Nocturnal-Storyboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

4,368

Trades

7,203

lifetime

Volume

$1.45M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$201

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 06-15 23:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 100% -$5,202

Other

10% 94% -$7,754

Politics

1% 50% -$7,093

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 64k on april 1	2	$15.3K	15,289	0	+15,289	Yes	+$25	04-01 09:04
highest temperature in shanghai on april 14 2026 16c	42	$9.7K	4,873	4,970	-96	No	+$103	04-14 03:51
bitcoin up or down april 4 2026 7pm et	3	$8.4K	8,421	0	+8,421	Down	+$22	04-04 23:59
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	45	$7.3K	8,121	8,121	+0	Yes	-$7,226	06-14 23:05
spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	8	$7.2K	7,260	0	+7,260	Up	+$28	06-08 13:32
bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	5	$7.1K	7,074	0	+7,074	Yes	+$14	06-07 06:42
bitcoin up or down april 4 2026 10pm et	9	$6.9K	6,860	0	+6,860	Up	+$9	04-05 02:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 22:50 UTC	2	$6.5K	6,583	0	+6,583	Up	+$108	04-07 22:53
bitcoin above 64k on april 6	1	$6.4K	6,432	0	+6,432	Yes	+$13	04-06 05:30
will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 7	11	$6.4K	6,503	0	+6,503	No	+$103	06-08 01:52
spx up or down on april 1 2026	3	$6.3K	6,326	0	+6,326	Up	+$13	04-01 19:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 07:30 UTC	1	$6.2K	6,292	0	+6,292	Up	+$63	04-07 07:34
bitcoin above 68k on april 5	5	$5.8K	5,816	0	+5,816	No	+$38	04-05 14:33
ethereum above 2255 on april 8 2026 6pm et	1	$5.6K	5,632	0	+5,632	No	+$6	04-08 21:49
bitcoin above 56k on june 6 2026	4	$5.5K	5,492	0	+5,492	Yes	+$16	06-06 09:25
will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 6	1	$5.5K	5,580	0	+5,580	No	+$112	06-07 00:36
bitcoin above 72400 on april 10 2026 11am et	10	$5.4K	5,466	0	+5,466	Yes	+$27	04-10 14:54
bitcoin above 60k on june 4 2026	3	$5.4K	5,382	0	+5,382	Yes	+$5	06-04 14:48
will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 3	3	$5.3K	5,357	0	+5,357	No	+$13	06-04 03:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 2?	2	$5.3K	5,346	0	+5,346	No	+$27	06-03 03:33
bitcoin above 65400 on april 2 2026 11am et	6	$5.2K	5,273	0	+5,273	Yes	+$26	04-02 14:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 23:00 UTC	1	$5.2K	5,299	0	+5,299	Down	+$59	04-07 23:14
bitcoin above 64k on april 5	1	$5.2K	5,250	0	+5,250	Yes	+$10	04-05 11:06
bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 7pm et	1	$5.1K	5,344	0	+5,344	Up	+$197	04-06 23:55
bitcoin above 73000 on april 9 2026 7pm et	2	$5.0K	5,009	0	+5,009	No	+$5	04-09 22:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 23:15 UTC	1	$5.0K	5,038	0	+5,038	Up	-$5,000	04-07 23:19
bitcoin above 72800 on april 9 2026 11pm et	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$5	04-10 02:47
spx opens up or down on april 2 2026	2	$4.9K	4,941	0	+4,941	Down	+$10	04-02 13:01
bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 9pm et	3	$4.9K	4,929	0	+4,929	Down	+$58	04-06 01:55
will bitcoin reach 73k on april 7	7	$4.7K	4,748	0	+4,748	No	+$9	04-08 03:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 23:43:30	will bitcoin reach 69k on june 15	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x96f7e8…
06-15 14:04:42	spx up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x19061e…
06-15 14:03:39	spx opens up or down on june 15 2026	Up	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x50952d…
06-15 02:12:43	spx opens up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	57	95¢	$54	0xf05898…
06-15 01:16:03	ethereum above 1760 on june 14 2026 10pm et	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xd6ea83…
06-15 00:41:51	bitcoin above 66200 on june 14 2026 9pm et	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xf03b05…
06-14 23:11:16	bitcoin above 64000 on june 14 2026 8pm et	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$49	0xcf871f…
06-14 23:05:46	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	83	0¢	$0	0x1919fb…
06-14 23:05:40	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	300	0¢	$2	0x9ef720…
06-14 23:05:33	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	300	0¢	$2	0x40e9d4…
06-14 23:05:24	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	300	0¢	$2	0xf1ccbc…
06-14 23:05:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	300	0¢	$2	0x3a27bb…
06-14 23:04:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0x28780c…
06-14 23:04:19	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	400	0¢	$2	0xb381e7…
06-14 23:04:12	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	300	0¢	$2	0xb3dcb5…
06-14 23:04:03	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	300	0¢	$2	0x001949…
06-14 23:03:54	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	300	0¢	$2	0x8ac468…
06-14 23:03:45	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	300	0¢	$2	0xc3b949…
06-14 23:03:34	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	300	0¢	$2	0xdf82f9…
06-14 23:03:24	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	300	0¢	$2	0xd2023f…
06-14 23:03:15	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	300	0¢	$2	0xf28955…
06-14 23:03:07	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	400	0¢	$2	0x591caa…
06-14 23:02:57	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	400	0¢	$2	0x79a0ce…
06-14 23:02:46	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	400	0¢	$2	0x88f27e…
06-14 23:02:40	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x0e60e9…
06-14 23:02:34	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	1,205	1¢	$7	0x487fa7…
06-14 23:02:22	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	400	1¢	$3	0xe734e6…
06-14 23:02:13	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	400	1¢	$3	0x689237…
06-14 23:02:09	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	400	1¢	$3	0x93e1bd…
06-14 23:01:58	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	350	1¢	$3	0x6f0c97…
06-14 23:01:46	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	365	1¢	$3	0x183db5…
06-09 20:22:00	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	500	88¢	$440	0x2e398e…
06-09 20:18:36	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0xe08f5d…
06-09 20:18:36	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	47	88¢	$41	0xc853fd…
06-09 20:18:36	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0x42ecca…
06-09 20:18:36	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0x2dc09c…
06-09 20:16:24	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0xba238f…
06-09 20:16:24	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0xb7579e…
