Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$110

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.4%

Resolved

Trades

749

lifetime

Volume

$25.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 05-24 20:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

75% 50% +$0

Other

18% 0% $-110

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	37	$2.2K	1,968	1,659	+309	open	—	04-15 16:06
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	56	$2.1K	5,868	3,421	+2,447	open	—	04-16 16:22
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	30	$1.9K	4,263	4,263	+0	open	—	04-08 01:08
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	22	$1.5K	1,042	1,042	+0	open	—	04-16 05:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	13	$1.1K	1,652	1,652	+0	open	—	04-08 01:11
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	11	$1.1K	11,804	688	+11,116	open	—	04-28 15:48
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	15	$870	3,185	1,185	+2,000	open	—	04-23 17:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	9	$764	756	756	+0	open	—	04-07 23:50
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	17	$759	1,073	1,073	+0	open	—	04-12 17:56
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	4	$570	616	616	+0	Yes	$-110	04-09 15:34
cs2 3dmax voc 2026 04 05	19	$543	466	460	+7	open	—	04-05 10:17
cs2 lgc ice 2026 04 05	3	$502	305	302	+3	open	—	04-05 16:56
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	9	$461	774	582	+192	open	—	04-15 16:11
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	7	$454	456	456	+0	open	—	04-12 21:09
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	3	$445	474	460	+14	open	—	04-17 06:18
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	20	$439	1,291	1,291	+0	open	—	04-11 20:03
btc updown 5m 1776036000	8	$383	324	190	+133	open	—	04-12 23:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	16	$367	3,469	3,469	+0	open	—	04-09 21:46
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	8	$331	313	313	+0	Yes	$-13	04-26 23:11
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	9	$313	317	274	+43	open	—	04-05 08:04
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 5, 2026?	2	$312	159	159	+0	open	—	04-05 16:22
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	17	$307	525	504	+21	open	—	04-17 06:46
cs2 justpl eliten 2026 04 05 game2	15	$282	250	246	+4	open	—	04-05 19:08
cs2 justpl eliten 2026 04 05	13	$276	437	341	+96	open	—	04-05 19:02
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	8	$269	444	122	+322	open	—	04-16 15:14
cs2 bcg mibr 2026 04 05	14	$265	246	242	+4	open	—	04-05 13:46
btc updown 5m 1776036900	7	$261	232	225	+7	open	—	04-12 23:39
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	8	$260	275	275	+0	open	—	04-15 18:10
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	2	$258	145	145	+0	open	—	04-10 00:26
north korea missile testlaunch by april 15	2	$250	130	130	+0	open	—	04-08 03:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 20:55:15	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x8abdd1…
04-28 15:48:40	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0x2663b9…
04-28 15:29:22	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x2266ee…
04-28 15:27:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xe3b8ac…
04-26 23:11:38	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	156	70¢	$109	0xb19083…
04-26 23:11:28	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	SELL	126	58¢	$74	0xd988da…
04-26 23:11:10	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	SELL	92	39¢	$36	0xfa9329…
04-26 23:08:30	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	71	61¢	$44	0x577c94…
04-26 22:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	117	1¢	$1	0xa9cf11…
04-26 22:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x07653e…
04-26 22:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xea456f…
04-26 22:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	73	99¢	$73	0x5d6fcf…
04-26 22:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	74	95¢	$70	0x8e8855…
04-26 22:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	67	27¢	$18	0x7b246c…
04-26 22:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xe24d89…
04-26 22:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0x6a8f4e…
04-26 22:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0x0aee76…
04-26 22:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xce7998…
04-26 22:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	35	9¢	$3	0x3e123e…
04-26 22:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x2d8f54…
04-26 22:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9c99f7…
04-26 22:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x69548a…
04-26 22:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x5fb11c…
04-26 22:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x254f1f…
04-26 22:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0xcd091a…
04-26 22:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x78caa6…
04-26 22:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xd0bf58…
04-26 22:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x359112…
04-26 22:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	34	76¢	$26	0x18546b…
04-26 22:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	73	66¢	$48	0x21e5c2…
04-26 22:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf86464…
04-26 22:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0xf3e68c…
04-26 22:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	54	87¢	$47	0x27ce5b…
04-26 20:15:06	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xf027f3…
04-26 20:13:36	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xb36b3e…
