Warped-Eleventh — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

176

Trades

492

lifetime

Volume

$20.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-07 03:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Sports

70% 66% -$76

Other

28% 39% +$110

Politics

2% 33% -$18

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 curling mixed doubles sweden	7	$2.9K	1,507	1,507	+0	Yes	+$134	02-10 19:14
2026 winter olympics ski slopestyle mens birk ruud nor	6	$2.1K	1,056	1,056	+0	Yes	+$10	02-10 15:37
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 speed skating womens 1500m miho takagi jpn	1	$1.5K	1,584	0	+1,584	No	-$1,474	02-20 16:51
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 curling mens switzerland	4	$1.4K	727	727	-0	No	+$17	02-20 00:02
will avatar fire and ash 5th weekend box office be between 13m and 14pt5m	4	$1.3K	1,290	90	+1,200	Yes	+$4	01-20 23:17
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	5	$989	573	573	+0	No	+$131	01-15 21:28
2026 winter olympics snowboard halfpipe mens yuto totsuka jpn	3	$933	472	472	+0	Yes	+$10	02-13 21:06
will charles de ketelaere score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	5	$581	547	547	+0	Yes	+$82	06-21 18:04
Will Lewis Hall be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	10	$539	547	547	+0	No	+$446	05-22 14:35
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	5	$503	400	400	+0	Yes	+$127	01-17 11:19
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	6	$405	228	228	+0	Yes	+$46	08-07 03:18
Will Jarrod Bowen be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	3	$337	200	200	+0	No	+$59	05-22 16:49
Will Noni Madueke be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	2	$293	400	0	+400	Yes	+$107	05-21 16:47
will takefusa kubo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	6	$268	396	0	+396	No	+$128	06-18 11:49
will marcus thuram score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	4	$208	180	180	+0	No	+$49	07-18 14:37
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$204	300	300	+0	No	+$0	05-31 14:36
2026 winter olympics ski slopestyle mens alex hall usa	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$1	02-10 15:37
Will James Garner be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	3	$189	100	100	+0	No	+$9	05-22 12:28
Will Cole Palmer be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	3	$188	100	100	+0	No	+$12	05-22 12:07
will marc andr ter stegen sign with a new club during the winter transfer window 642 388 625 738 374	4	$166	198	50	+149	Yes	+$78	01-18 17:12
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 skeleton womens janine flock aut	4	$144	100	100	+0	Yes	+$34	02-14 17:41
will che adams score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	4	$143	145	145	+0	No	+$25	06-14 03:19
will solo mio opening weekend box office be between 7m and 8pt5m	5	$126	100	100	+0	Yes	+$50	02-07 22:50
will jean philippe mateta sign with a new club during the winter transfer window	2	$117	200	0	+200	No	-$17	02-02 15:05
will lennart kahl score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	5	$114	151	151	+0	No	-$4	06-06 02:57
will gabriel martinelli score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	1	$114	200	0	+200	Yes	-$114	06-14 03:21
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$100	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$12	06-17 02:23
will julio enciso score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	5	$100	255	100	+155	Yes	+$77	06-12 22:54
will eberechi eze score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	2	$82	60	60	+0	No	+$22	07-18 14:38
will james rodrguez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	4	$81	80	80	+0	No	+$1	06-23 18:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 03:18:27	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	228	99¢	$226	0x276d07…
08-06 13:35:02	Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	Yes	SELL	174	5¢	$9	0x5c0bdf…
08-05 20:55:24	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x9e59af…
08-05 20:25:03	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	115	80¢	$92	0xa17e50…
08-05 20:25:02	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x19d92b…
08-05 20:24:39	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xd34a64…
08-05 17:41:23	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	58	77¢	$45	0x8022d4…
08-05 15:54:42	Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	110	37¢	$40	0x8627cc…
08-05 15:54:24	Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	64	35¢	$22	0x96cbc8…
08-01 18:54:29	mlb mia nym 2026 08 01 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x22db21…
07-19 22:29:22	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x1d54b7…
07-19 18:55:40	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956902	Yes	BUY	120	41¢	$49	0x8433e4…
07-19 18:46:54	will the announcers say appeal or appealed during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403327	Yes	BUY	150	33¢	$50	0xef8bba…
07-19 18:46:09	will the announcers say ticket during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403330	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xb886dc…
07-18 19:32:15	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread home 2pt5	France	BUY	80	15¢	$12	0xf1faab…
07-18 19:31:46	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	90	31¢	$28	0x40f3ed…
07-18 19:30:36	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	111	54¢	$60	0x6b6fb5…
07-18 14:48:13	will the announcers say red card during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757332	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x8d0f7d…
07-18 14:47:06	will the announcers say trump during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757339	Yes	BUY	220	9¢	$20	0xb19faf…
07-18 14:38:12	will eberechi eze score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	60	86¢	$52	0x65d01d…
07-18 14:37:24	will marcus thuram score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x0fcd6e…
07-06 14:33:25	will ferran torres score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	17	68¢	$11	0xca3536…
07-06 14:21:10	will ferran torres score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x7c8f26…
07-06 14:21:10	will ferran torres score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x04a012…
07-06 10:49:13	will ferran torres score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x5f5cb3…
07-06 09:32:05	will ferran torres score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x93c34c…
07-04 22:27:47	will ferran torres score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xe9d38a…
07-04 20:42:56	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	63	23¢	$14	0x0668a6…
07-04 20:42:17	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	37	23¢	$9	0x4c7efd…
06-27 23:25:19	will julin lvarez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	51	22¢	$11	0x8210df…
06-26 17:41:49	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x4f4ec3…
06-26 01:28:44	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	60	22¢	$13	0xdba583…