06-09 20:16:22	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	41	88¢	$36	0xddb8a7…
06-09 20:16:22	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	41	88¢	$36	0x04b8ae…
06-09 19:52:54	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x41d8f7…
06-09 19:52:52	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	4,000	88¢	$3,520	0x8fc695…
06-09 19:38:03	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x072a13…
06-09 19:31:58	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	73	88¢	$64	0xba06fb…
06-09 12:04:24	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	3,147	92¢	$2,895	0xf57940…
06-09 11:59:28	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0x98bb63…
06-09 11:52:48	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x3ca5ae…
06-09 11:51:18	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x74a4bf…
06-09 11:36:30	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x803656…
06-09 11:32:07	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x502b6a…
06-09 05:06:37	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x39d08d…
06-09 05:06:07	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	159	100¢	$158	0x49ef3a…
06-09 04:58:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9?	Yes	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,992	0x8b5a61…
06-09 04:08:01	will ethereum dip to 1600 on june 8	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0x6a0595…
06-09 03:58:10	will ethereum dip to 1600 on june 8	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5449d2…
06-09 03:56:36	ethereum above 1650 on june 9 2026 12am et	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xdd5057…
06-09 03:56:25	ethereum above 1680 on june 9 2026 12am et	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x484b11…
06-09 03:55:58	bitcoin above 63000 on june 9 2026 12am et	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x3a610d…
06-09 03:55:13	bitcoin above 63600 on june 9 2026 12am et	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xec4a99…
06-09 03:55:00	bitcoin above 63800 on june 9 2026 12am et	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x0b6998…
06-09 03:54:51	bitcoin above 64000 on june 9 2026 12am et	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xa538a0…
06-09 03:47:25	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 8	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xfe7be5…
06-09 03:44:19	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 8	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x5e86d4…
06-09 03:44:04	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 8	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xf4424a…
06-09 03:40:01	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 8	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x111a4e…
06-09 03:39:16	will ethereum dip to 1600 on june 8	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0x12fd31…
06-09 03:24:12	will ethereum dip to 1500 on june 8	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa290af…
06-09 02:54:36	will ethereum dip to 1500 on june 8	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa91851…
06-09 02:43:36	will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 8	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xffdc0c…
06-09 01:34:19	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x67e4ef…
06-09 01:34:19	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x454cce…
06-09 00:40:24	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 8	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x255e1e…
06-08 13:32:07	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	396	100¢	$395	0x15ffbf…
06-08 13:26:31	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xc4f7bc…
06-08 13:00:31	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	1,273	100¢	$1,268	0x1282c2…
06-08 12:57:34	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	1,250	100¢	$1,245	0x6a62b6…
06-08 12:37:39	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7b33d6…
06-08 12:35:19	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd9a379…
06-08 12:30:04	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x947a73…
06-08 09:54:16	ethereum above 1640 on june 8 2026 6am et	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x3f0f4e…
06-08 09:53:52	bitcoin above 64000 on june 8 2026 6am et	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x23ce74…
06-08 09:49:55	ethereum above 1610 on june 8 2026 6am et	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xefa649…
06-08 09:49:52	ethereum above 1620 on june 8 2026 6am et	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x8b4081…
06-08 09:49:46	ethereum above 1600 on june 8 2026 6am et	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x611e1a…
06-08 09:46:39	ethereum above 1630 on june 8 2026 6am et	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x758d8a…
06-08 09:42:27	ethereum above 1700 on june 8 2026 6am et	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xf5647d…
06-08 09:40:27	bitcoin above 62000 on june 8 2026 6am et	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x7eb9b8…
06-08 09:40:12	bitcoin above 61800 on june 8 2026 6am et	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x877c28…
06-08 09:40:04	bitcoin above 61600 on june 8 2026 6am et	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x58ae95…
06-08 09:39:51	bitcoin above 61400 on june 8 2026 6am et	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x97af63…
06-08 08:58:24	ethereum above 1650 on june 8 2026 5am et	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x85f5da…
06-08 08:58:18	bitcoin above 62800 on june 8 2026 5am et	Yes	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x40fd1b…
06-08 08:57:58	ethereum above 1630 on june 8 2026 5am et	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x5a9bfc…
06-08 08:57:00	bitcoin above 63400 on june 8 2026 5am et	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x5b7a68…
06-08 08:56:49	bitcoin above 62600 on june 8 2026 5am et	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xac5762…
06-08 08:55:09	bitcoin above 63600 on june 8 2026 5am et	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x0916cb…
06-08 08:54:46	ethereum above 1640 on june 8 2026 5am et	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x6e0905…
06-08 08:54:45	bitcoin above 62400 on june 8 2026 5am et	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x6566ac…
06-08 08:52:01	ethereum above 1700 on june 8 2026 5am et	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xfa99f5…
06-08 08:51:01	ethereum above 1620 on june 8 2026 5am et	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xa102ea…