Informal-Businessman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

1,771

Trades

1,926

lifetime

Volume

$83.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-29 20:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 202 days

Categories

Other

79% 99% +$19

Sports

16% 100% +$14

Crypto

3% 98% +$2

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	3	$100	50	50	+0	Over	+$0	05-28 16:31
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$100	50	50	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 02:05
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	7	$100	50	50	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-30 04:48
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-11 11:26
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	5	$100	50	50	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-25 18:11
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$100	50	50	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	10	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:37
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:29
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	10	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:09
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	10	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:37
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$100	50	50	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$100	50	50	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:31
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$100	50	50	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	04-25 16:25
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:11
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	04-15 20:31
wta muchova gauff 2026 07 09 match total 22pt5	7	$50	50	0	+50	Over	+$0	07-09 15:28
highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 23c	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	04-15 05:03
wta korpats shnaide 2026 04 13	1	$50	50	0	+50	Diana Shnaider	+$0	04-14 21:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 20:05:15	Guayaquil: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Valerio Aboian	Valerio Aboian	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4d10c6…
10-29 16:56:20	M15 João Pessoa: Nicolas Bruna vs Bastian Malla	Nicolas Bruna	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf6d1a0…
10-29 15:14:20	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x425fcb…
10-29 14:53:46	M25 Sheffield: Matt Ponchet vs Martin Krumich	Matt Ponchet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9857c3…
10-28 19:17:17	M25 Norman, OK: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Giles Hussey	Johan Alexander Rodriguez	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x380d0f…
10-28 15:38:17	W50 Istanbul: Anastasia Gasanova vs Ekaterina Dotsenko	Ekaterina Dotsenko	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x40bad7…
10-27 21:08:24	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelona	Barcelona	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb7d8db…
10-27 13:12:05	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9c0b3d…
10-25 22:08:56	Sioux Falls: Cooper Woestendick vs Andrew Fenty	Andrew Fenty	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa19c76…
10-25 15:58:05	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2c78c8…
10-25 09:31:02	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3a342b…
10-25 04:37:38	Will San Diego FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x368498…
10-24 16:55:44	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd66913…
10-24 13:22:44	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x2fa1bf…
10-24 13:22:09	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x8929b1…
10-24 12:13:08	Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Quintessence - Map 1 Winner	Donstu Esports	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xef3880…
10-24 08:54:35	Illawarra Hawks vs. Brisbane Bullets	Brisbane Bullets	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc7f131…
10-23 19:57:09	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs	BESTIA	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a2f72…
10-23 19:56:17	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs	BESTIA	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3f1329…
10-23 19:42:08	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Virtus.pro - Map 3 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe5f466…
10-23 16:52:27	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x073461…
10-23 06:10:06	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x49aed7…
10-22 20:15:33	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1c4b35…
10-22 03:03:08	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x969d17…
10-22 03:02:56	Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xbe258d…
10-21 12:22:57	Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6acc84…
10-20 18:47:45	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcc7474…
10-20 18:39:18	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x415a45…
10-20 17:07:15	Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe67146…
10-20 15:06:41	Counter-Strike: Revise vs Privateer Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	Privateer Gaming	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x059e18…
10-19 19:08:29	Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Sander Jong	Sander Jong	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa809a6…
10-19 15:46:38	Florence: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Bondioli	Federico Bondioli	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x13da31…
10-18 22:40:00	Fort Worth: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Michael Antonius	Michael Antonius	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf992f1…
10-18 17:09:11	Will GIF Sundsvall win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdc820d…
10-18 17:03:23	Lisbon: Kai Wehnelt vs Milos Karol	Kai Wehnelt	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x123611…
10-18 15:35:05	European Open, Qualification: Clement Chidekh vs Gauthier Onclin	Clement Chidekh	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0ec609…
