(anonymous) 0x193ab9…ae32c1
hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.00K
Unrealized P&L
+$65
Hit rate
74.2%
Resolved
138
Trades
725
lifetime
Volume
$16.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$2.02K
16 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 10-31 02:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Politics
69% 73% +$623
Other
28% 73% +$481
Tech
2% 70% -$100
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,260 $1,091 99¢ $1.3K +$160 10-27 23:16
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +400 $342 62¢ $250 -$92 10-23 18:58
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +200 $164 84¢ $169 +$5 10-24 01:34
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +200 $130 70¢ $141 +$11 10-24 21:56
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? No +57 $50 100¢ $57 +$7 09-24 12:25
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +50 $46 96¢ $48 +$2 10-24 12:34
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +231 $50 20¢ $47 -$3 10-26 00:01
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +40 $29 92¢ $37 +$8 09-22 20:46
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +13 $10 87¢ $11 +$1 09-10 19:10
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +15 $7 32¢ $5 -$2 10-21 13:50
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +29 $10 11¢ $3 -$7 10-05 12:50
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 10-05 15:03
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? Yes +500 $0 0¢ $1 +$0 10-06 15:34
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-05 18:57
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? Yes +500 $0 0¢ $1 +$0 10-12 02:31
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +5 $25 2¢ $0 -$25 10-25 20:45