Knowledgeable-Ease — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

131

Trades

1,663

lifetime

Volume

$8.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 06-04 01:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 76% $-56

Politics

26% — —

Other

8% 83% +$39

Sports

3% 33% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 306 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	32	$2.1K	1,614	1,614	+0	open	—	05-08 00:29
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	25	$328	360	460	-100	Down	+$29	05-04 18:00
btc updown 5m 1775239800	6	$172	189	22	+167	open	—	04-03 18:14
btc updown 5m 1775226600	7	$154	188	23	+165	open	—	04-03 14:34
btc updown 5m 1775057700	3	$114	91	57	+34	open	—	04-01 15:38
btc updown 5m 1775230800	7	$109	63	62	+1	open	—	04-03 15:43
btc updown 5m 1775247300	9	$99	129	50	+79	open	—	04-03 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	6	$87	98	70	+28	Up	$-18	05-11 02:04
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 8?	2	$86	50	50	+0	Up	+$6	05-08 12:34
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 7?	1	$78	100	0	+100	Yes	+$22	05-07 17:18
btc updown 5m 1775058600	8	$77	55	53	+1	open	—	04-01 15:53
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	1	$66	84	0	+84	open	—	06-04 01:11
btc updown 5m 1775247600	4	$58	100	0	+100	open	—	04-03 20:21
btc updown 5m 1775241900	4	$58	38	30	+8	open	—	04-03 18:49
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 3?	1	$56	100	0	+100	open	—	06-03 19:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$52	30	30	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 15:32
btc updown 5m 1775058000	1	$52	85	0	+85	open	—	04-01 15:40
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?	5	$52	125	125	+0	No	$-18	05-07 16:24
btc updown 5m 1775057400	4	$46	137	10	+127	open	—	04-01 15:35
btc updown 5m 1775241000	4	$45	28	23	+5	open	—	04-03 18:35
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	3	$45	56	0	+56	Spurs	+$11	05-09 04:03
btc updown 5m 1775231100	4	$44	47	3	+44	open	—	04-03 15:49
btc updown 5m 1775098800	7	$40	47	45	+2	open	—	04-02 03:04
btc updown 5m 1775230200	6	$38	52	0	+52	open	—	04-03 15:34
btc updown 5m 1775245500	4	$34	18	18	+0	open	—	04-03 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	6	$33	22	22	+0	open	—	05-01 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	8	$33	30	15	+15	Down	$-12	05-06 03:54
btc updown 5m 1774794900	9	$31	41	0	+41	open	—	03-29 14:39
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$30	19	19	+0	open	—	05-01 15:19
btc updown 5m 1775241300	6	$30	44	0	+44	open	—	04-03 18:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 01:11:37	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	BUY	84	78¢	$66	0x7255d2…
06-03 19:02:04	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x102fc7…
06-02 17:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x102e2d…
06-02 17:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4e311c…
05-31 10:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x652006…
05-31 10:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x599804…
05-31 10:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xce4d51…
05-31 04:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb6da67…
05-31 04:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5c3073…
05-31 04:36:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xaf1f6b…
05-31 04:34:41	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x14ff64…
05-31 01:46:41	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7051af…
05-31 01:46:08	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfe8f78…
05-31 01:36:22	Spread: Spurs (-6.5)	Thunder	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x5cfe6e…
05-31 01:35:33	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0xcea014…
05-31 01:02:54	Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	Thunder	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb9aeb5…
05-30 19:02:02	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x712be0…
05-30 18:59:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x416d8f…
05-30 18:54:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x286b0f…
05-30 18:53:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x28e06c…
05-30 17:40:48	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x160661…
05-30 14:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa9b9aa…
05-30 14:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2f7548…
05-30 14:12:31	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$2	0x843770…
05-30 14:05:38	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1a9320…
05-30 14:05:10	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x204fe9…
05-30 13:59:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x22340d…
05-30 13:59:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6e1333…
05-25 10:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf43e63…
05-25 10:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x579650…
05-25 10:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5e3e30…
05-23 18:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3aca5c…
05-23 18:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x4856b8…
05-23 18:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x2d217f…
05-23 18:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb6390c…
05-23 18:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8dc5a1…
05-23 17:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x86c0c8…
05-23 17:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4ba416…
05-23 17:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x61f3d2…
05-23 17:53:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x243be3…
05-23 17:52:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xc4fcf6…
05-23 17:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5dcdd1…
05-23 17:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x48d94b…
05-23 17:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd48cae…
05-23 17:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe5cc77…
05-23 17:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x216559…
05-23 17:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x576b6f…
05-23 17:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x931e9d…
05-23 17:14:13	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x695144…
05-23 17:13:38	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0xbfebea…
05-23 17:13:19	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8efd5b…
05-23 16:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf37755…
05-23 06:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb91521…
05-23 05:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x5d6913…
05-23 04:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x52bf6d…
05-23 04:58:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x25b33f…
05-22 15:29:31	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	45	47¢	$21	0x2bc040…
05-17 15:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe4aa9a…
05-17 15:59:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x47d9ce…
05-17 15:59:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0b001c…
05-17 15:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbf72dd…
05-17 15:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x204fc1…
05-17 15:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x00553c…
05-17 14:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x078b71…
05-17 14:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdf82ef…
05-17 14:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa95347…
05-17 13:34:42	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4260ff…
05-17 13:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb2b84d…
05-17 12:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x7b6243…
05-17 12:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x6640c5…
05-17 12:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x01e0e1…
05-17 12:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	42¢	$1	0x19177e…
05-17 12:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x76ecb7…
05-17 12:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xdc3736…
05-17 12:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5cac7b…
05-17 12:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6f00bf…
05-17 12:18:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x875e15…
05-17 12:13:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7acedd…
05-17 12:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x313742…
05-17 10:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd08590…
05-17 10:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2d54fd…
05-17 10:12:57	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd9591b…
05-17 10:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x640870…
05-17 09:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xbe83de…
05-17 09:56:35	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xdc17ca…
05-17 09:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xde0900…
05-17 09:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3bf025…
05-14 22:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4841dd…
05-14 05:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x38f640…
05-14 05:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x774d9f…
05-14 04:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x13802e…
05-14 01:39:16	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x9a865d…
05-14 01:10:10	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xf4305c…
05-14 01:07:17	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$8	0x5b9d1c…
05-12 04:54:10	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x3e644e…
05-11 10:27:19	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5841c5…
05-11 10:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb2b383…
05-11 07:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x1bf519…
05-11 07:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x6e708c…
05-11 02:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x96e44a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	555	$137.3K	28,089	06-04 00:24
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	554	$291.9K	22,903	06-02 17:47
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	553	$105.2K	20,071	06-02 17:48
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	541	$146.9K	48,825	06-02 17:48
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	530	$41.8K	9,186	06-02 17:48
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	526	$59.9K	3,975	06-02 17:48
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	524	$408.7K	12,499	06-04 03:30
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	519	$1.00M	40,557	06-02 17:48