Robust-Floodplain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.6%

Resolved

Trades

121

lifetime

Volume

$524

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 07-18 17:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 42% $-36

Other

28% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$48	795	0	+795	open	—	05-20 18:19
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$27	80	0	+80	open	—	07-07 17:52
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$22	274	274	+0	open	—	02-28 21:49
mex pue tol 2026 01 30 pue	8	$22	96	31	+65	open	—	01-31 02:30
ssc fcb rmc 2026 01 11 rmc	2	$21	40	40	+0	open	—	01-11 19:57
btc updown 5m 1772318100	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	02-28 22:38
btc updown 5m 1776290700	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 22:09
us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	02-28 22:04
btc updown 5m 1776290100	3	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 21:56
btc updown 5m 1776289800	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 21:50
btc updown 5m 1776289500	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-16 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-16 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-16 22:05
btc updown 5m 1772318400	5	$9	74	41	+33	open	—	02-28 22:44
btc updown 5m 1772316900	5	$9	18	17	+0	open	—	02-28 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$9	17	0	+17	open	—	05-16 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$9	17	0	+17	open	—	05-16 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$9	17	0	+17	open	—	05-16 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$9	17	0	+17	open	—	05-16 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$9	17	0	+17	open	—	05-16 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$8	16	0	+16	open	—	05-16 22:40
btc updown 5m 1772316300	2	$8	25	24	+0	open	—	02-28 22:09
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	1	$8	25	0	+25	open	—	07-05 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	05-16 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	05-16 22:39
btc updown 5m 1776291000	2	$7	85	0	+85	open	—	04-15 22:14
btc updown 5m 1772317800	4	$7	12	12	+0	open	—	02-28 22:33
sea gen cag 2026 01 12 draw	2	$7	70	70	+0	open	—	01-12 19:06
btc updown 5m 1776291300	2	$6	22	0	+22	open	—	04-15 22:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 19:52:12	btc updown 5m 1784404200	Down	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x7a6cd8…
07-18 17:53:25	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0x937000…
07-18 17:53:12	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4727ab…
07-18 17:53:09	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x35109e…
07-18 17:52:42	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xfee281…
07-07 17:52:41	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	80	34¢	$27	0x76b2df…
07-05 19:17:25	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0x35ed76…
05-20 18:19:19	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	458	6¢	$29	0x490534…
05-20 18:17:52	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	284	6¢	$17	0xec559a…
05-20 18:17:03	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0x68ce2a…
05-16 22:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x829224…
05-16 22:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x7d2975…
05-16 22:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x02993a…
05-16 22:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x4ff3b8…
05-16 22:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb199ff…
05-16 22:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9bb036…
05-16 22:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x871df1…
05-16 22:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0xf32c6b…
05-16 22:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x858a05…
05-16 22:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x442601…
05-16 22:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0xbb70ed…
05-16 22:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x42ee04…
05-16 22:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x2fe252…
05-16 22:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0xef3ee9…
05-16 22:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xcefd26…
05-05 02:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x027543…
05-05 02:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x0aef64…
05-05 02:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	37	10¢	$4	0xf51e4e…
05-05 01:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x747a60…
05-05 01:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xfc2a04…
05-05 01:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x97d49e…
05-05 01:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x2495a7…
05-05 01:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8110ae…
05-05 01:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x2e3478…
05-05 01:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x787a85…
05-05 01:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x07255f…
05-05 00:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0x96a0c4…
05-05 00:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xa6287a…
05-05 00:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x3ad43c…
05-05 00:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xfa2e90…
05-05 00:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xba8d25…
05-05 00:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xd284bd…
05-05 00:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xc47ab0…
05-05 00:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x9f7858…
05-05 00:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x32b767…
05-04 23:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x257cbe…
05-04 23:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x42c717…
05-04 22:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x2c813d…
05-04 22:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x52475f…
05-04 22:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x461a0f…
05-04 22:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xb0d0d7…
05-04 21:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0x2e7866…
05-04 21:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x88c908…
05-04 21:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x69d6c6…
05-04 21:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x9ca711…
05-04 20:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x0a39ac…
05-04 20:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x44a8a1…
04-18 14:34:02	btc updown 5m 1776522600	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xa8ed87…
04-18 14:34:02	btc updown 5m 1776522600	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xa79a48…
04-18 12:08:44	btc updown 5m 1776513900	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xb2b0dc…
04-18 12:07:38	btc updown 5m 1776513900	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x32cd9b…
04-15 22:17:40	btc updown 5m 1776291300	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc00ae4…
04-15 22:15:50	btc updown 5m 1776291300	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x05e1fd…
04-15 22:14:28	btc updown 5m 1776291000	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x5aad0e…
04-15 22:11:42	btc updown 5m 1776291000	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x703bad…
04-15 22:09:54	btc updown 5m 1776290700	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0a729a…
04-15 22:04:32	btc updown 5m 1776290700	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x69b69b…
04-15 21:59:58	btc updown 5m 1776290400	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x604259…
04-15 21:56:44	btc updown 5m 1776290100	Down	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xe6c598…
04-15 21:55:14	btc updown 5m 1776290100	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xbd2744…
04-15 21:55:14	btc updown 5m 1776290100	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x947f47…
04-15 21:50:28	btc updown 5m 1776289800	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x2eba2d…
04-15 21:50:00	btc updown 5m 1776289800	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc43950…
04-15 21:45:52	btc updown 5m 1776289500	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xfa68d7…
04-15 21:44:52	btc updown 5m 1776289500	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xba8114…
04-15 21:14:40	btc updown 5m 1776287400	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xf44c06…
04-15 21:09:26	doge updown 5m 1776287100	Down	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x789321…
04-15 21:08:58	doge updown 5m 1776287100	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xe85f83…
04-15 21:02:24	btc updown 5m 1776286800	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xa9dc7a…
04-15 21:02:00	btc updown 5m 1776286800	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x05ab4e…
02-28 22:51:35	xrp updown 5m 1772319000	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x5b6118…
02-28 22:48:01	btc updown 5m 1772318700	Down	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0x0e8e40…
02-28 22:46:41	btc updown 5m 1772318700	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x2e521a…
02-28 22:44:13	btc updown 5m 1772318400	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xc10e73…
02-28 22:43:43	btc updown 5m 1772318400	Up	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0xca98fd…
02-28 22:43:17	btc updown 5m 1772318400	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x36fb76…
02-28 22:42:51	btc updown 5m 1772318400	Up	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0x8c905a…
02-28 22:41:21	btc updown 5m 1772318400	Up	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0x277b04…
02-28 22:38:35	btc updown 5m 1772318100	Up	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xbf5f1b…
02-28 22:37:43	btc updown 5m 1772318100	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xc1ea5d…
02-28 22:33:27	btc updown 5m 1772317800	Down	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xa830c6…
02-28 22:32:35	btc updown 5m 1772317800	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x96e9ed…
02-28 22:31:41	btc updown 5m 1772317800	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xeb12b1…
02-28 22:31:15	btc updown 5m 1772317800	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe4e22a…
02-28 22:26:37	btc updown 5m 1772317500	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x47d5c0…
02-28 22:26:17	btc updown 5m 1772317500	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf04c0a…
02-28 22:23:13	btc updown 5m 1772317200	Down	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x165010…
02-28 22:22:57	btc updown 5m 1772317200	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x6454b5…
02-28 22:19:47	btc updown 5m 1772316900	Down	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x21eea6…
02-28 22:19:03	btc updown 5m 1772316900	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x0d22bb…