Fearful-Bead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved

33,739

Trades

107,638

lifetime

Volume

$599.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-11 21:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 173 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% -$12,864

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 947 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 23:15 UTC	145	$1.5K	1,374	1,374	+0	Down	+$14	01-05 23:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 16:45 UTC	124	$1.3K	1,319	1,205	+113	Down	+$38	01-05 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 22:30 UTC	149	$1.2K	1,208	1,195	+14	Up	+$0	01-05 22:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 05:45 UTC	79	$1.2K	1,217	1,196	+22	Down	+$54	01-06 05:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 23:30 UTC	99	$1.1K	1,245	976	+270	Down	+$31	01-05 23:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 19:15 UTC	82	$1.1K	1,145	894	+252	Up	-$69	01-05 19:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 05:15 UTC	62	$1.1K	1,013	908	+105	Down	-$176	01-06 05:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 17:00 UTC	94	$989	970	970	+0	Down	+$50	01-05 17:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 05:30 UTC	68	$892	722	795	-73	Down	-$43	01-06 05:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:15 UTC	79	$886	902	412	+490	Up	-$291	01-06 06:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 09:00 UTC	63	$847	830	786	+45	Down	+$37	01-05 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:00 UTC	82	$820	1,082	969	+112	Up	-$47	01-06 06:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 07:15 UTC	42	$782	633	492	+141	Down	-$51	01-13 07:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 05:45 UTC	71	$774	845	550	+295	Down	+$87	01-19 05:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 07:45 UTC	56	$764	826	720	+106	Down	+$14	01-05 07:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 14:15 UTC	79	$751	682	662	+20	Up	-$42	01-05 14:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 23:15 UTC	42	$748	466	464	+2	Up	+$32	01-07 23:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 00:00 UTC	37	$736	598	542	+56	Down	-$11	01-08 00:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 05:45 UTC	38	$715	449	448	+1	Down	+$10	01-13 05:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 08:30 UTC	13	$709	702	634	+69	Up	+$128	01-23 08:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 15:45 UTC	5	$695	461	457	+4	Down	+$99	01-24 15:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 13:30 UTC	84	$663	532	532	+0	Down	-$5	01-06 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 18:30 UTC	53	$635	616	506	+110	Down	+$21	01-05 18:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 06:45 UTC	14	$622	438	433	+5	Up	+$22	01-13 06:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 05:45 UTC	70	$619	652	643	+9	Up	+$54	01-18 06:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 07:00 UTC	31	$617	384	382	+2	Down	+$16	01-13 07:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 07:30 UTC	43	$612	424	421	+3	Down	+$12	01-13 07:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 00:15 UTC	88	$606	864	593	+270	Up	-$110	01-06 00:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 01:00 UTC	24	$601	491	432	+59	Up	-$40	01-08 01:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 05:00 UTC	16	$597	365	363	+2	Up	-$5	01-13 05:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 21:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x5cb6ba…
11-11 21:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x5d2984…
11-11 21:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x906a8e…
11-11 21:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd2f9dc…
11-11 21:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8e2229…
11-11 21:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x51dafd…
11-11 21:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x8f5e43…
11-11 21:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbfd5a7…
11-11 21:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0xe97a89…
11-11 21:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xbecf87…
11-11 21:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x755d44…
11-11 21:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x565acc…
11-11 21:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x9ebc01…
11-11 21:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0xc201a2…
11-11 21:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x189142…
11-11 21:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb370c7…
11-11 21:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x594177…
11-11 21:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xc92718…
11-11 21:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0x08f7b7…
11-11 21:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3070e8…
11-11 21:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xcac2d9…
11-11 21:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x3c17b0…
11-11 21:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3959e2…
11-11 21:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xcc5bfa…
11-11 21:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xcd570f…
11-11 21:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc52117…
11-11 21:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xf79552…
11-11 21:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9e9e4a…
11-11 21:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x04ce70…
11-11 21:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x6c834f…
11-11 21:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x79c228…
11-11 21:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0x04883c…
11-11 21:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6dd37f…
11-11 21:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xbf55c6…
11-11 21:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xda47ea…
11-11 21:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd0ce14…
11-11 21:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x3da2ef…
11-11 21:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x20c12d…
11-11 21:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xb3c4fd…
11-11 20:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5c95c8…
11-11 20:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xea731f…
11-11 20:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd5eb7c…
11-11 20:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x3f1662…
11-11 20:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1a232e…
11-11 20:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8695b7…
11-11 20:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xe7c007…
11-11 20:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9a51cb…
11-11 20:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2585a1…
11-11 20:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0x9e554e…
11-11 20:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x96ca9c…
11-11 20:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3c2bdc…
11-11 20:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x00010e…
11-11 20:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x04331f…
11-11 20:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xa805e7…
11-11 20:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xfcf8ed…
11-11 20:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe57e88…
11-11 20:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x43b752…
11-11 20:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xcb86fb…
11-11 20:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x7b063e…
11-11 20:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x00b856…
11-11 20:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0xed97b4…
11-11 20:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0xcda98a…
11-11 20:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x08a516…
11-11 20:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xec6e9e…
11-11 20:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x3cea0a…
11-11 20:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xa5e4e7…
11-11 20:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xb2da23…
11-11 20:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x62bd50…
11-11 20:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x73980b…
11-11 20:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf134d0…
11-11 17:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x1414fc…
11-11 17:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xca1855…
11-11 17:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xc7dd8a…
11-11 17:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x8351f6…
11-11 17:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x6c89fd…
11-11 17:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x810689…
11-11 17:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x3c29be…
11-11 17:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x2053dd…
11-11 17:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x49fb87…
11-11 16:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xbe81d4…
11-11 16:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xe0df93…
11-11 16:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x297728…
11-11 15:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x35143a…
11-11 15:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xffc971…
11-11 15:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x46cf4a…
11-11 15:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb99fac…
11-11 15:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x7ce15e…
11-11 15:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0x1a9db3…
11-11 15:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xf87420…
11-11 15:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x301ea2…
11-11 15:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd8651b…
11-11 15:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0xd9e31b…
11-11 15:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xbadc19…
11-11 15:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x07e060…
11-11 15:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x1e5223…
11-11 15:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x73b416…
11-11 15:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xce138d…
11-11 15:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x43fb81…
11-11 15:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x282dac…
11-11 15:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6c5c60…