Menacing-Seal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

321

Trades

323

lifetime

Volume

$3.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-14 18:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 236 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% -$2

Politics

6% 91% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 15?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	$0	11-14 18:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	26	+26	No	-$25	05-15 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 15:08
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-30 08:55
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:04
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-28 02:00
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:18
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 02:11
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-26 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-25 15:17
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 09:10
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 23 2026 27c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:47
highest temperature in chongqing on april 22 2026 24c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-22 10:25
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-21 12:47
highest temperature in los angeles on april 20 2026 72 73f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 01:30
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 24c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 16:55
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 06:23
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 19 2026 24c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:24
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 22c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-18 08:49
highest temperature in istanbul on april 17 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-17 16:05
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:42
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 31c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:09
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 04:22
highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 09:11
highest temperature in dallas on april 14 2026 82forhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 03:52
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 14 2026 31corhigher	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-14 16:29
highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 20c	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-14 05:40
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-13 08:51
highest temperature in wellington on april 12 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-12 07:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 18:08:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2121f9…
11-13 07:58:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe76d7a…
11-12 08:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6927fa…
11-11 08:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xad9fae…
11-08 11:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on November 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7d63cc…
11-07 10:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcbad95…
11-06 09:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xef04d1…
11-05 00:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x611cca…
11-03 17:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x13e11d…
11-03 09:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xceacb1…
11-02 08:58:55	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x743307…
10-31 17:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfcef06…
10-31 04:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc3cb31…
10-30 08:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd3677c…
10-29 15:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x26aa34…
10-29 06:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x050a6d…
10-28 04:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x53c4aa…
10-27 15:53:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3667c4…
10-27 07:49:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6da37a…
10-26 04:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6fb5d9…
10-25 12:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x64f3ed…
10-24 06:43:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaa95ac…
10-22 10:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xda34a3…
10-20 04:26:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc02045…
10-19 06:21:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd56389…
10-18 05:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9ef4f9…
10-17 07:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6b4231…
10-16 01:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x609713…
10-15 04:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0a82f0…
10-14 06:46:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5f9678…
10-13 13:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x122ec6…
10-13 01:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x114a40…
10-12 01:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x37784b…
10-11 01:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x13c060…
10-08 04:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x324bd3…
10-07 08:44:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x04575b…
10-06 14:58:11	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x019a62…
10-06 05:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc6e3df…
10-04 07:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x6f52ae…
10-03 00:46:23	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3af5b…
10-02 07:15:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf841f1…
10-02 03:08:17	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4c681…
10-01 05:45:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc84e90…
09-30 07:35:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa84d42…
09-29 06:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x556461…
09-28 03:01:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8766bc…
09-27 10:40:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fbc79…
09-26 08:22:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac2c49…
09-25 01:39:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd8d323…
09-24 01:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd5513b…
09-23 05:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc685d5…
09-22 01:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32bc76…
09-21 06:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa472b9…
09-20 02:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x882a88…
09-19 05:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x898379…
09-18 09:47:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x28bdc3…
09-18 01:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x793a44…
09-17 00:54:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1c263…
09-16 07:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x291eff…
09-15 23:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb96daa…
09-15 01:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2cee6d…
09-14 00:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f275d…
09-13 12:44:40	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x654ffb…
09-12 01:27:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9fe3f9…
09-11 01:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb2b165…
09-10 01:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03bae6…
09-09 00:50:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7c8b8…
09-08 01:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7eacaa…
09-07 09:54:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00c0d7…
09-07 01:38:25	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x050454…
09-06 17:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99a0aa…
09-06 01:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0705f8…
09-05 08:50:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ba99e…
09-04 08:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb2da4…
09-03 01:04:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0b750…
09-02 11:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa84fc2…
09-01 01:17:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e48dd…
08-30 00:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf023d5…
08-29 05:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd77ac…
08-28 01:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x55a126…
08-27 01:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaede1b…
08-26 01:05:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25084f…
08-25 01:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe70c41…
08-24 07:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e2b94…
08-23 00:59:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed1bf4…
08-22 01:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc41fac…
08-21 01:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a733e…
08-20 00:15:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x990473…
08-19 00:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x283136…
08-18 00:09:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x56a19e…
08-17 05:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f1797…
08-16 01:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x088ae1…
08-15 01:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f19cb…
08-14 01:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe28788…
08-13 00:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x842c2d…
08-12 00:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x984619…
08-11 00:11:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b2021…
08-10 00:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa3317f…
08-09 00:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3b612…
08-08 00:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdda34d…