Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$428

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

17.9%

Resolved

156

Trades

1,177

lifetime

Volume

$11.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-02

last 10-28 21:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

45% 19% -$104

Politics

44% 14% -$213

Sports

6% 14% -$33

Tech

4% 30% -$64

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Crypto

1% 33% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes		+5	$3	3¢	$0	-$2	10-25 19:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	7	$184	187	187	+0	No	-$4	09-21 19:24
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 12, 2026?	9	$178	163	163	+0	No	+$1	09-11 14:35
Will Benedita da Silva win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	3	$141	118	118	+0	No	+$12	09-09 23:38
Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?	7	$140	143	143	+0	Yes	+$1	09-23 22:04
Will Keith Hoffmann be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?	4	$134	127	127	+0	No	-$3	09-09 05:47
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	13	$130	104	104	+0	No	-$1	08-07 16:19
Will Cid Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?	7	$120	108	108	+0	Yes	-$10	09-03 21:12
Will Andrea Horwath win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?	9	$118	86	86	+0	No	-$8	09-07 15:18
Will Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election?	3	$114	100	100	+0	Yes	-$2	10-04 21:34
Will Philadelphia Waterdogs be named the 2026 Premier League Lacrosse Champion?	9	$109	110	110	+0	Yes	-$5	09-20 15:55
Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?	8	$104	84	84	+0	open	—	09-20 14:26
Will Arthur Lira win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?	2	$103	90	90	+0	Yes	-$9	09-04 14:01
Will Elche be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	2	$100	89	89	+0	open	—	09-19 05:57
Will Drake release a new album by December 31?	2	$99	71	71	+0	open	—	09-24 16:37
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	2	$95	111	111	+0	Yes	-$1	08-30 15:48
Will JEF United Chiba be relegated from the 2026-27 Japan J. League?	4	$94	82	82	+0	open	—	09-15 23:28
Will Russell Yaxley win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?	4	$94	72	72	+0	No	-$11	09-08 00:01
Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?	4	$93	60	60	+0	No	-$2	09-20 16:01
Will Jack Grealish join Everton?	8	$91	94	94	+0	Yes	-$6	08-07 16:19
Will CAQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?	2	$90	92	92	+0	No	-$5	09-14 06:50
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?	7	$89	171	131	+40	No	-$18	09-21 20:07
Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?	3	$88	118	118	+0	No	-$6	09-12 18:32
Will Boca Juniors win the 2026 Copa Sudamericana?	2	$87	73	73	+0	open	—	10-08 13:17
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?	7	$87	78	78	+0	open	—	08-11 20:25
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Attorney General election?	3	$86	97	97	+0	open	—	10-02 11:24
Will Yordan Alvarez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?	6	$83	74	74	-0	Yes	-$13	08-06 06:42
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?	8	$82	140	140	+0	Yes	-$16	08-08 10:50
Will Branko Blanuša win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	8	$82	94	94	+0	No	-$5	09-14 11:47
Will Isabelle Blais win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?	7	$82	96	76	+20	Yes	-$21	09-15 22:04
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title?	8	$81	81	81	+0	Yes	-$1	08-31 01:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 21:32:38	Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xc92c26…
10-27 14:13:03	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xa967d9…
10-27 07:43:26	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xfeafbf…
10-27 02:24:21	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xd3cd25…
10-27 02:24:06	Kings vs. Spurs	Kings	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x9a5042…
10-26 22:19:45	Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xfc16d6…
10-26 18:17:17	Wizards vs. Hornets	Wizards	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc1351d…
10-26 18:16:30	Will Meta (META) close above $640 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x2f8e13…
10-26 10:13:48	Suns vs. Thunder	Suns	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x0feccf…
10-26 10:11:23	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 on October 26?	No	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xfed7a6…
10-26 06:04:35	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0xd63029…
10-26 03:16:42	Bulls vs. Celtics	Bulls	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xb8a1a3…
10-25 23:11:51	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x5099e1…
10-25 23:10:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0a9526…
10-25 19:06:26	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xcafaeb…
10-25 19:05:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xafa4fd…
10-25 17:09:38	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x0d32e3…
10-25 16:29:44	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xc4917b…
10-25 16:29:44	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x8bf46d…
10-25 16:29:42	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x771ecf…
10-25 08:20:05	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	1win	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x3d00fa…
10-25 07:00:59	Clippers vs. Thunder	Clippers	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x52db7b…
10-25 07:00:11	Giants vs. Texans	Giants	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x2e6b93…
10-25 06:52:42	Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7cb7b8…
10-25 04:04:20	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2c9d55…
10-25 04:04:02	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x482e1e…
10-24 21:58:02	Spurs vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xbaa8d1…
10-24 21:16:41	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x8025c5…
10-24 21:16:41	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x648c28…
10-24 20:49:09	Will Ferencvaros finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	Yes	SELL	29	35¢	$10	0xf9baa2…
10-24 20:49:09	Will RB Leipzig finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	No	SELL	29	37¢	$11	0xdc850e…
10-24 20:49:09	Will Shakhtar Donetsk finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	SELL	29	52¢	$15	0xb7e03b…
10-24 20:49:08	Will South Korea win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	Yes	SELL	29	28¢	$8	0xe577f6…
10-24 20:49:08	Will Ant-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?	No	SELL	29	47¢	$14	0xdbf555…
10-24 20:49:08	Will Lille qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	29	38¢	$11	0xc4d627…
10-24 20:49:08	Will the New York Islanders record 90+ points?	Yes	SELL	29	42¢	$12	0x6fc598…
10-24 20:49:08	Will Ferencvaros finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?	No	SELL	29	36¢	$11	0x2da189…
