Robust-Floodplain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$205

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.7%

Resolved

115

Trades

179

lifetime

Volume

$747

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 11-11 23:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 42% -$122

Other

33% 42% -$88

Sports

6% 100% +$13

Politics

3% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$48	795	0	+795	Yes	-$48	05-20 18:19
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$43	320	320	+0	No	+$13	07-07 17:44
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$27	80	0	+80	England	-$27	07-07 17:52
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 09:15 UTC	4	$26	30	19	+11	Up	-$4	09-15 09:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$22	274	274	+0	Yes	-$8	02-28 21:49
mex pue tol 2026 01 30 pue	8	$22	96	31	+65	No	-$13	01-31 02:30
ssc fcb rmc 2026 01 11 rmc	2	$21	40	40	+0	No	+$0	01-11 19:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 22:35 UTC	2	$20	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	02-28 22:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 22:05 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	04-15 22:09
us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	2	$14	9	9	+0	No	+$1	02-28 22:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 21:55 UTC	3	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	04-15 21:56
BNB Up or Down - September 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	3	$13	13	13	+0	Down	$0	09-15 11:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 21:50 UTC	2	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	04-15 21:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 21:45 UTC	2	$10	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	04-15 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	Down	-$10	05-16 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	-$10	05-16 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$10	05-16 22:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 22:40 UTC	5	$9	74	41	+33	Down	-$3	02-28 22:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 22:15 UTC	5	$9	18	17	+0	Up	+$1	02-28 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$9	17	0	+17	Down	-$9	05-16 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$9	17	0	+17	Down	-$9	05-16 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$9	17	0	+17	Up	+$8	05-16 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$9	17	0	+17	Up	+$8	05-16 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$9	17	0	+17	Down	-$9	05-16 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$8	16	0	+16	Down	-$8	05-16 22:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 22:05 UTC	2	$8	25	24	+0	Down	+$2	02-28 22:09
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	1	$8	25	0	+25	Norway	+$18	07-05 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$7	14	0	+14	Down	-$7	05-16 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$7	14	0	+14	Down	-$7	05-16 22:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 22:10 UTC	2	$7	85	0	+85	Down	-$7	04-15 22:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 23:31:57	Silver Up or Down - November 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x6cede0…
11-11 23:19:12	Silver Up or Down - November 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x78916f…
11-02 00:04:03	Gold Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8aa75e…
11-01 23:25:28	Gold Up or Down - November 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb8041f…
10-31 14:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xaa32f6…
10-31 14:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x6a9a3e…
10-30 20:29:34	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5df46b…
10-30 20:12:37	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc3f161…
10-30 19:59:18	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb712b8…
10-30 18:43:54	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x14f196…
10-30 18:43:49	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa261cc…
10-30 18:43:46	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x99ffb8…
10-30 18:43:40	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa10b86…
10-30 18:43:40	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x29a901…
10-30 18:43:39	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x098647…
10-30 16:59:34	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdb7afa…
10-30 13:43:21	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x229c10…
10-30 11:22:27	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x014601…
09-15 12:01:51	BNB Up or Down - September 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x69ea5a…
09-15 11:56:55	BNB Up or Down - September 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xc6af87…
09-15 11:37:43	BNB Up or Down - September 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x85425c…
09-15 11:36:39	BNB Up or Down - September 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x96f99d…
09-15 11:36:01	BNB Up or Down - September 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x03c893…
09-15 11:34:46	BNB Up or Down - September 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x5b7512…
09-15 11:34:01	BNB Up or Down - September 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x07bf03…
09-15 11:24:57	BNB Up or Down - September 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0x72bedf…
09-15 11:24:39	BNB Up or Down - September 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x4f3eb0…
09-15 11:22:10	BNB Up or Down - September 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x2468e0…
09-15 11:18:16	BNB Up or Down - September 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x92df0d…
09-15 11:08:36	BNB Up or Down - September 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x71d82a…
09-15 11:05:00	BNB Up or Down - September 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xd3a7d2…
09-15 11:01:10	BNB Up or Down - September 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x917b8a…
09-15 10:57:46	BNB Up or Down - September 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd0410a…
09-15 10:52:45	BNB Up or Down - September 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6513eb…
09-15 10:43:55	BNB Up or Down - September 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2c6e51…
09-15 10:43:30	BNB Up or Down - September 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x0c6555…
09-15 10:26:46	Solana Up or Down - September 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xe3af18…
09-15 10:21:01	Solana Up or Down - September 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x4e93dc…
09-15 10:16:58	Solana Up or Down - September 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x781d9a…
09-15 10:13:21	Solana Up or Down - September 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x915ca2…
09-15 10:08:13	Solana Up or Down - September 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xbab0d4…
09-15 10:04:27	Solana Up or Down - September 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x7409b3…
09-15 09:59:03	Solana Up or Down - September 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x6e8343…
09-15 09:55:28	Solana Up or Down - September 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x0207f0…
09-15 09:53:13	Solana Up or Down - September 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd5d6fa…
09-15 09:50:03	Solana Up or Down - September 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x8d8f4e…
09-15 09:44:43	Solana Up or Down - September 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xcf9325…
09-15 09:44:43	Solana Up or Down - September 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x26b782…
09-15 09:38:43	Solana Up or Down - September 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xefd2f3…
09-15 09:30:37	Solana Up or Down - September 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x33f76c…
09-15 09:30:09	Solana Up or Down - September 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb351b6…
09-15 09:15:45	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe484be…
09-15 09:15:07	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	19	55¢	$11	0xe6e50b…
09-15 09:14:54	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2b2ad5…
09-15 09:14:52	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe8ef13…
07-18 19:52:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x7a6cd8…
07-18 17:53:25	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0x937000…
07-18 17:53:12	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4727ab…
07-18 17:53:09	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x35109e…
07-18 17:52:42	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xfee281…
07-07 17:52:41	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	80	34¢	$27	0x76b2df…
07-07 17:44:59	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	320	9¢	$28	0x355668…
07-06 11:12:28	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	320	5¢	$15	0x8b513f…
07-05 19:17:25	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0x35ed76…
05-20 18:19:19	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	458	6¢	$29	0x490534…
05-20 18:17:52	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	284	6¢	$17	0xec559a…
05-20 18:17:03	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0x68ce2a…
05-16 22:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x829224…
05-16 22:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x7d2975…
05-16 22:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x02993a…
05-16 22:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x4ff3b8…
05-16 22:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb199ff…
05-16 22:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9bb036…
05-16 22:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x871df1…
05-16 22:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0xf32c6b…
05-16 22:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x858a05…
05-16 22:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x442601…
05-16 22:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0xbb70ed…
05-16 22:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x42ee04…
05-16 22:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x2fe252…
05-16 22:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0xef3ee9…
05-16 22:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xcefd26…
05-05 02:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x027543…
05-05 02:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x0aef64…
05-05 02:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	37	10¢	$4	0xf51e4e…
05-05 01:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x747a60…
05-05 01:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xfc2a04…
05-05 01:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x97d49e…
05-05 01:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x2495a7…
05-05 01:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8110ae…
05-05 01:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x2e3478…
05-05 01:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x787a85…
05-05 01:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x07255f…
05-05 00:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0x96a0c4…
05-05 00:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xa6287a…
05-05 00:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x3ad43c…
05-05 00:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xfa2e90…
05-05 00:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xba8d25…
05-05 00:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xd284bd…
05-05 00:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xc47ab0…