Warped-Trip — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$86

Unrealized P&L

-$168

Hit rate

88.1%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

59 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$5.27K

$13.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$233

Open exposure

$184

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-07 07:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 85% +$473

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down		+372	$352	50¢	$184	$-168	05-07 07:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$389	207	207	+0	Up	$-21	05-05 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$385	389	0	+389	open	—	05-07 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$352	372	0	+372	open	—	05-07 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$348	360	0	+360	open	—	05-07 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$291	294	0	+294	Down	+$3	05-07 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$289	295	0	+295	Down	+$6	05-07 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$286	289	0	+289	Up	+$3	05-07 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$281	284	0	+284	Down	+$3	05-05 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$279	282	0	+282	Down	+$3	05-07 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$267	273	0	+273	Up	+$5	05-06 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$266	277	0	+277	Down	+$11	05-06 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$266	275	0	+275	Down	+$8	05-04 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$265	274	0	+274	Up	+$8	05-06 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$258	0	271	-271	Down	$-14	05-06 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$257	268	0	+268	Up	+$10	05-07 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$253	269	0	+269	Down	+$15	05-07 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$250	312	0	+312	Up	+$62	05-04 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$250	281	0	+281	Up	+$30	05-07 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$248	259	0	+259	Up	+$11	05-06 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$246	252	0	+252	Down	+$6	05-06 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$245	250	0	+250	Down	+$5	05-06 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$243	250	0	+250	Up	+$8	05-06 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$240	0	264	-264	Down	$-24	05-06 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$236	0	238	-238	Down	+$236	05-06 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$233	235	0	+235	Up	+$2	05-06 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$231	0	236	-236	Up	$-5	05-06 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$230	242	0	+242	Down	+$12	05-06 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$229	231	0	+231	Down	+$2	05-06 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$229	231	0	+231	Down	+$2	05-06 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$226	228	0	+228	Down	+$2	05-06 06:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 07:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	372	95¢	$352	0x2d3247…
05-07 07:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	360	97¢	$348	0xbfb9b4…
05-07 06:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	389	99¢	$385	0xad91d5…
05-07 06:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	294	99¢	$291	0x4a66e8…
05-07 06:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	295	98¢	$289	0xee977e…
05-07 05:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	289	99¢	$286	0x88129c…
05-07 03:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	282	99¢	$279	0x4c3d73…
05-07 02:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	268	96¢	$257	0xe86146…
05-07 02:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	281	89¢	$250	0x7b0bdf…
05-07 01:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	269	94¢	$253	0xb632be…
05-06 17:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	252	98¢	$246	0x3d8b9c…
05-06 17:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0x07de86…
05-06 16:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	277	96¢	$266	0x2cfc42…
05-06 16:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	271	95¢	$258	0xc2de49…
05-06 15:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	273	98¢	$267	0xefe69e…
05-06 15:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	274	97¢	$265	0x208963…
05-06 13:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	264	91¢	$240	0x5691f8…
05-06 12:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	259	96¢	$248	0xf8451c…
05-06 11:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	250	97¢	$243	0x10103d…
05-06 08:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	235	99¢	$233	0xc2fb7a…
05-06 08:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	236	98¢	$231	0x0ecdef…
05-06 07:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	242	95¢	$230	0xc6d32b…
05-06 07:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	231	99¢	$229	0x2835f5…
05-06 07:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	231	99¢	$229	0x21bf4b…
05-06 07:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	238	99¢	$236	0xfa7745…
05-06 06:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	228	99¢	$226	0xcfc129…
05-06 06:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	228	99¢	$226	0x44567d…
05-06 04:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	221	99¢	$219	0x6d2df7…
05-06 04:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	226	99¢	$224	0xd8ff1c…
05-06 03:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	226	99¢	$224	0x24c26c…
05-06 03:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	265	80¢	$212	0x283491…
05-06 03:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	213	99¢	$211	0x80e9f6…
05-06 03:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	219	90¢	$197	0x476c2c…
05-06 02:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	220	98¢	$216	0x844621…
05-06 02:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	217	99¢	$215	0x2c2352…
05-06 02:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	217	99¢	$215	0x883592…
05-06 02:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	216	99¢	$214	0xa1fdd6…
05-06 01:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	226	95¢	$215	0x6b2666…
05-06 01:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	223	95¢	$212	0xea3521…
05-06 00:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	211	99¢	$209	0x7ae615…
05-06 00:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	210	99¢	$208	0x55d3ce…
05-06 00:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	210	99¢	$208	0xd1e7c2…
05-06 00:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	209	99¢	$207	0x802272…
05-06 00:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	209	99¢	$207	0xc5552c…
05-05 21:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	206	99¢	$204	0x2537ce…
05-05 21:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	204	4¢	$8	0x56e679…
05-05 20:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	207	89¢	$184	0x46da5a…
05-05 20:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	207	99¢	$205	0xce8e09…
05-05 20:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	209	98¢	$205	0xc8ae55…
05-05 18:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	208	98¢	$204	0x73e838…
05-05 17:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	205	99¢	$203	0x9ccac5…
05-05 16:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x98da9d…
05-05 16:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	213	95¢	$203	0xd33d22…
05-05 16:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	208	97¢	$202	0x54f507…
05-05 15:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	207	98¢	$203	0xa04212…
05-05 13:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	221	98¢	$217	0x8e3215…
05-05 01:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	284	99¢	$281	0xbbff0f…
05-04 23:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	275	97¢	$266	0x5020de…
05-04 21:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	312	80¢	$250	0xb616cf…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	55	$12.4K	372	05-07 07:39
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	54	$1.12K	202	05-07 07:38
Even-Mutton 0xe8fb…a72f	52	$12.9K	54	05-07 07:39
Impressionable-Captor 0x0066…5bb9	52	$10.5K	52	05-07 07:39
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	47	$44.0K	183	05-07 07:38
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	47	$1.61K	212	05-07 07:39
Angry-Suede 0x8692…fbac	43	$1.26K	273	05-07 07:39
Enraged-Ox 0x2c30…2420	42	$1.70K	354	05-07 07:19