Fearful-Bead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12.8K

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

57.3%

Resolved

33,710

Trades

107,494

lifetime

Volume

$598.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-11 14:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 173 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% -$12,807

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 947 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	—	+10	$3	1¢	$0	-$3	11-11 15:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 23:15 UTC	145	$1.5K	1,374	1,374	+0	Down	+$14	01-05 23:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 16:45 UTC	124	$1.3K	1,319	1,205	+113	Down	+$38	01-05 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 22:30 UTC	149	$1.2K	1,208	1,195	+14	Up	+$0	01-05 22:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 05:45 UTC	79	$1.2K	1,217	1,196	+22	Down	+$54	01-06 05:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 23:30 UTC	99	$1.1K	1,245	976	+270	Down	+$31	01-05 23:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 19:15 UTC	82	$1.1K	1,145	894	+252	Up	-$69	01-05 19:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 05:15 UTC	62	$1.1K	1,013	908	+105	Down	-$176	01-06 05:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 17:00 UTC	94	$989	970	970	+0	Down	+$50	01-05 17:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 05:30 UTC	68	$892	722	795	-73	Down	-$43	01-06 05:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:15 UTC	79	$886	902	412	+490	Up	-$291	01-06 06:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 09:00 UTC	63	$847	830	786	+45	Down	+$37	01-05 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:00 UTC	82	$820	1,082	969	+112	Up	-$47	01-06 06:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 07:15 UTC	42	$782	633	492	+141	Down	-$51	01-13 07:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 05:45 UTC	71	$774	845	550	+295	Down	+$87	01-19 05:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 07:45 UTC	56	$764	826	720	+106	Down	+$14	01-05 07:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 14:15 UTC	79	$751	682	662	+20	Up	-$42	01-05 14:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 23:15 UTC	42	$748	466	464	+2	Up	+$32	01-07 23:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 00:00 UTC	37	$736	598	542	+56	Down	-$11	01-08 00:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 05:45 UTC	38	$715	449	448	+1	Down	+$10	01-13 05:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 08:30 UTC	13	$709	702	634	+69	Up	+$128	01-23 08:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 15:45 UTC	5	$695	461	457	+4	Down	+$99	01-24 15:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 13:30 UTC	84	$663	532	532	+0	Down	-$5	01-06 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 18:30 UTC	53	$635	616	506	+110	Down	+$21	01-05 18:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 06:45 UTC	14	$622	438	433	+5	Up	+$22	01-13 06:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 05:45 UTC	70	$619	652	643	+9	Up	+$54	01-18 06:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 07:00 UTC	31	$617	384	382	+2	Down	+$16	01-13 07:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 07:30 UTC	43	$612	424	421	+3	Down	+$12	01-13 07:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 00:15 UTC	88	$606	864	593	+270	Up	-$110	01-06 00:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 01:00 UTC	24	$601	491	432	+59	Up	-$40	01-08 01:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 05:00 UTC	16	$597	365	363	+2	Up	-$5	01-13 05:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 15:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xbba1ce…
11-11 15:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x89feeb…
11-11 15:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x3f7454…
11-11 15:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x355f7a…
11-11 15:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2719b8…
11-11 15:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x964d35…
11-11 15:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x114aad…
11-11 15:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x82c115…
11-11 15:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf4023b…
11-11 15:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x54290d…
11-11 15:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x412137…
11-11 15:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa4ba2c…
11-11 15:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9b8820…
11-11 15:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x0041b3…
11-11 15:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb3d332…
11-11 15:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xebd55d…
11-11 15:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa56780…
11-11 15:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x169c9e…
11-11 15:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x4b76d8…
11-11 15:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0xec1d0b…
11-11 15:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x0abe06…
11-11 14:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x08c2bb…
11-11 14:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xbeca40…
11-11 14:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xe6d0e0…
11-11 14:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x5b097b…
11-11 14:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xffdf60…
11-11 14:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xced6f2…
11-11 14:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xc3282b…
11-11 14:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xef6cfd…
11-11 14:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xac8052…
11-11 14:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x29967d…
11-11 14:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xacd50d…
11-11 14:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6a4b2f…
11-11 14:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xfb1143…
11-11 14:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x732a3b…
11-11 14:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x49b308…
11-11 14:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xbd48d7…
11-11 14:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x675fad…
11-11 14:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0e734f…
11-11 14:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xfad1a2…
11-11 14:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0x59a237…
11-11 14:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x200b43…
11-11 14:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x3e1626…
11-11 14:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf69ded…
11-11 14:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xdb0c3f…
11-11 14:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd030b6…
11-11 14:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x756294…
11-11 14:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x341460…
11-11 14:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xcaf016…
11-11 14:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x18a806…
11-11 14:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd21e5d…
11-11 14:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x8c98bd…
11-11 14:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc16e05…
11-11 14:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xac6ba7…
11-11 14:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xacd867…
11-11 14:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xd363e9…
11-11 14:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x8e4a72…
11-11 14:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	17¢	$0	0x5231a3…
11-11 14:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xed2431…
11-11 14:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x09f4f5…
11-11 13:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x5baf6f…
11-11 13:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x46b18d…
11-11 13:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x749f4d…
11-11 13:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x5e550b…
11-11 13:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x3b48cf…
11-11 13:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$5	0xf4a411…
11-11 13:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xe09da0…
11-11 13:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0xa33b7a…
11-11 13:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x069f4c…
11-11 13:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xdfa078…
11-11 13:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x17db73…
11-11 13:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xcd2961…
11-11 13:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0xac978c…
11-11 13:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7247ba…
11-11 13:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x1c6ba8…
11-11 13:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x213f66…
11-11 13:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xc070df…
11-11 13:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x588b90…
11-11 13:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1d215d…
11-11 13:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x100387…
11-11 13:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x0036e9…
11-11 13:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xeb930e…
11-11 13:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xc84cdf…
11-11 13:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x88921b…
11-11 13:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x53bd71…
11-11 13:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xef40d1…
11-11 13:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0xdd05ea…
11-11 13:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x4661ab…
11-11 13:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x33e005…
11-11 13:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x184955…
11-11 13:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc9ebf4…
11-11 13:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4b71b2…
11-11 13:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x32d1e8…
11-11 13:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xe83dc9…
11-11 12:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0xbd7041…
11-11 12:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xb877a8…
11-11 12:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x8a7ae3…
11-11 12:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x75b8d7…
11-11 12:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x0641b8…
11-11 12:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x574a44…