Fat-Offset — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.65K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

1,339

Trades

2,199

lifetime

Volume

$186.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 10-26 17:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 165 days

Categories

Other

69% 48% +$1,186

Sports

31% 45% -$2,842

Politics

0% — —

Crypto

0% 50% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp zandsch mensik 2026 08 10	4	$4.3K	2,653	2,486	+167	Jakub Mensik	+$684	08-10 01:59
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF end in a draw?	3	$3.0K	4,750	4,750	+0	Yes	-$52	08-17 20:36
atp tien shelton 2026 08 12	2	$3.0K	1,795	1,795	+0	Ben Shelton	+$609	08-13 02:21
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	4	$2.7K	2,047	2,047	+0	Yes	+$1,389	07-19 22:30
Will Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?	2	$2.3K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	+$160	08-16 15:54
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?	3	$2.0K	4,576	3,933	+643	No	-$478	08-16 17:46
atp jodar nakashi 2026 08 12	5	$1.7K	2,272	1,826	+446	Brandon Nakashima	-$923	08-13 00:15
Will Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?	5	$1.6K	2,447	2,447	+0	No	+$25	08-15 21:26
Will Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?	3	$1.5K	3,235	2,500	+735	No	+$93	08-12 20:40
atp shelton nakashi 2026 08 13	7	$1.5K	2,969	0	+2,969	Ben Shelton	+$589	08-14 01:38
atp darderi nakashi 2026 08 11	3	$1.4K	2,403	0	+2,403	Brandon Nakashima	+$529	08-11 17:26
atp rinderk nakashi 2026 08 08	1	$1.1K	1,619	0	+1,619	Brandon Nakashima	+$534	08-08 15:50
atp navone fils 2026 08 06	3	$1.1K	612	612	+0	Arthur Fils	+$146	08-06 19:19
ufc tabdul jnasci 2026 06 27	3	$1.0K	721	721	+0	Tahir Abdullayev	+$410	06-27 13:35
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$1.0K	847	847	+0	Sean Strickland	+$686	05-10 04:56
fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	6	$950	1,092	401	+691	Over	-$148	06-17 02:47
atp tien tirante 2026 08 10	2	$947	564	564	+0	Learner Tien	+$157	08-09 19:49
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)	3	$889	556	556	+0	Luis Gurule	+$221	05-16 21:59
atp nakashi droguet 2026 08 06	2	$883	577	577	+0	Brandon Nakashima	-$17	08-07 01:25
atp atmane mensik 2026 08 07	1	$825	1,250	0	+1,250	Jakub Mensik	+$425	08-07 21:33
nhl utah las 2026 04 19 total 6pt5	4	$772	490	484	+6	Under	+$200	04-20 05:11
atp aguilar michels 2026 08 07	1	$760	1,041	0	+1,041	Daniel Merida Aguilar	-$760	08-07 16:03
atp bergs shelton 2026 08 07	1	$680	919	0	+919	Ben Shelton	+$239	08-07 17:51
UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	2	$678	522	511	+11	Talita Alencar	+$354	04-25 22:49
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 4pt5	5	$662	623	362	+261	Over	+$62	06-17 00:10
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels	5	$655	516	305	+211	Houston Astros	-$107	06-09 04:58
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)	3	$618	479	479	+0	Jim Miller	+$340	05-09 23:26
lol fnc gx 2026 08 30	2	$612	425	425	+0	GIANTX	+$238	08-30 18:52
ufc mar42 joh41 2026 06 06	3	$600	335	335	+0	Marcus McGhee	+$70	06-06 23:37
cs2 furia mouz 2026 06 12	4	$589	432	337	+95	FURIA	+$83	06-12 11:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 17:02:44	Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	Eagles	BUY	95	52¢	$50	0x3a3a6c…
10-26 16:59:06	Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	Eagles	BUY	83	52¢	$43	0xc054fe…
10-26 16:57:11	Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	Eagles	BUY	95	52¢	$49	0x80250a…
10-25 13:23:33	Spread: Steelers (-3.5)	Saints	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x070063…
10-25 13:23:00	Spread: Steelers (-3.5)	Saints	BUY	102	56¢	$57	0x72581c…
10-23 19:35:57	Knicks vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	149	57¢	$85	0xa52865…
10-23 19:33:39	Knicks vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	95	57¢	$54	0xaedce4…
10-23 19:32:21	Knicks vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	109	57¢	$62	0xfe9573…
10-23 15:12:00	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	73	63¢	$46	0x62b409…
10-23 15:10:17	Knicks vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0xe923fd…
10-23 15:08:57	Knicks vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	105	55¢	$58	0xad246d…
