Fearful-Bead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12.8K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

57.3%

Resolved

33,708

Trades

107,455

lifetime

Volume

$598.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-11 13:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 173 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% -$12,820

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 947 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	—	+10	$5	99¢	$10	+$5	11-11 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	—	+17	$5	1¢	$0	-$5	11-11 14:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 23:15 UTC	145	$1.5K	1,374	1,374	+0	Down	+$14	01-05 23:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 16:45 UTC	124	$1.3K	1,319	1,205	+113	Down	+$38	01-05 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 22:30 UTC	149	$1.2K	1,208	1,195	+14	Up	+$0	01-05 22:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 05:45 UTC	79	$1.2K	1,217	1,196	+22	Down	+$54	01-06 05:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 23:30 UTC	99	$1.1K	1,245	976	+270	Down	+$31	01-05 23:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 19:15 UTC	82	$1.1K	1,145	894	+252	Up	-$69	01-05 19:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 05:15 UTC	62	$1.1K	1,013	908	+105	Down	-$176	01-06 05:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 17:00 UTC	94	$989	970	970	+0	Down	+$50	01-05 17:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 05:30 UTC	68	$892	722	795	-73	Down	-$43	01-06 05:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:15 UTC	79	$886	902	412	+490	Up	-$291	01-06 06:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 09:00 UTC	63	$847	830	786	+45	Down	+$37	01-05 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:00 UTC	82	$820	1,082	969	+112	Up	-$47	01-06 06:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 07:15 UTC	42	$782	633	492	+141	Down	-$51	01-13 07:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 05:45 UTC	71	$774	845	550	+295	Down	+$87	01-19 05:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 07:45 UTC	56	$764	826	720	+106	Down	+$14	01-05 07:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 14:15 UTC	79	$751	682	662	+20	Up	-$42	01-05 14:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 23:15 UTC	42	$748	466	464	+2	Up	+$32	01-07 23:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 00:00 UTC	37	$736	598	542	+56	Down	-$11	01-08 00:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 05:45 UTC	38	$715	449	448	+1	Down	+$10	01-13 05:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 08:30 UTC	13	$709	702	634	+69	Up	+$128	01-23 08:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 15:45 UTC	5	$695	461	457	+4	Down	+$99	01-24 15:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 13:30 UTC	84	$663	532	532	+0	Down	-$5	01-06 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 18:30 UTC	53	$635	616	506	+110	Down	+$21	01-05 18:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 06:45 UTC	14	$622	438	433	+5	Up	+$22	01-13 06:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 05:45 UTC	70	$619	652	643	+9	Up	+$54	01-18 06:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 07:00 UTC	31	$617	384	382	+2	Down	+$16	01-13 07:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 07:30 UTC	43	$612	424	421	+3	Down	+$12	01-13 07:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 00:15 UTC	88	$606	864	593	+270	Up	-$110	01-06 00:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 01:00 UTC	24	$601	491	432	+59	Up	-$40	01-08 01:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 05:00 UTC	16	$597	365	363	+2	Up	-$5	01-13 05:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 14:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd030b6…
11-11 14:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x756294…
11-11 14:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x341460…
11-11 14:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xcaf016…
11-11 14:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x18a806…
11-11 14:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd21e5d…
11-11 14:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x8c98bd…
11-11 14:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc16e05…
11-11 14:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xac6ba7…
11-11 14:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xacd867…
11-11 14:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xd363e9…
11-11 14:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x8e4a72…
11-11 14:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	17¢	$0	0x5231a3…
11-11 14:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xed2431…
11-11 14:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x09f4f5…
11-11 13:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x5baf6f…
11-11 13:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x46b18d…
11-11 13:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x749f4d…
11-11 13:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x5e550b…
11-11 13:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x3b48cf…
11-11 13:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$5	0xf4a411…
11-11 13:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xe09da0…
11-11 13:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0xa33b7a…
11-11 13:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x069f4c…
11-11 13:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xdfa078…
11-11 13:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x17db73…
11-11 13:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xcd2961…
11-11 13:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0xac978c…
11-11 13:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7247ba…
11-11 13:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x1c6ba8…
11-11 13:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x213f66…
11-11 13:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xc070df…
11-11 13:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x588b90…
11-11 13:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1d215d…
11-11 13:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x100387…
11-11 13:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x0036e9…
11-11 13:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xeb930e…
11-11 13:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xc84cdf…
11-11 13:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x88921b…
11-11 13:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x53bd71…
11-11 13:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xef40d1…
11-11 13:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0xdd05ea…
11-11 13:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x4661ab…
11-11 13:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x33e005…
11-11 13:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x184955…
11-11 13:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc9ebf4…
11-11 13:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4b71b2…
11-11 13:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x32d1e8…
11-11 13:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xe83dc9…
11-11 12:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0xbd7041…
11-11 12:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xb877a8…
11-11 12:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x8a7ae3…
11-11 12:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x75b8d7…
11-11 12:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x0641b8…
11-11 12:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x574a44…
11-11 12:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x5c27f2…
11-11 12:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfaba18…
11-11 12:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xb5547b…
11-11 12:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x822caa…
11-11 12:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6f1e72…
11-11 11:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x49b977…
11-11 11:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x208e57…
11-11 11:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xca24c2…
11-11 11:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xa3dc8e…
11-11 11:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xce830d…
11-11 11:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x9e2caa…
11-11 11:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x97ddd5…
11-11 11:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x230449…
11-11 11:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xc8528b…
11-11 11:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	63¢	$5	0x0e0a3a…
11-11 11:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xddbb22…
11-11 11:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xc55d15…
11-11 11:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xd2e76b…
11-11 11:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x33317b…
11-11 11:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x56b52b…
11-11 11:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0xfd010e…
11-11 11:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x698af4…
11-11 11:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x6596f7…
11-11 11:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x885607…
11-11 11:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xc56f7e…
11-11 11:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x85cbfe…
11-11 11:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x338460…
11-11 11:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xd6bd25…
11-11 11:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x9245ee…
11-11 11:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x4ba434…
11-11 11:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x410b43…
11-11 11:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xabede5…
11-11 11:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$4	0x815184…
11-11 11:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x768eac…
11-11 11:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x617b3b…
11-11 11:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc2cb7f…
11-11 11:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xe9480f…
11-11 11:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x34d8d2…
11-11 11:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x298276…
11-11 11:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x23dbf6…
11-11 11:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xeed40c…
11-11 11:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x5be161…
11-11 11:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xda21d7…
11-11 11:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xf94dfe…
11-11 11:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xeeacb8…