Fearful-Bead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12.9K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved

33,748

Trades

107,702

lifetime

Volume

$599.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-12 07:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 174 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% -$12,862

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 947 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	—	+5	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	11-12 07:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 23:15 UTC	145	$1.5K	1,374	1,374	+0	Down	+$14	01-05 23:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 16:45 UTC	124	$1.3K	1,319	1,205	+113	Down	+$38	01-05 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 22:30 UTC	149	$1.2K	1,208	1,195	+14	Up	+$0	01-05 22:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 05:45 UTC	79	$1.2K	1,217	1,196	+22	Down	+$54	01-06 05:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 23:30 UTC	99	$1.1K	1,245	976	+270	Down	+$31	01-05 23:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 19:15 UTC	82	$1.1K	1,145	894	+252	Up	-$69	01-05 19:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 05:15 UTC	62	$1.1K	1,013	908	+105	Down	-$176	01-06 05:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 17:00 UTC	94	$989	970	970	+0	Down	+$50	01-05 17:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 05:30 UTC	68	$892	722	795	-73	Down	-$43	01-06 05:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:15 UTC	79	$886	902	412	+490	Up	-$291	01-06 06:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 09:00 UTC	63	$847	830	786	+45	Down	+$37	01-05 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:00 UTC	82	$820	1,082	969	+112	Up	-$47	01-06 06:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 07:15 UTC	42	$782	633	492	+141	Down	-$51	01-13 07:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 05:45 UTC	71	$774	845	550	+295	Down	+$87	01-19 05:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 07:45 UTC	56	$764	826	720	+106	Down	+$14	01-05 07:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 14:15 UTC	79	$751	682	662	+20	Up	-$42	01-05 14:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 23:15 UTC	42	$748	466	464	+2	Up	+$32	01-07 23:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 00:00 UTC	37	$736	598	542	+56	Down	-$11	01-08 00:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 05:45 UTC	38	$715	449	448	+1	Down	+$10	01-13 05:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 08:30 UTC	13	$709	702	634	+69	Up	+$128	01-23 08:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 15:45 UTC	5	$695	461	457	+4	Down	+$99	01-24 15:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 13:30 UTC	84	$663	532	532	+0	Down	-$5	01-06 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 18:30 UTC	53	$635	616	506	+110	Down	+$21	01-05 18:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 06:45 UTC	14	$622	438	433	+5	Up	+$22	01-13 06:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 05:45 UTC	70	$619	652	643	+9	Up	+$54	01-18 06:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 07:00 UTC	31	$617	384	382	+2	Down	+$16	01-13 07:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 07:30 UTC	43	$612	424	421	+3	Down	+$12	01-13 07:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 00:15 UTC	88	$606	864	593	+270	Up	-$110	01-06 00:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 01:00 UTC	24	$601	491	432	+59	Up	-$40	01-08 01:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 05:00 UTC	16	$597	365	363	+2	Up	-$5	01-13 05:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 07:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xfebb9a…
11-12 07:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xd3cddd…
11-12 07:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xa5c782…
11-12 07:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x4e4e5f…
11-12 07:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x320037…
11-12 07:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x2bcb5d…
11-12 07:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x6cf075…
11-12 07:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xdb88b0…
11-12 07:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x7d1fed…
11-12 07:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x56784b…
11-12 07:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xba012d…
11-12 07:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x88e24c…
11-12 07:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x4b5231…
11-12 07:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0xcad424…
11-12 07:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x7a5549…
11-12 07:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xec3223…
11-12 07:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x455f5c…
11-12 07:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb235fb…
11-12 07:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xfdb29f…
11-12 07:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xf9cd2c…
11-12 07:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6c9de4…
11-12 07:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb47219…
11-12 07:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8000a0…
11-12 07:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xae5555…
11-12 07:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8e0643…
11-12 07:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5cfd8b…
11-12 07:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x10099a…
11-12 07:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0x8ecbe4…
11-12 07:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x10bfd7…
11-12 07:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xd20a88…
11-12 07:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xde5b4c…
11-12 07:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x9bdd7d…
11-12 07:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x3a8a03…
11-12 07:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xd1a64d…
11-12 07:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x4f0fb8…
11-12 07:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xe92560…
11-12 07:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0x4ff5a4…
11-12 07:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x1ffcf9…
11-12 06:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xdb032a…
11-12 06:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9b3fa0…
11-12 06:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xdeef47…
11-12 06:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x893580…
11-12 06:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x52f5c0…
11-12 06:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xcc4b93…
11-12 06:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcac348…
11-12 06:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xaf90f1…
11-12 06:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x798863…
11-12 06:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xa793e3…
11-12 06:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xdf2d25…
11-12 06:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa85b90…
11-12 06:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x59afef…
11-12 06:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x56f709…
11-12 06:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x2f6453…
11-12 06:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd6c653…
11-12 06:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xfb3a66…
11-12 06:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5b96ab…
11-12 06:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xc4c326…
11-12 06:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x52ed99…
11-12 06:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x64a28a…
11-12 06:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xfcc3eb…
11-12 06:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x390088…
11-12 06:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7ccacd…
11-12 06:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xffad05…
11-12 06:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x808713…
11-12 06:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xa4dbf3…
11-12 06:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3b4c20…
11-12 06:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3b60f2…
11-12 06:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x36c158…
11-12 06:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x2b9ae5…
11-12 06:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xdda7e9…
11-12 06:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x16aba3…
11-12 06:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1e483d…
11-12 06:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe13db2…
11-12 06:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2579f9…
11-12 06:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xb67d5d…
11-12 06:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x42250d…
11-12 06:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa3dd45…
11-12 06:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x1ec374…
11-12 06:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x925301…
11-12 06:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8dafa4…
11-12 06:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xeee720…
11-12 06:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc663ea…
11-12 06:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0x36de87…
11-12 06:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x199e99…
11-12 06:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x48335b…
11-12 06:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5ebd78…
11-12 06:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x5e693e…
11-12 06:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x4853df…
11-12 06:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x6dae36…
11-12 06:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x119a35…
11-12 06:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xf2fdb4…
11-12 06:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9d30f2…
11-12 06:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xff0039…
11-12 06:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x118f18…
11-12 06:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x03b8ce…
11-12 06:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x4d3347…
11-12 06:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x0bc03b…
11-12 06:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc3ea61…
11-12 06:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xf4e077…
11-12 06:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc13964…