Whirlwind-Alarm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.5%

Resolved

Trades

162

lifetime

Volume

$922

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 07-07 17:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 61% +$23

Sports

14% 38% -$31

Other

2% 0% -$16

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$46	58	58	+0	Down	+$36	05-08 05:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:45 UTC	3	$33	97	91	+6	Down	+$19	04-23 10:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 09:05 UTC	5	$29	32	23	+9	Down	+$0	04-23 09:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:00 UTC	4	$29	81	52	+28	Up	+$7	04-23 11:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:45 UTC	3	$28	46	28	+18	Down	+$18	04-23 12:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 08:55 UTC	4	$28	37	8	+28	Down	-$3	04-23 08:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:40 UTC	4	$27	73	64	+9	Down	+$2	04-23 17:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:30 UTC	5	$24	22	22	+0	Down	+$3	04-23 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$24	18	18	+0	Down	+$4	04-28 13:34
76ers vs. Celtics	2	$23	18	18	+0	76ers	+$13	05-03 06:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 08:35 UTC	3	$21	24	17	+7	Down	+$7	04-23 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	5	$21	38	38	+0	Up	+$1	04-30 05:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 09:00 UTC	3	$18	26	13	+13	Down	-$3	04-23 09:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 08:50 UTC	3	$17	22	7	+14	Up	-$3	04-23 08:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:15 UTC	3	$16	24	18	+7	Down	+$2	04-23 12:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:45 UTC	3	$15	25	18	+6	Up	+$1	04-23 11:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 08:45 UTC	2	$15	21	0	+21	Up	-$5	04-23 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$15	19	19	+0	Up	+$5	05-11 15:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 09:15 UTC	3	$15	42	18	+24	Up	+$4	04-23 09:18
nba hou lal 2026 04 21	2	$14	20	0	+20	Lakers	+$6	04-22 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	04-30 05:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:15 UTC	4	$14	64	59	+4	Down	+$1	04-23 17:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 08:20 UTC	2	$14	12	11	+1	Down	+$4	04-23 08:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:20 UTC	2	$13	36	34	+2	Up	+$3	04-23 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	04-28 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:25 UTC	3	$13	9	8	+1	Down	+$1	04-23 11:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 08:45 UTC	2	$12	25	24	+1	Up	+$2	04-22 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:25 UTC	2	$12	45	43	+3	Down	+$5	04-23 17:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 09:20 UTC	2	$12	15	14	+1	Down	+$2	04-23 09:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:45 UTC	2	$11	38	36	+2	Up	+$4	04-23 17:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 17:33:31	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x7da82d…
06-25 12:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x97dbd1…
06-25 12:03:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xdc894b…
06-15 16:53:43	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xaccfbc…
06-12 15:56:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x37f4df…
06-12 15:54:43	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf76734…
05-31 02:45:26	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x34bd58…
05-16 07:12:55	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xf476ac…
05-16 07:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x010ba7…
05-16 07:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xc9e529…
05-12 05:22:13	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4a4c88…
05-11 15:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0x5cef6f…
05-11 15:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	28¢	$5	0x652b87…
05-11 15:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xb9df53…
05-11 15:05:11	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x2190c3…
05-08 05:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	58	71¢	$41	0xfa1fb5…
05-08 05:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x69373c…
05-08 03:48:34	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xa88e56…
05-08 03:14:02	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x497df2…
05-06 02:44:38	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5	Under	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x956bb0…
05-05 13:29:30	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x63dc6d…
05-03 06:15:04	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xf4d3fb…
05-02 04:38:28	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x65950e…
05-02 03:34:18	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x611458…
05-02 03:34:00	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4c1b4b…
05-02 03:28:08	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x3db0bc…
04-30 05:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	26	29¢	$7	0xf0adaf…
04-30 05:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x49b172…
04-30 05:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x1afb29…
04-30 05:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf67585…
04-30 05:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x743fe8…
04-30 05:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x2e0c1f…
04-30 05:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0xc671ae…
04-30 05:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x88cc27…
04-28 13:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0x9dba91…
04-28 13:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	9	82¢	$7	0x47973b…
04-28 13:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x961465…
04-28 13:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc05825…
04-28 13:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xf165bf…
04-28 13:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xce39bc…
04-28 13:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xe156e4…
04-28 13:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1b99ea…
04-23 17:57:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:55 UTC	Down	SELL	16	38¢	$6	0xcb74ba…
04-23 17:56:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x8d9af4…
04-23 17:47:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:45 UTC	Up	SELL	36	18¢	$6	0x7f01b1…
04-23 17:47:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xcc57ad…
04-23 17:44:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x83aa58…
04-23 17:42:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:40 UTC	Up	SELL	64	19¢	$12	0xad78db…
04-23 17:41:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x1303c6…
04-23 17:40:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x5fc382…
04-23 17:38:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x417a8b…
04-23 17:37:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0xa1c12e…
04-23 17:34:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbc2979…
04-23 17:27:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:25 UTC	Down	SELL	43	16¢	$7	0x544740…
04-23 17:26:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x107a7e…
04-23 17:24:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:20 UTC	Down	SELL	34	25¢	$8	0x98577e…
04-23 17:23:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xf5dbc6…
04-23 17:18:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:15 UTC	Up	SELL	46	2¢	$1	0xb621c7…
04-23 17:17:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf9ac0b…
04-23 17:16:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:15 UTC	Up	SELL	13	51¢	$7	0xb6294e…
04-23 17:16:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0x39f070…
04-23 17:11:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	25	26¢	$6	0xbf0ac0…
04-23 12:54:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xbd2a12…
04-23 12:48:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x402c76…
04-23 12:46:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	28	80¢	$22	0x378282…
04-23 12:45:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x0c4f79…
04-23 12:44:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8c5b5d…
04-23 12:43:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:40 UTC	Down	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x2fefea…
04-23 12:43:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x046ecf…
04-23 12:34:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$7	0xd77134…
04-23 12:23:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6df3b9…
04-23 12:18:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x4d37c3…
04-23 12:17:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:15 UTC	Up	SELL	18	34¢	$6	0x9a3542…
04-23 12:15:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x80ddea…
04-23 12:11:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x38fe94…
04-23 12:08:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:05 UTC	Up	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x1ff0ba…
04-23 12:07:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb10992…
04-23 12:03:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0a0455…
04-23 11:59:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa01ebf…
04-23 11:54:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x144e67…
04-23 11:53:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa0fb22…
04-23 11:48:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfe8e80…
04-23 11:47:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	18	29¢	$5	0xcf0527…
04-23 11:46:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xbbdb7b…
04-23 11:36:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x6356ea…
04-23 11:36:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xb520fa…
04-23 11:33:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:30 UTC	Down	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x9f1499…
04-23 11:32:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x297f6d…
04-23 11:32:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:30 UTC	Up	SELL	16	48¢	$7	0xfe2639…
04-23 11:31:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xdbbf8f…
04-23 11:31:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x9dd3eb…
04-23 11:29:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7672a6…
04-23 11:28:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:25 UTC	Down	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0xa38359…
04-23 11:27:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1ca3c6…
04-23 11:23:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:20 UTC	Down	SELL	36	15¢	$5	0x8cd2a1…
04-23 11:23:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x90166a…
04-23 11:18:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5b0f87…
04-23 11:16:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x503220…
04-23 11:16:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x64c006…
04-23 11:13:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x26e1e3…