Weary-Armor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$24.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$525

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 09-08 08:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 69% +$12

Other

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No		+3	$3	99¢	$3	+$0	05-13 06:21
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No		+1	$1	96¢	$1	$0	05-04 06:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum reach 1900 on july 11	1	$2.0K	2,036	+2,036	No	+$4	07-12 03:30
ethereum above 1900 on july 11 2026	1	$2.0K	2,033	+2,033	No	+$4	07-11 07:28
will ethereum reach 1850 on july 10	1	$2.0K	2,029	+2,029	No	+$4	07-11 02:26
xrp above 1pt3 on july 10 2026	1	$2.0K	2,025	+2,025	No	+$4	07-10 08:30
will bitcoin reach 66k on july 9	1	$2.0K	2,021	+2,021	No	+$4	07-10 02:42
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 9?	1	$2.0K	2,018	+2,018	No	+$4	07-09 08:21
ethereum above 3000 on february 2	1	$1.0K	1,038	+1,038	No	+$1	02-02 00:57
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 3	1	$1.0K	1,048	+1,048	No	+$12	02-03 07:11
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3300 on february 1	1	$1.0K	1,037	+1,037	No	+$1	02-01 03:11
will the price of xrp be between 2pt30 2pt40 on january 31	1	$1.0K	1,036	+1,036	No	+$1	01-31 04:06
will the price of ethereum be between 3100 3200 on january 30	1	$1.0K	1,034	+1,034	No	+$2	01-30 02:17
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 29	1	$1.0K	1,032	+1,032	No	+$1	01-29 01:48
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 28	1	$1.0K	1,031	+1,031	No	+$1	01-28 02:37
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 27	1	$1.0K	1,030	+1,030	No	+$2	01-27 01:54
ethereum above 3300 on january 26	1	$1.0K	1,028	+1,028	No	+$1	01-26 01:46
bitcoin above 94k on january 25	1	$1.0K	1,027	+1,027	No	+$2	01-25 03:03
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 24	1	$1.0K	1,024	+1,024	No	+$3	01-24 03:28
will the price of ethereum be between 3600 3700 on january 23	1	$1.0K	1,022	+1,022	No	+$1	01-23 04:01
bitcoin above 60k on august 8 2026	1	$21	21	+21	Yes	+$0	08-07 05:44
bitcoin above 60k on july 31 2026	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	07-30 07:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 9?	1	$16	16	+16	Yes	+$0	09-08 08:28
bitcoin above 60k on august 13 2026	1	$15	16	+16	Yes	+$0	08-12 05:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 26?	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	07-25 03:34
bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	07-02 08:43
will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 6	5	$8	4,147	+4,147	No	-$8	01-06 01:34
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	04-10 13:14
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	06-21 05:07
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	04-22 08:20
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	05-13 06:18
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	05-21 05:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 08:28:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe2ad52…
08-12 05:02:45	bitcoin above 60k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0x0fa053…
08-07 05:44:15	bitcoin above 60k on august 8 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0e51cf…
07-30 07:12:41	bitcoin above 60k on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xa5442f…
07-25 03:34:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 26?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8b7f45…
07-14 02:55:46	will ethereum dip to 1650 on july 13	Yes	BUY	2,020	0¢	$4	0x1c6d1c…
07-13 07:40:01	ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	2,033	0¢	$4	0x6b87fb…
07-12 03:30:55	will ethereum reach 1900 on july 11	No	BUY	2,036	100¢	$2,032	0x21a117…
07-11 07:28:46	ethereum above 1900 on july 11 2026	No	BUY	2,033	100¢	$2,029	0xb5f9c1…
07-11 02:26:50	will ethereum reach 1850 on july 10	No	BUY	2,029	100¢	$2,025	0xfd959a…
07-10 08:30:35	xrp above 1pt3 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	2,025	100¢	$2,021	0x207dd0…
07-10 02:42:31	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 9	No	BUY	2,021	100¢	$2,017	0x3ba5c8…
07-09 08:21:41	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 9?	No	BUY	2,018	100¢	$2,014	0x2fdc10…
07-07 08:41:43	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on July 7?	Yes	BUY	2,064	0¢	$4	0xf5e048…
07-06 02:13:38	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 5	Yes	BUY	2,055	0¢	$4	0xb9fc15…
07-02 08:43:47	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x911b99…
06-26 06:07:29	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x697d07…
06-21 05:07:10	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x14a966…
05-21 05:02:55	Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa251e1…
05-13 06:21:21	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x188f63…
05-13 06:18:54	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x24d1a9…
05-04 06:31:44	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe2dcea…
04-22 08:20:02	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd6eca8…
04-10 13:14:13	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfb03d7…
03-17 02:01:25	bitcoin above 82k on march 17	Yes	BUY	1,065	0¢	$2	0xb81fe4…
03-07 01:31:33	bitcoin above 62k on march 7	No	BUY	1,073	0¢	$2	0xc6c757…
03-05 01:56:53	xrp above 1pt7 on march 5	Yes	BUY	1,068	0¢	$2	0x29dce8…
02-27 01:43:48	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 27	Yes	BUY	1,056	0¢	$3	0xc3355b…
02-23 04:16:54	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 23	Yes	BUY	1,076	0¢	$2	0x29f0f6…
02-13 02:36:39	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 13	Yes	BUY	1,058	0¢	$4	0x3f50c9…
02-03 07:11:24	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 3	No	BUY	1,048	99¢	$1,036	0xa81327…
02-02 00:57:36	ethereum above 3000 on february 2	No	BUY	1,038	100¢	$1,037	0xb2a9ec…
02-01 03:11:18	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3300 on february 1	No	BUY	1,037	100¢	$1,036	0x686997…
01-31 04:06:12	will the price of xrp be between 2pt30 2pt40 on january 31	No	BUY	1,036	100¢	$1,035	0x26ebc5…
01-30 02:17:16	will the price of ethereum be between 3100 3200 on january 30	No	BUY	1,034	100¢	$1,032	0x760500…
01-29 01:48:12	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 29	No	BUY	1,032	100¢	$1,031	0xdc560f…
01-28 02:37:37	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 28	No	BUY	1,031	100¢	$1,030	0x9b9edb…
01-27 01:54:39	will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 27	No	BUY	1,030	100¢	$1,028	0x32586e…
01-26 01:46:02	ethereum above 3300 on january 26	No	BUY	1,028	100¢	$1,027	0xd5bd4f…
01-25 03:03:28	bitcoin above 94k on january 25	No	BUY	1,027	100¢	$1,025	0xbbab70…
01-24 03:28:50	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 24	No	BUY	1,024	100¢	$1,021	0x1cceef…
01-23 04:01:42	will the price of ethereum be between 3600 3700 on january 23	No	BUY	1,022	100¢	$1,021	0x4832c5…
01-06 01:34:31	will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 6	Yes	BUY	1,037	0¢	$2	0xa4db0e…
01-06 01:32:11	will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 6	Yes	BUY	1,037	0¢	$2	0x819ca5…
01-06 01:29:03	will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 6	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xf5ca67…
01-06 01:29:03	will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 6	Yes	BUY	1,037	0¢	$2	0x2d146c…
01-06 01:25:15	will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 6	Yes	BUY	1,036	0¢	$2	0x4da54b…