Vague-Competence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$98

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-27 02:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

54% — —

Crypto

36% 100% +$0

Sports

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	8	$3.6K	1,816	1,816	+0	open	—	01-14 06:54
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$907	458	458	+0	open	—	02-08 03:51
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$905	456	456	+0	open	—	02-12 02:46
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$901	452	452	+0	open	—	01-19 05:02
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$449	455	0	+455	open	—	01-24 02:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	2	$88	44	44	+0	open	—	05-27 02:58
bitcoin above 70k on april 16	1	$48	48	0	+48	open	—	04-16 03:09
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	1	$48	48	0	+48	open	—	03-20 06:34
bitcoin above 70k on april 22	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	04-22 03:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	1	$45	45	0	+45	Yes	+$0	05-10 01:57
ethereum above 1900 on april 8	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	04-08 03:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	05-20 02:41
ethereum above 1900 on march 25	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	03-25 03:02
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 24	1	$44	45	0	+45	open	—	03-24 05:05
bitcoin above 60k on april 2	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	04-02 03:58
xrp above 1pt4 on march 18	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	03-18 06:18
ethereum above 2100 on april 21	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	04-21 03:30
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	05-16 02:27
bitcoin above 64k on march 27	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	03-27 03:31
ethereum above 2000 on april 12	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	04-12 04:59
will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on april 23	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	04-23 05:11
bitcoin above 64k on april 5	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	04-05 05:27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	1	$42	43	0	+43	open	—	05-26 02:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	05-03 03:21
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	05-22 02:25
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 28?	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	04-28 05:11
will solana dip to 70 in march 2026	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	03-31 03:30
will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 23	1	$41	42	0	+42	open	—	03-23 06:43
will ethereum dip to 1400 in march 2026	1	$41	41	0	+41	open	—	03-30 03:31
xrp above 1pt3 on april 24	1	$41	41	0	+41	open	—	04-24 05:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 02:58:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x5fd774…
05-27 02:17:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x28f940…
05-26 02:30:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$42	0x615cab…
05-24 02:50:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xca2c59…
05-23 03:24:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4d97ed…
05-22 02:25:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x56e687…
05-20 02:41:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x7b4cf5…
05-17 02:48:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xfc7238…
05-16 02:27:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xd2cb53…
05-15 02:14:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd0ebc2…
05-13 02:12:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x03a064…
05-12 02:29:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xf07b48…
05-10 01:57:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x6926b0…
05-09 02:58:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 9?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb3807a…
05-08 02:52:29	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 8?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x284ed2…
05-07 02:45:17	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xdba353…
05-06 03:36:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x4117d3…
05-05 05:39:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xfe4f83…
05-03 03:21:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x30681a…
05-02 03:11:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 2?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe17a3f…
04-30 02:14:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7e442a…
04-29 02:19:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x9a351d…
04-28 05:11:14	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 28?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x7d3e41…
04-27 03:36:58	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$36	0x3816c7…
04-26 05:55:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xab3ea3…
04-25 03:20:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x390a7e…
04-24 05:16:34	xrp above 1pt3 on april 24	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x725bff…
04-23 05:11:52	will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on april 23	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xec25b9…
04-22 03:07:32	bitcoin above 70k on april 22	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x48a226…
04-21 03:30:10	ethereum above 2100 on april 21	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x315777…
04-20 02:57:46	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on april 20	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xc1dfeb…
04-19 05:21:06	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 19	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x757040…
04-18 06:20:56	ethereum above 2600 on april 18	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x29f637…
04-17 03:56:54	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2c004d…
04-16 03:09:32	bitcoin above 70k on april 16	Yes	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x9522fd…
04-15 03:22:38	solana above 70 on april 15	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb627b2…
