Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$621

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

119

lifetime

Volume

$96.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$814

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-23 00:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Politics

83% 100% +$343

Other

16% 95% +$312

Sports

0% 100% +$9

Crypto

0% 50% $-43

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	1	$17.4K	17,420	0	+17,420	Yes	+$52	08-15 02:01
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	4	$17.1K	17,158	0	+17,158	Yes	+$34	07-27 02:49
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	24	$17.1K	17,272	0	+17,272	Yes	+$173	08-03 12:15
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	4	$17.1K	17,099	0	+17,099	No	+$37	08-01 04:11
iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	1	$7.9K	7,874	0	+7,874	open	—	08-23 00:39
over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	12	$5.4K	5,487	0	+5,487	No	+$135	07-25 13:26
over 50m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129612 463	3	$3.7K	3,762	0	+3,762	No	+$59	07-25 12:27
over 37pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	6	$2.7K	2,752	0	+2,752	No	+$90	07-25 12:29
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	3	$2.5K	3,281	0	+3,281	open	—	08-23 00:02
over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	2	$998	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$2	07-25 13:19
over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	3	$512	266	266	-0	Yes	+$20	07-17 16:34
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$494	248	248	+0	No	+$0	07-17 06:30
over 35m committed to the ripcars public sale	5	$481	501	0	+501	No	+$21	07-25 13:18
over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	1	$356	358	0	+358	Yes	+$1	07-24 18:43
over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	1	$265	287	0	+287	Yes	+$21	07-17 16:35
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	1	$247	247	0	+247	No	+$0	06-20 02:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$246	247	0	+247	No	+$0	07-02 12:44
Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?	1	$246	246	0	+246	Yes	+$0	06-18 01:07
marc pubill 20260609173616755	2	$205	206	0	+206	No	+$1	06-15 15:15
israel closes its airspace by june 10	1	$123	124	0	+124	No	+$0	06-11 07:32
iran closes its airspace by june 8	1	$121	121	0	+121	Yes	+$0	06-08 08:33
Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?	1	$118	120	0	+120	Yes	+$1	05-31 03:06
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	1	$116	123	0	+123	No	+$7	06-04 16:18
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$116	121	0	+121	No	+$5	06-04 15:39
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$112	112	0	+112	Yes	+$0	05-25 04:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$107	118	0	+118	No	+$12	05-23 04:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	2	$106	112	0	+112	No	+$6	05-20 23:22
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$106	106	0	+106	No	+$1	05-20 23:20
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	1	$95	96	0	+96	Yes	+$1	08-02 13:17
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	1	$94	95	0	+95	Yes	+$1	07-30 01:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-23 00:39:31	iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	No	BUY	7,874	100¢	$7,867	0x6d9531…
08-23 00:02:43	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x12983e…
08-22 23:24:42	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x9c31dd…
08-22 23:19:30	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	BUY	3,248	77¢	$2,501	0x4b5db4…
08-15 02:01:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	17,420	100¢	$17,368	0xe5c072…
08-03 12:15:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	2,136	99¢	$2,115	0x829667…
08-03 11:50:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x91ec0d…
08-03 11:50:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xbb172b…
08-03 11:36:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x0efb18…
08-03 11:35:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	4,549	99¢	$4,503	0x6ed34c…
08-03 10:45:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x75a5ff…
08-03 10:43:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0x0f7913…
08-03 10:33:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x69010c…
08-03 10:28:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,980	0xf41e4b…
08-03 10:27:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	4,053	99¢	$4,013	0x5da16b…
08-03 10:00:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x5559bc…
08-03 09:49:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x1c0e05…
08-03 09:48:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd420d2…
08-03 09:29:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x93084e…
08-03 09:23:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9b98aa…
08-03 09:20:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	527	99¢	$522	0xa889e8…
08-03 09:13:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8eda3c…
08-03 09:03:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xb71428…
08-03 08:49:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x4ad5e1…
08-03 08:45:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xae51ac…
08-03 08:41:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x46807b…
08-03 08:40:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xa59fc2…
08-03 08:35:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	683	99¢	$677	0x612ff1…
08-03 08:32:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	1,653	99¢	$1,636	0xdd8acd…
08-02 13:17:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0xe075c0…
08-01 04:11:35	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	7,112	100¢	$7,105	0x6079b0…
08-01 03:40:18	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	436	100¢	$435	0xe465e5…
08-01 03:32:06	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb2c4cd…
08-01 03:22:56	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	9,545	100¢	$9,516	0xaafa8e…
