Acrobatic-Elimination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.4%

Resolved

156

Trades

239

lifetime

Volume

$453

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-15 21:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 52% -$29

Other

15% 84% -$6

Sports

15% 100% +$32

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$66	85	85	+0	Yes	+$32	07-15 21:32
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 11 311	2	$18	21	21	+0	Yes	-$2	01-08 14:24
will bitcoin reach 96k january 19 25	2	$15	28	28	+0	No	-$15	01-25 15:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 09:00 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	03-12 09:14
will bitcoin reach 98k january 12 18	1	$10	100	0	+100	No	-$10	01-16 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$8	7	7	+0	Up	+$5	05-08 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	4	$8	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 12:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 23:15 UTC	7	$7	8	5	+3	Up	-$1	01-07 23:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	05-04 16:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 28?	1	$6	8	0	+8	Yes	+$2	05-28 08:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 16:45 UTC	1	$6	12	0	+12	Down	+$7	01-12 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 11:39
bitcoin up or down january 25 10am et	2	$5	13	0	+13	Down	-$5	01-25 15:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 16:00 UTC	1	$5	15	0	+15	Down	-$5	01-25 16:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 16:15 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	-$5	01-12 16:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 18:30 UTC	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	-$5	01-11 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	05-01 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 18:15 UTC	2	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	01-11 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-04 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 10:55
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	4	$4	7	7	+0	No	+$0	01-12 00:03
bitcoin above 94k on january 16	2	$4	12	12	+0	Yes	+$2	01-16 15:48
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$4	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$4	04-29 10:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 01:15 UTC	1	$4	7	0	+7	Up	+$3	01-17 01:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 18:45 UTC	1	$4	8	0	+8	Up	+$4	01-11 18:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	2	$4	8	8	+0	Yes	+$2	05-01 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-01 16:40
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 19:45 UTC	1	$3	8	0	+8	Up	+$4	01-16 19:46
spx up or down on january 7 2026	3	$3	8	2	+6	Down	-$1	01-07 20:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 21:32:37	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	85	58¢	$49	0x8e66d3…
07-12 15:13:19	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	85	20¢	$17	0xada4d4…
06-29 17:04:08	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1d5c49…
06-29 11:00:37	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb865d6…
06-29 10:59:25	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9a5988…
05-28 08:40:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x8e67da…
05-28 08:40:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x6ef1f1…
05-25 18:49:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x931fa4…
05-08 14:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x6089ee…
05-08 14:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2b9fdd…
05-08 14:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x62eb5b…
05-08 12:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x3f5a9c…
05-08 12:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb42431…
05-08 12:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0e6071…
05-08 12:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb20eb4…
05-08 12:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb98dd6…
05-08 11:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x660232…
05-08 11:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd64958…
05-08 11:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x140d6e…
05-07 11:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x22c91d…
05-07 11:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb40c70…
05-07 10:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	94¢	$3	0x6cf436…
05-07 10:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3405b4…
05-06 14:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8b8949…
05-06 14:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x81989b…
05-06 14:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x566525…
05-06 13:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9be739…
05-05 12:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4c93d2…
05-05 12:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0xe92dd6…
05-05 12:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x72ecc1…
05-05 12:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x63b05d…
05-05 12:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf68b98…
05-05 11:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5a0b3b…
05-05 11:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x7ec5e4…
05-05 11:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x008089…
05-05 11:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7eb194…
05-05 10:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6bb2b8…
05-05 10:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x839925…
05-05 10:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x08a692…
05-05 10:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf71e5e…
05-04 16:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5e2660…
05-04 16:49:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x78ae9f…
05-04 16:48:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5b5ac7…
05-04 16:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0c6cdb…
05-04 16:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xf30233…
05-04 16:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xdec081…
05-04 15:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	71¢	$3	0x551b3f…
05-04 15:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xda5686…
05-04 15:50:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x002e5a…
05-03 19:41:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xab49ce…
05-01 17:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0xc6a5e0…
05-01 17:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd7966a…
05-01 16:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x34fd2e…
05-01 16:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe76268…
05-01 16:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x4b38d9…
05-01 16:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x56bc42…
05-01 16:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf4101a…
05-01 15:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xacbd55…
05-01 15:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x347374…
05-01 15:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x7283d2…
05-01 15:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6123b6…
05-01 12:30:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x1421f5…
05-01 12:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x2f2d07…
05-01 12:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9ee775…
05-01 12:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7f59b5…
05-01 11:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xe5e517…
05-01 11:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x128922…
05-01 11:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x76ce49…
05-01 11:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe6eb28…
05-01 11:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1ee778…
05-01 11:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb74b4f…
05-01 11:11:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe27c67…
05-01 11:11:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5fbd2f…
05-01 11:10:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x9a1aca…
04-29 10:33:38	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xdd048f…
04-29 10:32:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x2ea28e…
04-29 10:32:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x6ca2cc…
03-21 19:55:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x690316…
03-21 19:50:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xbb0fc1…
03-21 19:45:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xf22e43…
03-21 19:41:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xea590b…
03-21 19:37:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x80d202…
03-21 13:45:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xb519d0…
03-21 13:36:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6b1469…
03-18 09:46:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbcbf07…
03-12 09:14:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbadeb6…
03-12 09:06:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x6a1080…
03-12 08:51:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc1c38f…
03-11 12:44:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf91d1a…
03-11 12:07:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x83f046…
03-11 12:01:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9f8b8a…
03-11 09:39:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 09:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x42aabd…
03-11 09:36:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7918a3…
03-11 08:58:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd360b6…
03-10 16:43:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 16:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xeb2b50…
03-10 16:31:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd3f42b…
02-22 11:58:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x458fdc…
01-25 16:01:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xf24515…
01-25 15:44:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x412c6f…
01-25 15:30:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7cff56…