04-14 05:45:41	bitcoin above 70k on april 14	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xddb8d9…
04-12 04:59:53	ethereum above 2000 on april 12	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x36b34f…
04-11 03:15:51	bitcoin above 68k on april 11	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xd5a45f…
04-10 03:25:53	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on april 10	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x258779…
04-09 03:36:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 9	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x95bb7a…
04-08 03:38:19	ethereum above 1900 on april 8	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xa6d9e3…
04-07 02:19:47	bitcoin above 60k on april 7	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xc17568…
04-06 06:21:47	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on april 6	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xacd904…
04-05 05:27:19	bitcoin above 64k on april 5	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x59498b…
04-04 05:26:39	bitcoin above 64k on april 4	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x86ef71…
04-03 03:37:15	xrp above 1pt2 on april 3	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe2d2b8…
04-02 03:58:27	bitcoin above 60k on april 2	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xde7201…
04-01 05:08:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 1	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x8f5ab2…
03-31 03:30:05	will solana dip to 70 in march 2026	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xde3cd0…
03-30 03:31:52	will ethereum dip to 1400 in march 2026	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xfde697…
03-29 05:34:44	ethereum above 1700 on march 29	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x084c45…
03-28 05:07:09	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 28	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x31acd0…
03-27 03:31:51	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x913169…
03-26 03:11:49	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xfb2d4d…
03-25 03:02:57	ethereum above 1900 on march 25	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x71b10b…
03-24 05:05:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 24	No	BUY	45	100¢	$44	0xc13212…
03-23 06:43:51	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 23	No	BUY	42	100¢	$41	0x36583d…
03-22 05:46:47	will the price of solana be between 70 80 on march 22	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x428aea…
03-21 05:30:45	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 21	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xaa89e8…
03-20 06:34:43	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x9f8dbb…
03-19 05:48:19	solana above 80 on march 19	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0xd7d88a…
03-18 06:18:17	xrp above 1pt4 on march 18	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x586eb0…
03-17 06:34:37	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 320 339	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x263863…
03-16 06:24:07	ethereum above 1900 on march 16	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x726d08…
03-15 03:26:19	bitcoin above 64k on march 16	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3deb07…
03-14 10:57:07	bitcoin above 74k on march 14	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1185cf…
03-13 07:49:43	xrp above 1pt1 on march 13	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3d3b86…
03-12 05:18:23	ethereum above 1700 on march 12	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3e91d6…
03-11 02:22:25	bitcoin above 64k on march 11	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x97919d…
03-10 02:27:59	ethereum above 1800 on march 10	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc9a584…
03-09 03:13:23	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on march 9	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x425243…
03-05 02:30:33	bitcoin above 64k on march 5	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4038d8…
03-04 03:18:45	bitcoin above 60k on march 4	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3087e3…
03-03 02:38:59	bitcoin above 58k on march 3	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x51fbae…
03-02 03:14:25	will the price of bitcoin be less than 56000 on march 2	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0eafb9…
03-01 03:00:33	ethereum above 1500 on march 1	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5a73e4…
02-28 07:26:27	bitcoin above 68k on february 28	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x902c4b…
02-12 07:45:27	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 80 99	Yes	BUY	8,306	0¢	$17	0x607077…
02-12 02:46:09	Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	456	99¢	$452	0x186af3…
02-11 02:59:55	Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	456	99¢	$453	0x02ab5e…
02-08 03:51:57	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	458	99¢	$453	0xa5529b…
02-07 03:05:03	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	458	99¢	$454	0xcd386b…
01-24 02:31:08	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	455	99¢	$449	0xfd1cf6…
01-19 05:02:58	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	SELL	452	100¢	$450	0xf033b5…
01-18 03:50:48	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	452	100¢	$451	0xa3f395…
01-14 06:54:14	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	453	100¢	$451	0x901fbc…
01-13 03:17:17	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	453	100¢	$451	0x75f7d1…
01-12 03:38:56	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	453	100¢	$451	0x41f0c9…
01-10 05:12:54	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	453	100¢	$451	0x2a5358…
01-09 06:06:04	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	455	99¢	$451	0x7f187c…
01-06 06:36:43	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	455	99¢	$452	0x1bfec6…
01-05 10:49:51	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	455	99¢	$452	0x44b24a…
01-03 08:39:03	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	455	99¢	$451	0x03bfb8…