Nice-Assertion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-05 07:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 81% -$5

Other

37% 92% $0

Tech

4% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 1700 on march 28	1	$100	101	+101	Yes	+$0	03-28 10:46
bitcoin above 78k on march 24	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-23 02:29
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 14	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-14 03:34
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 8	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-08 06:38
bitcoin above 70k on february 28	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	02-28 07:39
bitcoin above 84k on january 29	1	$100	100	+100	Yes	+$0	01-29 08:24
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 40 59	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	01-20 06:26
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 300 319	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	01-13 02:24
bitcoin above 72k on april 3	1	$99	99	+99	No	+$0	04-03 02:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	1	$98	98	+98	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$98	98	+98	Yes	+$0	04-28 02:05
bitcoin above 84k on april 24	1	$98	98	+98	No	+$0	04-24 02:12
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 400 419	1	$98	98	+98	No	+$0	04-19 03:48
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 165 189	1	$98	98	+98	No	+$0	04-10 06:55
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	1	$96	96	+96	No	+$0	05-12 09:44
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$95	95	+95	No	+$0	05-10 08:11
bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	1	$94	94	+94	No	+$0	06-10 06:15
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$94	94	+94	No	+$0	05-31 09:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	1	$94	94	+94	Yes	+$0	05-27 09:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	1	$94	94	+94	No	+$0	05-15 08:22
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 300 319	1	$50	50	+50	No	+$0	03-03 03:01
will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 3	1	$50	50	+50	No	+$0	03-03 03:01
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	1	$14	14	+14	Yes	+$0	08-03 11:46
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$14	14	+14	No	+$0	09-01 14:23
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	1	$14	14	+14	No	+$0	07-16 07:25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	10-05 07:15
Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	10-05 07:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	1	$2	1,080	+1,080	Yes	-$2	05-10 08:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	1	$2	1,080	+1,080	Yes	-$2	05-15 08:19
ethereum above 2300 on april 3	1	$2	755	+755	No	-$2	04-03 02:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 07:15:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x74c4ef…
10-05 07:13:49	Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x016f1f…
09-01 14:23:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x784a3b…
08-03 11:46:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x237eef…
07-16 07:25:08	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf7d4e0…
06-10 06:15:39	bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xb38b5d…
05-31 09:02:51	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x5cb07f…
05-27 09:24:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x8edc58…
05-15 08:22:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xb24561…
05-15 08:19:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	1,080	0¢	$2	0xf45019…
05-12 09:44:48	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x5ad58a…
05-10 08:11:09	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x7c3dc5…
05-10 08:00:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	1,080	0¢	$2	0xfc67b4…
05-05 11:06:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x03bcab…
04-28 02:05:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xcd39cf…
04-24 02:12:24	bitcoin above 84k on april 24	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x10476f…
04-19 03:48:48	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 400 419	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xbb4db4…
04-10 06:55:53	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 165 189	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x19cc5f…
04-10 06:47:47	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 420 439	Yes	BUY	740	0¢	$1	0xbb78eb…
04-03 02:51:01	bitcoin above 72k on april 3	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x9b0c80…
04-03 02:49:09	ethereum above 2300 on april 3	Yes	BUY	755	0¢	$2	0x91ba3a…
03-28 10:46:47	ethereum above 1700 on march 28	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x6902d0…
03-23 02:29:01	bitcoin above 78k on march 24	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0105cb…
03-14 03:34:05	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 14	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdce735…
03-08 06:38:31	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 8	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3e516b…
03-03 03:01:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 3	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3de763…
03-03 03:01:29	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 300 319	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa3e3a5…
02-28 07:39:17	bitcoin above 70k on february 28	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6a0ada…
01-29 08:24:14	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc318bd…
01-20 06:26:08	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 40 59	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8d3876…
01-13 02:24:43	elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 300 319	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf11242…