10-23 02:21:06	East Carolina vs. Memphis	Memphis	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x1e13dd…
10-23 02:18:32	Utah vs. Kraken	Kraken	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xc3bbbc…
10-23 02:16:35	Hurricanes vs. Oilers	Hurricanes	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x4aff50…
10-23 02:15:24	Wild vs. Flames	Flames	BUY	32	72¢	$23	0x8e3ac8…
10-23 02:14:29	Jets vs. Stars	Jets	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0x2dae85…
10-23 02:13:26	Kings vs. Islanders	Kings	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x81a50a…
10-23 02:11:15	Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	Thunder	BUY	17	44¢	$7	0x7e1471…
10-23 02:08:59	Hurricanes vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x777151…
10-23 02:07:06	Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5	Over	BUY	19	50¢	$9	0xd20685…
10-23 02:04:54	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Nuggets	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xf7cdf1…
10-22 20:29:54	Spread: 76ers (-3.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	64	54¢	$34	0x9d59f5…
10-22 20:29:23	Spread: Bears (-3.5)	Bears	BUY	95	44¢	$42	0x1f858d…
10-22 20:28:27	Spread: Bears (-3.5)	Bears	BUY	95	44¢	$42	0xd60519…
10-22 20:26:48	Spread: Bears (-3.5)	Bears	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x3f798e…
10-22 20:25:51	Spread: Bears (-3.5)	Bears	BUY	96	44¢	$42	0x510e17…
10-22 20:24:24	Spread: 76ers (-3.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	59	54¢	$32	0x73c228…
10-22 20:23:32	Spread: 76ers (-3.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	89	54¢	$48	0xd19814…
10-22 20:03:27	Spread: Bears (-3.5)	Bears	BUY	85	44¢	$37	0xaf01a3…
10-22 20:02:32	Spread: Bears (-3.5)	Bears	BUY	85	44¢	$37	0x96119f…
10-22 19:54:35	Spread: 76ers (-3.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	156	54¢	$84	0x7b7639…
10-22 19:53:02	Spread: 76ers (-3.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	92	54¢	$50	0x64e24e…
10-22 10:56:54	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	SELL	417	88¢	$367	0x33c219…
10-22 09:04:41	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0xe97d54…
10-22 03:56:48	Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5	Under	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0xd3bf4c…
10-22 03:54:41	CF Pachuca vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	17	73¢	$12	0x4a4c39…
10-22 03:50:51	Kings vs. Clippers	Kings	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x1a731a…
10-22 03:49:23	Spread: Clippers (-5.5)	Kings	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0x365b3c…
10-22 03:47:39	Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5	Over	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x5be6f0…
10-22 03:46:21	Kings vs. Clippers	Kings	BUY	27	27¢	$7	0x1bb6d2…
10-22 03:42:21	CF Pachuca vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0xa9a1c1…
10-22 03:40:54	Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	22	57¢	$13	0xf08ca2…
10-22 03:38:02	Club Santos Laguna vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x9c6c2d…
10-22 03:36:09	Club Santos Laguna vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xea55b7…
10-22 03:30:29	Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5	Over	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x348970…
10-22 03:24:47	Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5	Over	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xda8aa2…
10-21 20:25:44	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	164	53¢	$87	0x641e46…
10-21 20:20:30	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	88	53¢	$46	0x4e199d…
10-21 20:00:02	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x62430f…
10-21 19:41:11	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x616192…
10-21 00:55:50	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	193	30¢	$58	0xb9add7…
10-21 00:47:53	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x67ca3d…
10-21 00:45:45	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xa8e380…
10-21 00:44:00	Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5	Under	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x0788ce…
