x8d2ded…
08-26 21:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 27?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x84b563…
08-26 19:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xfc6546…
08-26 12:29:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8855d9…
08-25 12:36:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xa2f684…
08-25 11:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 25?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb1f831…
08-25 11:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xfaf9fb…
08-25 09:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0235e5…
08-25 04:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xfca759…
08-25 04:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x3e3f53…
08-25 04:18:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xeacd1f…
08-25 02:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xcbf896…
08-25 00:03:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd49975…
08-24 23:58:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x326447…
08-24 23:16:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x94bd04…
08-24 20:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6e1606…
08-24 17:03:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf1cdb3…
08-24 13:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x87107c…
08-24 12:31:58	Will White House post 140-159 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xdeeb82…
08-24 11:23:33	Will White House post 140-159 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x20b6d6…
08-24 10:50:40	Will White House post 140-159 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xac3231…
08-24 06:05:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 24?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xdf2194…
08-24 00:03:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xda0ac1…
08-23 23:23:49	Will Baytaq win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xcb932c…
08-23 23:06:46	Will Baytaq win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4e429a…
08-23 19:40:37	Will Baytaq win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x41755b…
08-14 21:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc08f96…
08-14 20:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 14?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xde585d…
08-14 18:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 14?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6018d4…
08-14 17:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 14?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x005a29…
08-14 15:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 14?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x9795cd…
08-14 10:59:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 14?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x3887f2…
08-14 09:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xebecd1…
08-14 07:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on August 14?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb299e9…
08-14 02:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27a9a3…
08-14 02:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 14?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x14eeb0…
08-14 01:59:27	will bitcoin dip to 60k on august 13	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xf10c63…
08-14 01:17:37	will bitcoin dip to 60k on august 13	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd73b5b…
08-14 00:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on August 14?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x859ec0…
08-13 21:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on August 14?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x84af18…
08-13 20:55:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x7e00cf…
08-13 19:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on August 14?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x956ff2…
08-13 18:28:24	bitcoin above 58k on august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x0470ee…
08-13 17:47:00	bitcoin above 58k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x279211…
08-13 15:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on August 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x61d6c7…