Bumpy-Terracotta — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.44K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.3%

Resolved

5,059

Trades

79,251

lifetime

Volume

$188.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-02

last 07-29 16:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 70% -$1,241

Other

11% 85% +$21

Politics

2% 71% -$237

Tech

0% 100% +$16

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12?	46	$3.7K	2,341	2,181	+160	Yes	-$5	06-12 14:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	101	$3.1K	3,270	2,728	+542	Yes	-$236	06-19 20:54
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 21?	10	$1.3K	650	650	+0	Yes	+$1	06-21 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?	42	$1.2K	620	620	+0	Yes	+$78	06-18 08:31
bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 3am et	13	$1.1K	720	420	+300	Up	+$3	06-22 07:56
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 22?	17	$1.0K	508	508	+0	Yes	+$8	06-22 17:27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 22?	15	$992	500	500	+0	Yes	+$6	06-22 12:22
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?	22	$986	503	503	+0	Yes	+$10	06-19 16:53
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?	13	$849	520	400	+120	Yes	+$70	06-20 18:26
bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 3pm et	273	$806	619	334	+285	Down	+$4	07-23 20:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 20:30 UTC	10	$741	800	0	+800	Up	-$41	06-22 20:35
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 17?	5	$707	357	357	+0	Yes	+$7	06-17 20:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 13:45 UTC	7	$700	718	0	+718	Down	+$18	06-24 13:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 18:15 UTC	112	$618	225	973	-748	Down	-$4	06-28 18:29
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?	15	$617	310	310	+0	Yes	+$2	06-22 13:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 7?	57	$611	343	333	+10	Yes	+$11	06-07 09:23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 19?	9	$605	308	308	+0	Yes	+$10	06-19 07:07
bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 1pm et	103	$575	939	0	+939	Down	-$47	06-22 17:58
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or below on July 25?	6	$568	305	305	+0	No	-$32	07-25 13:34
bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 12pm et	20	$552	600	0	+600	Down	+$48	06-21 16:46
bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 11am et	7	$515	520	0	+520	Up	+$5	06-21 15:59
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	18	$474	314	314	-0	Yes	-$17	06-22 20:20
xrp up or down july 23 2026 3pm et	255	$459	621	0	+621	Down	-$45	07-23 19:59
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 16:40 UTC	12	$450	327	227	+100	Up	-$20	07-05 16:46
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 12?	7	$434	275	161	+114	Yes	+$1	06-12 11:09
ethereum up or down july 23 2026 3pm et	245	$422	612	0	+612	Down	+$14	07-23 19:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 18:30 UTC	197	$414	406	418	-13	Down	-$31	06-28 18:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 20:20 UTC	9	$396	500	0	+500	Down	+$4	06-22 20:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 20:25 UTC	8	$396	500	0	+500	Down	+$4	06-22 20:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 13:10 UTC	13	$394	552	73	+479	Down	+$2	07-05 13:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 16:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 30?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xfa205e…
07-28 20:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 30?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x871c0a…
07-28 20:20:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 30?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x8345b9…
07-26 05:32:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x19d0e3…
07-26 05:32:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x50b52a…
07-26 05:32:21	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x971492…
07-26 05:32:21	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6b1973…
07-26 05:32:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xb7f229…
07-26 05:32:19	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1c0d34…
07-26 05:32:18	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x156cbc…
07-26 05:32:16	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe3a176…
07-26 05:32:16	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x42867f…
07-26 05:32:15	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6a991e…
07-26 05:32:13	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xcadda4…
07-26 05:32:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x472b11…
07-26 05:32:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb6e6a6…
07-26 05:32:09	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x977b9c…
07-26 05:32:07	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9a6ab6…
07-26 05:32:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x202e77…
07-26 05:32:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x81724c…
07-26 05:31:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x628152…
07-26 05:31:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcfc01e…
07-26 05:31:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x702129…
07-26 05:31:40	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4a8da7…
07-26 05:31:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x7627f4…
07-26 05:31:37	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x5cdd00…
07-26 05:31:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x7d9d3b…
07-26 05:31:34	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc6ffe9…
07-26 05:31:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x416d94…
07-26 05:31:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa99876…
07-26 05:31:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x0aa899…
07-26 05:31:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x7d51ae…
07-26 05:31:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x228893…
07-26 05:31:21	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe431b5…
07-26 05:31:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x88ca71…
07-26 05:30:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x55cf66…
07-26 05:30:34	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x84d87b…
07-26 05:25:45	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa90f2b…
07-26 05:25:45	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0x44851b…
07-26 05:25:37	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc508ad…
07-26 05:25:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x798bb8…
07-26 05:21:00	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x628373…
07-26 05:20:57	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf5841b…
07-26 05:20:55	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$3	0xd68f7f…
07-26 05:20:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x5f2fd5…
07-26 05:20:54	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x509448…
07-26 05:20:51	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x241e41…
07-26 05:20:49	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xa33c33…
07-26 05:20:46	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x19b5d2…
07-26 05:20:45	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x7907d7…
07-26 05:20:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7d2dc6…
07-26 05:20:42	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xb5908a…
07-26 05:16:40	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x3a0ae2…
07-26 05:16:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x227f9b…
07-26 05:16:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xb760e8…
07-26 05:16:19	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa55165…
07-26 05:16:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xaa7b6c…
07-26 05:16:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x72a84a…
07-26 05:16:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x14cd88…
07-26 05:16:15	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x82f8d3…
07-26 05:16:15	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x1dc855…
07-26 05:16:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x71597b…
07-26 05:16:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa68564…
07-26 05:16:09	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x954e38…
07-26 05:16:06	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x903503…
07-26 05:16:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x268758…
07-26 05:16:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x0091a3…
07-26 05:11:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x79227f…
07-26 05:11:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc468f7…
07-26 05:11:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x0430d9…
07-26 05:10:39	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x082e74…
07-26 05:10:39	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x01bc1b…
07-26 05:10:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xc0e3d3…
07-26 05:10:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x07a366…
07-26 05:07:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x710e8f…
07-26 05:06:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x816928…
07-26 05:06:19	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0xb69be0…
07-26 05:06:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x499568…
07-26 05:06:16	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$4	0x7ffa17…
07-26 05:06:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x1c27d3…
07-26 05:06:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0d7e4f…
07-26 05:06:13	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x78ad28…
07-26 05:06:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$5	0x90a2aa…
07-26 05:06:12	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x667699…
07-26 05:01:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3d836b…
07-26 05:01:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb9441a…
07-26 05:01:34	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe69fbd…
07-26 05:01:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x7e904b…
07-26 05:01:13	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa93209…
07-26 05:00:46	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8ac5fd…
07-26 05:00:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd71160…
07-26 05:00:42	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x771e5d…
07-26 05:00:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7c3d3b…
07-26 05:00:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x2a03fb…
07-26 05:00:39	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0xb5ac66…
07-26 05:00:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x2da9c5…
07-26 05:00:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x08ab9e…
07-26 04:46:51	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x69f5b2…
07-26 04:46:48	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x16bc0d…
07-26 04:46:45	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x6b6748…