Surprised-Haste — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$97

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.9%

Resolved

328

Trades

2,535

lifetime

Volume

$205.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 06-10 00:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 86% $-94

Other

7% 83% $-3

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us invade iran by march 31	3	$5.7K	20,214	20,214	+0	open	—	03-13 19:53
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$4.1K	2,984	2,984	+0	open	—	03-06 20:10
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	3	$4.0K	3,737	3,737	+0	open	—	03-07 09:08
btc updown 15m 1774884600	1	$2.0K	2,042	0	+2,042	open	—	03-30 15:41
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	3	$2.0K	2,664	2,664	+0	open	—	03-07 09:08
btc updown 5m 1774878000	1	$2.0K	2,064	0	+2,064	open	—	03-30 13:42
btc updown 5m 1774917900	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	open	—	03-31 00:48
btc updown 5m 1774701000	1	$2.0K	2,020	0	+2,020	open	—	03-28 12:34
btc updown 5m 1774699800	1	$2.0K	2,020	0	+2,020	open	—	03-28 12:14
xrp updown 15m 1774682100	1	$2.0K	2,013	0	+2,013	open	—	03-28 07:26
btc updown 15m 1774688400	1	$2.0K	2,005	0	+2,005	open	—	03-28 09:14
btc updown 5m 1774848900	1	$2.0K	2,021	0	+2,021	open	—	03-30 05:39
btc updown 5m 1774823700	1	$2.0K	2,003	0	+2,003	open	—	03-29 22:38
btc updown 15m 1775466900	1	$1.7K	1,730	0	+1,730	open	—	04-06 09:28
btc updown 5m 1775459700	1	$1.7K	1,730	0	+1,730	open	—	04-06 07:19
btc updown 5m 1775455500	1	$1.7K	1,715	0	+1,715	open	—	04-06 06:07
btc updown 15m 1775444400	1	$1.7K	1,682	0	+1,682	open	—	04-06 03:14
sol updown 5m 1775442600	2	$1.6K	1,666	0	+1,666	open	—	04-06 02:34
btc updown 15m 1775378700	1	$1.6K	1,588	0	+1,588	open	—	04-05 08:59
btc updown 15m 1775374200	1	$1.6K	1,586	0	+1,586	open	—	04-05 07:44
btc updown 15m 1776379500	1	$1.5K	1,552	0	+1,552	open	—	04-16 22:59
btc updown 15m 1775361600	1	$1.5K	1,573	0	+1,573	open	—	04-05 04:11
btc updown 15m 1776367800	5	$1.5K	1,549	0	+1,549	open	—	04-16 19:41
btc updown 5m 1776366000	1	$1.5K	1,538	0	+1,538	open	—	04-16 19:04
btc updown 15m 1775757600	1	$1.5K	1,528	0	+1,528	open	—	04-09 18:10
btc updown 15m 1776362400	4	$1.5K	1,525	0	+1,525	open	—	04-16 18:14
xrp updown 15m 1775713500	1	$1.5K	1,510	0	+1,510	open	—	04-09 05:56
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	3	$1.5K	71,295	71,295	+0	open	—	03-20 05:18
eth updown 15m 1774983600	5	$1.5K	4,238	0	+4,238	open	—	03-31 19:14
btc updown 15m 1775709900	1	$1.5K	1,512	0	+1,512	open	—	04-09 04:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 00:25:04	btc updown 15m 1781050500	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xc0e4b3…
06-09 23:56:42	btc updown 15m 1781048700	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x96bc53…
06-09 23:37:45	btc updown 5m 1781048100	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xaa34ee…
06-09 18:36:09	ethereum up or down june 9 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x12202c…
06-09 09:12:33	btc updown 15m 1780995600	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x3b1dd5…
06-09 09:12:10	btc updown 15m 1780995600	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xa9ac8a…
06-09 08:41:22	btc updown 15m 1780993800	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xe827f7…
06-09 08:41:06	btc updown 15m 1780993800	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x55d4bc…
06-09 06:32:21	eth updown 5m 1780986600	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe61a54…
06-08 08:10:51	btc updown 5m 1780906200	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xa604f7…
06-08 08:10:43	btc updown 5m 1780906200	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0b51ac…
06-08 08:10:25	btc updown 15m 1780905600	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xae88eb…
06-08 04:47:30	btc updown 5m 1780893900	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x202b0e…
06-08 04:47:06	btc updown 5m 1780893900	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x1d3921…
06-08 04:26:04	ethereum up or down june 8 2026 12am et	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x63f6c2…
06-08 04:24:48	ethereum up or down june 8 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x935a9c…
06-08 03:54:01	ethereum up or down june 7 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xd47015…
06-08 02:50:34	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 10pm et	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xc20031…
06-08 02:45:07	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x6ad056…
06-08 00:57:46	btc updown 5m 1780880100	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x0129f8…
06-08 00:57:43	btc updown 5m 1780880100	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x48c822…
06-08 00:38:09	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xcb8725…
06-08 00:14:27	eth updown 5m 1780877400	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x89993a…
06-07 23:27:31	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x362104…
06-07 22:58:52	btc updown 5m 1780872900	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x401479…
06-07 18:11:07	btc updown 15m 1780855200	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x53a488…
06-07 17:46:09	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe4f8ac…
06-07 17:10:46	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x444b03…
06-07 15:45:54	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x3a57c4…
06-07 15:40:45	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x6ca8b3…
06-07 15:40:45	btc updown 15m 1780846200	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x54598d…
06-07 15:22:46	btc updown 15m 1780845300	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xd471be…
06-07 14:35:13	btc updown 15m 1780842600	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x75dc66…
06-07 14:35:04	btc updown 15m 1780842600	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xb84e3b…
06-07 14:27:33	btc updown 5m 1780842300	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x27568e…
06-07 14:27:25	btc updown 5m 1780842300	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xc642a8…
06-07 09:34:09	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x6ca4c2…
06-07 09:14:10	btc updown 5m 1780823400	Down	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xc23865…