10-21 00:43:02	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5	Over	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xf47280…
10-21 00:41:17	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5	Over	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x30d078…
10-21 00:39:48	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x3f8667…
10-21 00:37:03	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	184	51¢	$94	0x2f330e…
10-21 00:35:38	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	323	51¢	$164	0x735b5d…
10-20 16:40:54	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	210	60¢	$126	0x020361…
10-20 16:37:50	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	182	60¢	$110	0xf3b5b7…
10-20 16:34:09	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	105	60¢	$63	0x01efd2…
10-18 09:30:03	Persebaya Surabaya vs. PSS Sleman: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x88ed37…
10-18 09:29:09	Will Persebaya Surabaya win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	34	45¢	$16	0xdb4215…
10-18 09:25:53	Jinan: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landaluce	Martin Landaluce	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xdacfb0…
10-18 06:55:20	Ningbo Open, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x5d060a…
10-18 06:54:32	Ningbo Open, Qualification: Han Shi vs Alina Korneeva	Han Shi	BUY	21	59¢	$12	0x658e29…
10-18 06:11:57	Almaty Open, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	21	51¢	$10	0xd879a1…
10-18 06:09:47	Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x5221f1…
10-18 06:07:18	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x1902fb…
10-18 06:05:08	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Nebraska	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x67dbf2…
10-17 20:44:20	Bruins vs. Kings	Kings	BUY	93	56¢	$52	0x4df9d3…
10-17 20:43:38	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0xfe0d7a…
10-17 20:17:11	Bruins vs. Kings	Kings	BUY	85	56¢	$47	0xa06182…
10-17 20:15:53	Bruins vs. Kings	Kings	BUY	66	56¢	$37	0x4c5c55…
10-17 16:47:41	cs2 fal2 bb3 2026 10 17 map handicap away 1pt5	BetBoom Team	BUY	105	55¢	$58	0xa26551…
10-17 16:44:05	lol mvk fur 2026 10 17 game handicap home 1pt5	MVK Esports	BUY	66	56¢	$37	0x6b126e…
10-17 16:42:56	lol mvk fur 2026 10 17 game handicap home 1pt5	MVK Esports	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xe2e9e9…
10-17 16:38:14	cs2 fal2 bb3 2026 10 17 map handicap away 1pt5	BetBoom Team	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xfd6df9…
10-17 16:36:33	cs2 fal2 bb3 2026 10 17 map handicap away 1pt5	BetBoom Team	BUY	92	54¢	$50	0xd8fae3…
10-17 16:35:44	cs2 fal2 bb3 2026 10 17 map handicap away 1pt5	BetBoom Team	BUY	106	54¢	$57	0x4f4afe…
10-17 10:56:05	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	87	60¢	$52	0x9becde…
10-17 10:51:00	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	102	60¢	$61	0xb28b8a…
10-17 10:49:20	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	117	60¢	$70	0xf63f6a…
10-17 10:42:03	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	102	60¢	$61	0x253d31…
10-17 07:29:47	Kashima Antlers vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xdf63fd…
10-16 19:53:11	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0x619482…
10-16 19:51:02	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	72	51¢	$37	0xc3413a…
10-16 19:46:17	Le Mans FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	21	55¢	$12	0xf3d692…
10-16 19:44:14	Frosinone Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	12	62¢	$8	0x32a015…
10-16 19:42:56	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	72	51¢	$37	0xbed773…
10-16 19:27:07	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	48	51¢	$24	0xdca301…
10-16 19:26:16	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x028a0c…
10-16 19:24:58	Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x6871ae…
10-16 19:21:29	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	95	51¢	$48	0xeaa723…
10-16 19:19:49	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	108	51¢	$55	0x8db23b…
10-16 05:23:46	val vit loud 2026 10 16	LOUD	BUY	53	56¢	$30	0x8a876d…
10-16 04:29:15	val vit loud 2026 10 16	LOUD	BUY	106	56¢	$60	0x9e312f…
10-16 04:28:30	val vit loud 2026 10 16	LOUD	BUY	120	56¢	$67	0x1af03b…
10-16 04:05:13	val vit loud 2026 10 16	LOUD	BUY	107	56¢	$60	0x2175e6…