Substantial-Nonsense — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.06K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.0%

Resolved

416

Trades

1,039

lifetime

Volume

$2.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 07-22 07:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 93 days

Categories

Other

66% 35% -$132

Politics

33% 62% -$903

Crypto

2% 33% -$21

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$904	370,000	0	+370,000	Yes	-$904	04-08 18:41
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	5	$137	109	108	+2	No	-$21	04-14 14:02
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 13?	2	$37	34	34	+0	Yes	+$31	06-14 04:46
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 65 89	6	$35	36	36	+1	Yes	-$12	04-15 11:07
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 65 89	3	$30	26	25	+1	Yes	+$8	04-11 09:29
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	6	$29	82	79	+3	No	+$1	04-19 06:16
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 280 299	5	$24	76	73	+3	No	+$0	04-19 06:15
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	10	$23	66	63	+3	No	+$1	04-15 11:23
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	7	$23	47	33	+14	No	+$0	03-24 14:05
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	4	$23	54	52	+2	No	+$1	04-08 18:35
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	7	$20	31	16	+15	Yes	+$5	04-17 11:30
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 11?	9	$20	134	134	+0	No	+$14	06-11 14:07
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	5	$19	65	62	+3	No	-$7	04-15 09:01
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	03-24 18:56
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 26?	11	$18	135	137	-2	No	-$10	04-24 16:23
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	10	$17	27	27	+0	No	+$2	03-27 14:13
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 29?	4	$17	12	12	+0	Yes	+$7	06-30 06:41
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	7	$17	73	73	+0	No	-$3	04-29 18:23
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 5?	3	$16	14	14	+0	Yes	+$10	06-05 05:43
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 19?	4	$15	9	9	+0	Yes	+$2	06-19 12:53
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	5	$15	21	20	+1	Yes	+$12	04-27 17:03
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12?	3	$15	13	13	+0	Yes	+$9	06-12 04:57
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 1?	2	$15	12	12	+0	Yes	+$9	06-01 08:35
cz binance of tweets april 3 april 10 2026 20 39	4	$15	22	22	+0	No	-$15	04-09 09:51
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 10?	2	$15	12	12	+0	Yes	+$9	06-10 15:10
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	3	$14	83	83	+0	No	-$6	04-29 18:23
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	6	$14	83	83	+0	No	-$6	04-28 16:41
cz binance of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 20 39	2	$14	20	20	+1	No	-$6	04-12 07:02
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	3	$13	65	63	+3	No	-$9	04-12 18:53
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 11?	2	$13	10	10	+0	Yes	+$7	06-12 04:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 07:21:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x69cbe9…
07-17 08:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa69911…
07-16 10:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6430d9…
07-14 14:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on July 14?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xf02762…
07-14 14:55:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on July 14?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xbba5db…
07-14 13:50:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x5e58e1…
07-14 12:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on July 14?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2b7ef6…
07-14 12:31:20	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x720e11…
07-14 12:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xbc8c59…
07-14 10:30:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x502dea…
07-12 14:29:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 12?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc9423f…
07-07 13:59:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x020bd4…
07-07 13:59:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xb524aa…
07-07 11:09:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x12e6a6…
07-06 19:19:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 6?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7ba3cc…
07-06 11:48:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x1f53b2…
07-05 15:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xedad55…
07-05 10:33:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfbdbae…
07-04 07:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0200ae…
07-04 05:18:41	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on July 4?	Yes	BUY	979	0¢	$1	0x69f152…
07-02 10:23:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xe7404f…
07-01 08:55:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6b0d19…
07-01 08:53:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4f26f5…
07-01 06:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x3a2acf…
07-01 06:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 1?	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x7b3a23…
07-01 05:59:47	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2567b1…
06-30 13:26:56	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7272fe…
06-30 07:26:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8dce08…
06-30 06:41:44	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 29?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xbc5e70…
06-29 16:15:41	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7141e4…
06-29 09:41:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x45d0b2…
06-29 09:40:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xa7e68c…
06-29 08:59:13	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x84bffd…
06-29 08:58:56	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc89fbe…
06-29 08:58:35	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xea2eb5…
06-29 08:58:20	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5c979a…
06-29 08:57:50	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x3805b4…
06-29 03:13:35	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x76f95d…
06-28 19:44:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x16fab3…
06-28 18:57:56	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc4db7d…
06-28 18:09:05	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x799c8a…
06-28 07:34:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7b0203…
06-28 06:06:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x43555f…
06-27 13:18:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x4e5005…
06-27 13:18:14	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 28?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x8b4633…
06-27 12:02:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xbfdd9b…
06-27 11:40:29	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xa1fc9f…
06-26 07:55:41	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 25?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x954ea7…
06-26 07:15:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x1a4550…
06-26 07:09:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 26?	Yes	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x9f1462…
06-26 07:07:29	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x625186…
06-26 03:52:14	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xe8df64…
06-25 08:12:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x438b4d…
06-24 15:08:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 24?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xdf4d7e…
06-24 15:07:56	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 24?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x0ee361…
06-23 12:06:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 23?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xd99141…
06-23 12:06:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 23?	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x8ecb17…
06-22 13:09:05	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x31903c…
06-22 12:00:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 22?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xf09e4e…
06-22 12:00:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 22?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x777b01…
06-22 11:27:14	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 22?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x2eeb75…
06-21 14:49:50	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xaa158c…
06-21 12:11:32	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x3f7bea…
06-21 12:07:05	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x2659e9…
06-21 12:06:11	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xdd41e6…
06-21 12:06:11	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x53db8a…
06-21 12:06:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$1	0xbd7eac…
06-20 12:33:05	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xbc08ba…
06-20 12:31:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xfbba6e…
06-20 12:05:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x59a2a1…
06-20 12:05:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x56a01f…
06-19 12:53:44	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 19?	Yes	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0xbb45d6…
06-19 12:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa99d51…
06-19 12:00:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7da678…
06-19 12:00:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 19?	Yes	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x54d886…
06-19 09:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x05b7bb…
06-19 09:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 19?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xeb4ee3…
06-19 08:55:11	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 19?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x01e442…
06-17 19:53:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xde9ce0…
06-17 19:53:26	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 17?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x1355a0…
06-17 15:00:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x112596…
06-17 14:59:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x4cd7bd…
06-17 14:59:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 17?	Yes	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0xd54a43…
06-17 14:58:50	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 17?	Yes	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x4fac71…
06-17 14:58:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf85488…
06-17 14:55:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 17?	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0xa2fc53…
06-17 13:28:11	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x79da43…
06-17 12:00:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x8f8bd7…
06-17 12:00:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xcbd3dd…
06-17 11:17:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 17?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$2	0x96992c…
06-17 09:15:38	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5f8177…
06-17 09:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x9bb14c…
06-17 05:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x8e6e7d…
06-17 05:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x1efeeb…
06-17 04:42:41	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6927c1…
06-16 16:48:35	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 16?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x5bc7be…
06-16 16:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 16?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x8ce204…
06-16 07:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7e72da…
06-16 07:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1501dd…
06-16 07:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16?	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x52d7da…