10-24 20:49:08	Will Dua Lipa headline Coachella 2027?	No	SELL	29	39¢	$11	0x2c0531…
10-24 20:49:06	Will Monaco qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	SELL	29	49¢	$14	0xd062b5…
10-24 20:49:06	Will Bodø/Glimt finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	SELL	29	51¢	$15	0xcea098…
10-24 20:48:12	Will Harry Kane be the top scorer of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?	No	SELL	29	46¢	$13	0x8412d1…
10-24 20:07:48	Will California have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	29	48¢	$14	0x1b0fa3…
10-24 16:47:50	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-28 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x3e66d1…
10-24 09:41:32	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xceaa0c…
10-24 09:41:30	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x2e9c46…
10-24 05:44:38	Will Stanford have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xb8067c…
10-24 04:36:30	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-05 House election by 50% or more?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xb78264…
10-23 23:00:56	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-03 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	16	26¢	$4	0x923d4d…
10-23 20:42:41	Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x10db18…
10-23 19:52:45	Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	SELL	21	47¢	$10	0x0ab5e2…
10-23 18:37:17	Will Monaco qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	BUY	29	58¢	$17	0xe6dd04…
10-23 17:53:17	Will Marseille qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	29	28¢	$8	0xa55b81…
10-23 17:49:29	Will Marseille qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0xc98057…
10-23 17:49:24	Will South Korea win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0xf971e0…
10-23 15:41:12	Will the New York Islanders record 90+ points?	Yes	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0x7a5ce3…
10-23 10:59:05	Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	BUY	29	47¢	$14	0x382dc6…
10-23 05:44:54	Will Ferencvaros finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?	No	BUY	29	54¢	$16	0xebeb74…
10-23 05:15:38	Will Lille qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0xc5eb54…
10-23 03:32:18	Will Ferencvaros finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	Yes	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0x000138…
10-22 17:20:29	Will Lugano finish top 8 in UECL league phase?	Yes	SELL	29	37¢	$11	0x24e174…
10-22 15:34:14	SSI public model released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x3df4df…
10-22 11:57:38	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-03 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x685376…
10-22 11:57:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x0f506c…
10-22 05:12:57	Will Shakhtar Donetsk finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0xba53d8…
10-22 05:12:57	Will Shakhtar Donetsk finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x6649ea…
10-22 05:12:57	Will Shakhtar Donetsk finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$12	0x16f919…
10-21 22:53:48	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 15%-18%?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xa06807…
10-21 20:36:27	Will Sporting CP reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	No	SELL	29	36¢	$10	0xc54fc8…
10-21 19:04:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0x153e4e…
10-21 19:04:32	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x468243…
10-21 14:09:51	Will the New Jersey Devils make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	22	54¢	$12	0xf5a9cb…
10-21 14:09:51	Will the New Jersey Devils make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x7db5b9…
10-21 12:47:08	Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31?	Yes	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0xb2282a…
10-21 12:26:06	Will Bodø/Glimt finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	29	57¢	$17	0x52d34b…
10-21 11:10:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xe8e3a0…
10-21 10:00:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x5f519a…
10-21 09:34:50	Will Sporting CP reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	No	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x7ad778…
10-21 09:34:48	Will Sporting CP reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	No	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xf11563…
10-21 09:34:48	Will Sporting CP reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	No	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x3f491a…
10-21 04:18:54	Will Rio Ave be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?	Yes	BUY	29	46¢	$13	0x3b592c…
10-21 01:12:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-22 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xc84eaf…
10-20 22:47:05	Will the Democrats win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x570c32…
10-20 12:42:27	United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 82% to 83%?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x40f39a…
10-20 11:07:29	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0x5d29be…
10-20 07:59:16	Will Parris Todd reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	No	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0xddb19f…
10-19 22:47:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0x7e110f…
10-19 15:59:48	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-05 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	SELL	17	16¢	$3	0xf8c19b…
10-19 15:57:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x7d7262…
10-19 15:41:11	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x92a8d3…
10-19 11:31:26	Will Cherno More be relegated from the 2026-27 efbet Liga (Bulgaria)?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xa3e416…
10-19 10:11:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	42	18¢	$8	0x805252…
10-19 10:10:45	Will Uzbekistan win Group B at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x39e2c5…
10-19 01:46:21	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x52e892…
10-19 00:38:29	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-03 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	26	20¢	$5	0xe6c3fe…
10-19 00:12:00	Will SC Austria Lustenau be relegated from the 2026-27 Austrian Bundesliga?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x407eb2…
10-18 23:23:45	Will Oklahoma have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	SELL	29	13¢	$4	0x2cb41e…
10-18 22:40:24	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	14	23¢	$3	0x8b91de…
10-18 22:15:30	Will Oklahoma State have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	SELL	9	28¢	$3	0xce8fdc…
10-18 22:00:26	Will Renaissance Zemamra be relegated from the 2026-27 Morocco Botola Pro?	No	SELL	52	41¢	$21	0x59102d…
10-18 06:46:50	Will the New Jersey Devils make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	29	56¢	$16	0x358460…