06-07 09:14:00	btc updown 5m 1780823400	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x16d59e…
06-07 08:37:21	eth updown 5m 1780821300	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x66676d…
06-07 08:23:45	btc updown 15m 1780820100	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x820e1a…
06-07 08:23:40	eth updown 5m 1780820400	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf7c393…
06-07 08:23:22	btc updown 5m 1780820400	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x0351ee…
06-07 04:44:18	btc updown 5m 1780807200	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x220e12…
06-07 04:44:13	btc updown 5m 1780807200	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x3b1c9c…
06-07 02:20:04	btc updown 15m 1780798500	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xe63bac…
06-07 02:19:33	btc updown 15m 1780798500	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7d6808…
06-07 00:09:22	btc updown 5m 1780790700	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb9e0d5…
06-06 23:54:18	btc updown 5m 1780789800	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xa6ed12…
06-06 23:54:01	btc updown 5m 1780789800	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x589a11…
06-06 23:37:04	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9e2016…
06-06 23:08:12	btc updown 15m 1780786800	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x5eca14…
06-06 22:54:12	btc updown 15m 1780785900	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5b7ab8…
06-06 22:24:10	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0x34f18b…
06-06 22:08:07	btc updown 5m 1780783500	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$3	0x147cd3…
06-06 22:08:03	btc updown 15m 1780783200	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x832884…
06-06 22:00:54	btc updown 5m 1780783200	Down	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x534926…
06-06 22:00:30	btc updown 5m 1780783200	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xe1d47c…
06-06 21:38:09	eth updown 5m 1780781700	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x94d13c…
06-06 21:24:13	btc updown 5m 1780780800	Up	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xaf2ace…
06-06 21:22:37	btc updown 5m 1780780800	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x333ea5…
06-06 20:58:45	btc updown 15m 1780778700	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x7c6e71…
06-06 20:57:07	btc updown 15m 1780778700	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xedb580…
06-06 20:48:04	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 4pm et	Up	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0xd26a56…
06-06 20:47:09	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xa88d1a…
06-06 20:41:27	btc updown 15m 1780777800	Up	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x4b2003…
06-06 20:38:36	btc updown 15m 1780777800	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x1d6cef…
06-06 19:26:33	btc updown 5m 1780773900	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x076816…
06-06 19:26:22	btc updown 15m 1780773300	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6a5114…
06-06 18:56:07	ethereum up or down june 6 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x6c67b2…
06-06 17:58:04	btc updown 5m 1780768500	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xe357db…
06-06 17:57:52	btc updown 5m 1780768500	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x6bf2cd…
06-06 17:49:03	btc updown 5m 1780767900	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xebe699…
06-06 17:49:03	btc updown 15m 1780767900	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xd32d9d…
06-06 17:48:51	sol updown 5m 1780767900	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xff6526…
06-06 17:48:46	eth updown 5m 1780767900	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xd5177a…
06-06 17:48:46	btc updown 5m 1780767900	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3d625c…
06-06 17:48:45	btc updown 15m 1780767900	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x56a29a…
06-06 05:38:54	eth updown 5m 1780724100	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0x706b97…
06-06 04:04:18	btc updown 5m 1780718400	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xa20a5c…
06-06 04:03:57	btc updown 5m 1780718400	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x9ba2c0…
06-06 00:48:13	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 8pm et	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x70b002…
06-06 00:48:09	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4ad0d1…
06-05 17:39:37	btc updown 15m 1780680600	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x63931e…
06-05 17:39:25	btc updown 15m 1780680600	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x31f51d…
06-05 17:31:55	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x52d151…
06-05 17:31:51	ethereum up or down june 5 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xf959c6…
06-05 17:25:13	btc updown 15m 1780679700	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0x243bf8…
06-05 17:24:16	btc updown 15m 1780679700	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0xb98196…
06-05 16:03:39	btc updown 15m 1780675200	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x52d704…
06-05 16:03:01	sol updown 5m 1780675200	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xec74e4…
06-05 16:03:00	btc updown 15m 1780675200	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x93a679…
06-05 16:02:58	btc updown 5m 1780675200	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x481638…
06-05 12:05:16	btc updown 15m 1780660800	Down	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xa36339…
06-05 12:04:49	btc updown 15m 1780660800	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xd931e4…
06-05 11:58:24	btc updown 15m 1780659900	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0xe0e5e3…
06-05 11:58:00	btc updown 15m 1780659900	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x7d7ff3…
06-05 10:09:37	btc updown 15m 1780653600	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x1f04b7…
06-05 04:54:22	btc updown 15m 1780634700	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x677c88…
06-05 02:08:21	btc updown 5m 1780625100	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x19a5f3…