Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$77

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$186

Open exposure

$110

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-16 07:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

46% 100% +$35

Politics

27% 100% +$27

Crypto

14% 100% +$6

Tech

11% 100% +$8

Sports

2% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	No		+61	$60	100¢	$61	+$1	10-16 07:24
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No		+52	$50	95¢	$49	-$1	10-16 07:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$531	535	0	+535	No	+$4	02-26 06:13
bitcoin above 70k on march 31	1	$400	401	0	+401	No	+$1	03-31 12:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$396	234	166	+68	Yes	+$3	04-27 06:11
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$377	382	0	+382	No	+$5	01-21 14:45
maduro in us custody by january 31	1	$377	378	0	+378	Yes	+$1	01-03 12:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$343	177	177	+0	No	+$3	07-18 21:58
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$340	195	150	+45	No	+$4	06-23 06:25
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 260 279	1	$235	238	0	+238	No	+$3	02-10 02:26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$210	212	0	+212	No	+$2	07-01 12:23
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	1	$200	202	0	+202	No	+$2	07-01 12:22
Netanyahu out by June 30?	1	$200	206	0	+206	No	+$6	06-03 06:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$200	203	0	+203	No	+$3	05-18 06:04
will hoppers opening weekend box office be greater than 31m	1	$197	201	0	+201	Yes	+$4	03-04 07:58
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	1	$190	192	0	+192	No	+$2	05-18 06:04
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	1	$188	190	0	+190	No	+$2	06-03 06:24
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	1	$187	191	0	+191	Yes	+$4	03-04 07:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	1	$180	182	0	+182	No	+$2	04-27 06:12
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	1	$177	179	0	+179	No	+$2	05-18 06:04
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$170	173	0	+173	No	+$3	04-08 08:03
nvda above 140 on february 13 2026	1	$158	159	0	+159	Yes	+$1	02-10 02:26
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	1	$155	163	0	+163	No	+$8	03-04 07:51
us strike on colombia by january 31	1	$150	152	0	+152	No	+$2	01-21 14:44
bitcoin above 94k on january 3	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	01-03 12:31
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	1	$150	151	0	+151	No	+$1	04-08 08:00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$148	151	0	+151	Yes	+$3	06-23 06:27
nba atl min 2026 02 09	1	$140	141	0	+141	Timberwolves	+$1	02-10 02:28
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	08-15 09:08
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	1	$61	61	0	+61	No	+$0	09-10 07:23
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	1	$60	61	0	+61	open	—	10-16 07:24
Iran Nuke before 2027?	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	10-16 07:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 07:26:31	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x49bf5d…
10-16 07:24:58	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x7d1dd7…
09-20 05:30:33	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xe172bb…
09-10 07:23:34	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$61	0xbe9843…
09-10 07:23:15	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xf2cdd0…
08-15 09:08:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x6e929f…
07-18 21:58:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	177	98¢	$173	0xb18435…
07-01 12:23:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	212	99¢	$210	0xb4291e…
07-01 12:23:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	177	96¢	$170	0xe37493…
07-01 12:22:40	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x30a15b…
06-23 06:27:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	151	98¢	$148	0x7f06b9…
06-23 06:25:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x2d561e…
06-03 06:24:12	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	190	99¢	$188	0x01f196…
06-03 06:23:09	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x32781b…
06-03 06:22:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	195	98¢	$190	0xc246fe…
05-18 06:04:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x5821df…
05-18 06:04:30	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	179	99¢	$177	0xeabf50…
05-18 06:04:05	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	192	99¢	$190	0x606c4c…
04-27 06:12:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0x4ba45e…
04-27 06:11:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	166	100¢	$166	0x55a3d6…
04-08 08:03:03	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	173	98¢	$170	0xe5976d…
04-08 08:02:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	234	98¢	$230	0x3473ad…
04-08 08:00:01	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$150	0x0200d2…
03-31 12:46:35	bitcoin above 70k on march 31	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0x3c7186…
03-04 07:58:35	will hoppers opening weekend box office be greater than 31m	Yes	BUY	201	98¢	$197	0xb4f613…
03-04 07:53:25	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	Yes	BUY	191	98¢	$187	0xf48dc7…
03-04 07:51:35	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	163	95¢	$155	0xb0b8bb…
02-26 06:13:38	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	535	99¢	$531	0x78c396…
02-10 02:28:13	nba atl min 2026 02 09	Timberwolves	BUY	141	99¢	$140	0x60715b…
02-10 02:26:53	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 260 279	No	BUY	238	99¢	$235	0x58c687…
02-10 02:26:23	nvda above 140 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	159	99¢	$158	0x031cab…
01-21 14:45:08	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	382	99¢	$377	0xb8b7df…
01-21 14:44:22	us strike on colombia by january 31	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x2c340e…
01-03 12:31:57	maduro in us custody by january 31	Yes	BUY	378	100¢	$377	0x930e7b…
01-03 12:31:23	bitcoin above 94k on january 3	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x47778a…