10-18 13:09:32	Will GKS Piast Gliwice win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x81f6e6…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf06d70…
10-17 13:14:09	wta kubka salkova 2026 10 17	Dominika Salkova	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x1ab7f7…
10-17 12:20:54	Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x71d206…
10-15 20:32:35	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xcccb4a…
10-15 19:37:38	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8c9cf1…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4ee395…
10-14 12:36:47	wta hercog ortenzi 2026 10 14	Polona Hercog	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbe6ad1…
10-14 11:41:25	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf822f7…
10-13 22:49:00	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xdc3543…
10-13 21:37:33	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5fec79…
10-13 20:58:55	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8b96cb…
10-13 16:29:51	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xec04f1…
10-13 14:15:23	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7eb711…
10-13 01:33:59	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x70c261…
10-12 16:35:41	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x700c6a…
10-12 09:08:34	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2a355f…
10-11 20:16:12	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0703ec…
10-11 18:40:13	Basketball Loewen Braunschweig vs. Riesen Ludwigsburg	Riesen Ludwigsburg	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x516073…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xbb9c19…
10-11 10:26:11	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc0dc41…
10-11 05:32:23	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino	Karen Khachanov	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf697af…
10-10 23:41:27	Tennessee vs. Arkansas	Tennessee	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe14225…
10-10 16:40:43	Will GAIS win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa11344…
10-10 14:49:51	Will Sandvikens IF win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x190810…
10-10 12:54:19	China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe13c98…
10-10 11:08:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb6dcf5…
10-10 10:20:13	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x241014…
10-09 14:48:54	atp neumaye gurri 2026 10 09	Lukas Neumayer	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5125cd…
10-09 12:00:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x101b3f…
10-09 02:09:54	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc55b4b…
10-08 19:15:11	Braga: Vilius Gaubas vs Duje Ajdukovic	Vilius Gaubas	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x320fc3…
10-08 07:14:28	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Hamad Medjedovic	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xf9d2bc…
10-08 07:11:28	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x8bbf97…
10-08 05:27:44	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Kimmer Coppejans vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x09e4af…
10-07 14:01:46	Braga: Matej Dodig vs Andrea Pellegrino	Matej Dodig	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa7f38f…
10-07 10:16:24	Samsun: Elena Pridankina vs Anna Blinkova	Anna Blinkova	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x23b607…
10-07 06:29:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xf039e6…
10-07 05:38:38	W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova	Anna Yang	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe29238…
10-06 20:46:23	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd2a447…
10-06 20:36:54	Will Bulgaria win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbd5815…
10-06 17:34:36	Palermo: Christian Langmo vs Lorenzo Giustino	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x47fe5d…
10-06 16:07:35	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa3bed2…
10-06 13:20:16	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb2bd39…
10-05 13:54:28	cs2 morrow noirve 2026 10 05	MORROW	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xfb08a5…
10-04 23:23:08	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3fb2e6…
10-04 20:17:41	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x61d015…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x03946c…
10-03 16:04:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xefb59f…
10-03 14:50:32	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xac57bc…
10-03 06:09:56	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x0a7b81…
10-03 02:52:57	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xde188b…
10-03 00:23:18	W15 Nashville, TN: Rose Marie Nijkamp vs Emma Kamper	Rose Marie Nijkamp	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c7c12…
10-02 21:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7da923…
10-02 19:33:51	Curitiba: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Luis Guto Miguel	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3b4d63…
10-02 18:11:17	Columbus: Darwin Blanch vs Dylan Dietrich	Dylan Dietrich	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb23505…
10-02 14:17:59	Counter-Strike: BBL vs SportsBetExpert (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B	BBL	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc1d042…
10-02 14:15:39	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xf9b791…
10-02 14:15:26	Will Gambia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x76bda2…
10-02 14:13:36	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x49ddef…
10-02 13:03:30	Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xefe7a0…
10-02 06:25:14	Will Tunisia vs. Mali end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x806142…
10-01 22:18:32	atp dias olivier 2026 10 01	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x5c0874…
10-01 21:13:08	W100 Templeton, CA: Julieta Pareja vs Mary Stoiana	Julieta Pareja	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3a253c…