06-26 01:20:43	will reece james score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	39	14¢	$5	0x138d55…
06-25 04:54:17	will luis javier surez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xe127d2…
06-25 03:19:47	will luis javier surez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0x491160…
06-23 18:01:11	will james rodrguez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	40	51¢	$20	0x5c9008…
06-23 12:11:59	will igor thiago score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x092d68…
06-21 18:04:38	will charles de ketelaere score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	54	59¢	$32	0xf795eb…
06-21 15:17:10	will igor thiago score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	54	36¢	$19	0x0626b1…
06-20 18:25:40	will anthony elanga score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0x9849e1…
06-20 18:25:01	will miguel almirn score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	19	8¢	$2	0x7c5e0e…
06-20 18:24:05	will anthony elanga score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	55	0¢	$0	0x3bb500…
06-19 18:50:58	will miguel almirn score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x9aea4d…
06-18 17:45:53	will casemiro score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$19	0x7a5996…
06-18 17:41:49	will james rodrguez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	40	51¢	$21	0xf07faa…
06-18 15:35:26	will leandro trossard score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0xb66cb7…
06-18 11:49:13	will takefusa kubo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	26	66¢	$17	0x49fca7…
06-18 01:56:02	will takefusa kubo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	300	68¢	$204	0xd39cff…
06-18 01:33:05	will luis javier surez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	39	75¢	$29	0x868202…
06-17 22:23:40	will takefusa kubo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xb98ab0…
06-17 15:59:55	will pedro neto score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x7b872d…
06-17 15:48:13	will romelu lukaku score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0xd977e2…
06-17 12:25:19	will joo neves score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	26	48¢	$12	0x18b6e5…
06-17 11:51:08	will joo neves score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xbb9837…
06-17 09:47:37	will takefusa kubo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x1add8d…
06-17 02:23:43	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4,000	1¢	$56	0xc3bd2a…
06-17 00:36:25	will julin lvarez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	49	38¢	$19	0xd9774e…
06-17 00:25:46	will kenan yldz score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xe185b4…
06-16 23:19:23	will takefusa kubo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0xfdfc41…
06-16 20:30:44	will julin lvarez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	86	21¢	$18	0xb7f021…
06-16 18:47:02	will julin lvarez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	32	21¢	$7	0xcb45fe…
06-16 18:15:49	will julin lvarez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x0b64e3…
06-16 18:05:10	will julin lvarez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x6d5df6…
06-16 17:44:28	will julin lvarez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0f78d2…
06-16 16:18:25	will julin lvarez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdd1855…
06-16 13:54:34	will nuno mendes score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x9241d8…
06-16 08:36:16	will kenan yldz score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	36	35¢	$13	0xe87c2a…
06-15 20:31:22	Will Romelu Lukaku score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x5263fc…
06-15 11:31:09	will kenan yldz score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	64	35¢	$22	0x401f0a…
06-15 00:08:36	will jules kound score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	22	79¢	$17	0x612166…
06-14 22:13:21	will keito nakamura score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xe2de19…
06-14 16:20:43	will joo neves score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xa6451c…
06-14 14:44:25	Will Marc Guéhi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x13bb6c…
06-14 03:22:48	will nuno mendes score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	40	45¢	$18	0x4fb97f…
06-14 03:21:01	will gabriel martinelli score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0xbb36a4…
06-14 03:19:57	will che adams score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	45	52¢	$23	0x775c6f…
06-14 01:23:58	will arda gler score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	5	31¢	$1	0x5bd3bf…
06-13 21:33:19	will che adams score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	100	61¢	$61	0xbba2d7…
06-13 21:28:43	will granit xhaka score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	60	58¢	$35	0x84700e…
06-13 03:45:42	will arda gler score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0x3373d1…
06-13 03:44:54	will son heung min score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x489d51…
06-13 00:10:33	will christian pulisic score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	24	79¢	$19	0x1ae09e…
06-13 00:04:45	will arda gler score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	45	31¢	$14	0x3c1481…
06-12 23:59:57	will hakan alhanolu score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0xfc1081…
06-12 23:53:48	will vitinha score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x8e977b…
06-12 22:54:15	will julio enciso score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xa8c41a…
06-12 22:18:51	Will Jules Koundé score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	28	79¢	$22	0x9ce60b…
06-12 16:30:43	will luis javier surez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x21e946…
06-12 14:02:10	will reece james score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	39	19¢	$7	0x6663b2…
06-12 10:58:30	will julio enciso score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	83	33¢	$27	0xc1da92…
06-12 10:21:07	will federico valverde score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0xdf8741…
06-12 05:32:58	will julio enciso score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x848da7…
06-11 22:24:19	will romelu lukaku score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x0272a9…
06-11 21:59:24	will keito nakamura score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x785dcb…
06-11 21:51:54	will joo neves score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xcbb62c…
06-11 21:44:07	will virgil van dijk score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x52ce7b…
06-11 18:51:00	will virgil van dijk score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x0b4e0a…
06-11 18:47:21	will joo neves score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xd30122…
06-11 18:46:06	will federico valverde score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	31	68¢	$21	0x813e61…
06-11 18:45:43	will charles de ketelaere score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	206	70¢	$144	0x0abee0…