04-26 20:13:10	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	SELL	94	53¢	$50	0x70f557…
04-26 19:17:20	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	273	10¢	$27	0x926e66…
04-26 19:16:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0x4f7698…
04-26 13:46:32	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	BUY	92	53¢	$49	0x5199df…
04-26 10:43:24	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	SELL	86	57¢	$49	0xa87303…
04-26 05:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x509bb5…
04-26 05:45:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x4fef2c…
04-26 05:44:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	51¢	$11	0x386aa3…
04-25 22:26:52	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	72	51¢	$37	0x53418c…
04-25 22:26:32	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x79a07c…
04-25 21:08:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xa2f62f…
04-25 21:06:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xac690a…
04-25 21:05:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0x199cfa…
04-25 20:45:28	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xc59826…
04-25 20:45:10	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?	No	SELL	74	99¢	$74	0x61c8e5…
04-25 18:24:50	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0x47b965…
04-25 17:28:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	27¢	$5	0x82686b…
04-25 03:37:54	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?	No	BUY	149	79¢	$117	0x916267…
04-25 03:33:16	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	44	33¢	$14	0xff09df…
04-24 19:26:02	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0xe03c3f…
04-24 19:25:54	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	208	58¢	$120	0x55429a…
04-24 19:25:34	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	578	42¢	$243	0xc42529…
04-24 19:24:56	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	86	56¢	$48	0x29cb9d…
04-24 19:24:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	70¢	$48	0xddfa6b…
04-24 16:01:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0xe3ef1b…
04-24 16:00:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x9fc3fb…
04-24 12:05:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	66¢	$18	0x4ef130…
04-24 00:13:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	41¢	$17	0x216c34…
04-24 00:12:34	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	66	26¢	$18	0xcda8e9…
04-24 00:12:24	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	578	74¢	$427	0x637a2d…
04-23 17:50:38	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	66	44¢	$29	0x901fef…
04-23 17:40:36	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x1b1c7c…
04-21 19:43:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x8b9654…
04-19 15:43:30	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	50,000	0¢	$100	0x05ad49…
04-17 15:32:48	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0xd3b410…
04-17 15:28:52	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0x88271e…
04-17 06:47:36	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x74b0be…
04-17 06:46:38	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	Yes	SELL	98	34¢	$34	0x7a6a16…
04-17 06:18:42	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	Yes	SELL	460	53¢	$244	0xb3ada8…
04-17 04:05:16	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	Yes	SELL	42	40¢	$17	0x379b2c…
04-17 04:05:16	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	Yes	SELL	39	40¢	$16	0x0be77a…
04-17 03:49:18	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	Yes	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x83e7db…
04-17 03:49:16	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x831351…
04-17 03:48:44	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	Yes	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0x36bde1…
04-17 03:47:54	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x0124c0…
04-17 03:46:22	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x6bc2ba…
04-17 03:46:02	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x16105a…
04-17 03:45:56	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x779c1d…
04-17 03:45:36	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xf1629f…
04-17 03:45:36	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	Yes	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0x78c882…
04-17 03:45:34	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	Yes	SELL	175	40¢	$70	0x2b53c5…
04-16 16:51:26	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	718	3¢	$25	0xd37f75…
04-16 16:22:56	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,053	4¢	$91	0xb3d69a…
04-16 16:11:10	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0x800d55…
04-16 15:58:10	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	57	6¢	$3	0xf7b329…
04-16 15:58:08	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	143	6¢	$8	0x72b5e5…
04-16 15:58:00	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x58f8d9…
04-16 15:57:48	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	489	6¢	$30	0xffa6b4…
04-16 15:39:10	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	954	3¢	$30	0xa2a690…
04-16 15:38:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	46¢	$15	0xf03bfd…
04-16 15:38:46	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	25	58¢	$14	0x261726…
04-16 15:38:34	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	674	5¢	$34	0x8e4d56…
04-16 15:34:34	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	457	14¢	$62	0x7cb311…
04-16 15:17:50	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x5fff3c…
04-16 15:16:24	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x1c1ff1…