07-30 01:54:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	Yes	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0xfc5eb3…
07-27 02:49:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	Yes	BUY	3,884	100¢	$3,876	0x57e767…
07-27 02:44:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x79ab62…
07-27 02:37:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xad5f4d…
07-27 02:36:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	Yes	BUY	13,233	100¢	$13,206	0x309ca0…
07-25 13:26:06	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xb828bd…
07-25 13:25:03	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	120	98¢	$117	0x5c0f0a…
07-25 13:24:40	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	116	98¢	$113	0x64eb2d…
07-25 13:24:21	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	1,759	98¢	$1,724	0x39157f…
07-25 13:19:22	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xac122f…
07-25 13:18:22	over 35m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	58	95¢	$55	0x766aa1…
07-25 13:17:54	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xde38fc…
07-25 13:17:30	over 35m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	98	95¢	$92	0x823e06…
07-25 12:55:39	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	176	98¢	$172	0xf8f016…
07-25 12:29:03	over 37pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	2,200	97¢	$2,134	0xa70caf…
07-25 12:28:55	over 35m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xeb2f87…
07-25 12:28:34	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xb6d373…
07-25 12:28:16	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xd1627a…
07-25 12:28:07	over 37pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x01d1ee…
07-25 12:28:01	over 37pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x801954…
07-25 12:27:55	over 37pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xb9f263…
07-25 12:27:48	over 37pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x7fae7b…
07-25 12:27:40	over 35m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	290	97¢	$280	0x3f938b…
07-25 12:27:30	over 37pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	392	96¢	$375	0xece80a…
07-25 12:27:19	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x6e6870…
07-25 12:27:01	over 50m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129612 463	No	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x6b58c2…
07-25 12:26:54	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	36	99¢	$35	0x1591ef…
07-25 12:26:40	over 50m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129612 463	No	BUY	2,100	98¢	$2,068	0x7563ea…
07-25 12:26:34	over 50m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129612 463	No	BUY	1,537	98¢	$1,511	0x90cdd5…
07-25 12:26:21	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	2,063	98¢	$2,013	0xd9b233…
07-25 12:26:01	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	268	97¢	$261	0x88dadf…
07-25 12:25:48	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	800	96¢	$768	0xc61ee2…
07-24 18:43:12	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	358	100¢	$356	0x53a3cc…
07-17 16:35:00	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	287	92¢	$265	0x510905…
07-17 16:34:12	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	266	100¢	$266	0x6e1c7a…
07-17 06:31:00	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	166	92¢	$153	0x308453…
07-17 06:30:45	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x9c0c76…
07-17 06:30:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	248	100¢	$247	0x435dae…
07-13 12:51:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	248	100¢	$247	0x91f5e7…
07-02 12:44:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	247	100¢	$246	0xe6139e…
06-20 02:26:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	247	100¢	$247	0x150f68…
06-18 01:07:19	Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?	Yes	BUY	246	100¢	$246	0x5f4557…
06-15 15:15:03	marc pubill 20260609173616755	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0a3f19…
06-15 15:14:49	marc pubill 20260609173616755	No	BUY	201	99¢	$199	0xe7a0a4…
06-15 15:14:07	pau cubarsi 20260609173616775	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xa10af2…
06-11 07:32:15	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0x81e1e6…
06-08 08:33:28	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x8985a7…
06-04 16:18:07	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	BUY	123	94¢	$116	0xf6ce48…
06-04 15:39:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	121	96¢	$116	0xb6633f…
05-31 03:06:12	Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?	Yes	BUY	120	99¢	$118	0x8fd01b…
05-25 04:39:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x000b4f…
05-23 04:51:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	118	90¢	$107	0x772eeb…
05-20 23:22:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	98	94¢	$92	0x56e3f5…
05-20 23:20:35	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x55efaa…
05-20 23:13:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x83738d…
04-25 03:27:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x90429c…
04-25 03:20:12	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xaabed3…
04-22 03:32:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	37	100¢	$36	0xacdfe2…
04-14 06:40:47	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x80ca6d…
04-14 06:40:03	will thrash be the 2 us netflix movie this week	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdff274…
04-10 04:12:07	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x55e5f3…
04-10 03:37:15	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x86cb0d…
04-05 13:30:45	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x8bf117…
04-02 02:12:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x26f82f…
04-02 02:02:25	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x61a692…
04-02 02:00:51	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	35	88¢	$31	0x2dc9af…