Fantastic-Accuracy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$134

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

56.5%

Resolved

Trades

378

lifetime

Volume

$3.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-30 21:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 52% $-2

Sports

41% 44% $-139

Other

8% 25% +$7

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes		+17	$5	24¢	$4	$-1	06-09 21:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	6	$369	400	400	+0	open	—	05-25 02:33
Thunder vs. Spurs	3	$347	198	198	+0	open	—	05-29 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$256	161	161	+0	open	—	05-25 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	3	$205	452	0	+452	open	—	05-25 02:27
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5	1	$200	400	0	+400	open	—	05-29 02:26
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	5	$135	76	75	+0	open	—	04-26 00:15
btc updown 5m 1776365100	5	$129	79	65	+14	open	—	04-16 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	3	$110	733	0	+733	open	—	05-29 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	3	$107	69	69	+0	Down	+$7	05-13 15:26
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$70	105	0	+105	open	—	05-27 01:37
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	2	$66	112	0	+112	Timberwolves	$-66	05-05 01:52
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	4	$61	66	45	+21	Timberwolves	$-27	05-11 01:55
Lakers vs. Thunder	5	$52	162	81	+81	Thunder	$-17	05-08 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$52	38	38	+0	Down	+$12	05-11 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$52	32	32	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$50	63	0	+63	open	—	05-15 03:23
1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)	4	$50	39	39	+0	Knicks	+$10	05-05 01:20
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	2	$50	77	0	+77	open	—	05-21 20:13
nba nyk atl 2026 04 23	7	$48	38	37	+0	open	—	04-24 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$47	26	26	+0	Down	+$3	05-11 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$45	72	72	-0	Up	$-34	05-13 15:34
nba orl det 2026 04 19	10	$44	132	31	+100	open	—	04-20 01:20
btc updown 5m 1776362100	2	$44	50	46	+4	open	—	04-16 17:59
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$37	55	0	+55	open	—	04-26 16:05
Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5	2	$34	65	65	+0	Over	$-28	05-08 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	6	$32	29	29	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 00:57
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5	2	$31	27	27	+0	open	—	05-18 21:24
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	5	$31	23	23	+0	open	—	04-26 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$30	60	0	+60	Down	+$30	05-13 15:10
lal bar cel 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	3	$28	21	20	+0	open	—	04-22 21:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 21:56:56	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xbde356…
06-28 22:29:01	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7947ce…
06-26 22:57:19	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xc546dd…
06-23 19:44:44	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 corners first half total 3pt5	Over	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x96ceb7…
06-23 19:44:31	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xc0e370…
06-23 17:59:28	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	England	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x51e87d…
06-20 19:49:44	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x5cbc1f…
06-20 01:18:29	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x5b0f8d…
06-18 22:20:44	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 corners first half total 4pt5	Under	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0xac01c9…
06-18 22:09:52	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 corners first half total 4pt5	Under	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x411ce9…
06-10 22:26:10	fif eng cri 2026 06 10 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb234ba…
06-10 22:25:45	fif eng cri 2026 06 10 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x85549d…
06-10 00:13:58	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x927e31…
06-10 00:11:33	btc updown 5m 1781050200	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xdc0414…
06-09 21:39:28	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xeaae71…
06-07 17:50:30	btc updown 5m 1780854600	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc92a1b…
05-29 02:26:45	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x87d5df…
05-29 02:20:29	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	198	97¢	$192	0x41b79c…
05-29 02:19:10	Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	Spurs	SELL	19	93¢	$18	0x104cd7…
05-29 02:01:51	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	190	79¢	$150	0x3de335…
05-29 01:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0xf94fd3…
05-29 01:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x994b26…
05-29 01:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x9ce11d…
05-29 01:52:22	Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	Spurs	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xe9beaa…
05-28 23:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc395c7…
05-28 23:55:05	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x81aaf6…
05-27 21:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x451c1b…
05-27 19:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x576f52…
05-27 19:31:24	Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb08b7f…
05-27 01:37:54	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x9cdf0c…
05-26 23:33:06	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xb03ada…
05-25 02:37:23	Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	Avalanche	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xc0edf8…
05-25 02:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	47	87¢	$41	0xa88548…
05-25 02:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	120	79¢	$95	0x90c2b3…
05-25 02:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	233	12¢	$28	0x821d20…
05-25 02:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xa33e23…
05-25 02:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x914517…
05-25 02:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x2a7041…
05-25 02:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x59b4e0…
05-25 02:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x983088…
05-25 02:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xc85a85…
05-25 02:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	161	97¢	$156	0x00b094…
05-25 02:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x13374c…
05-21 20:13:42	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x07797c…
05-21 20:13:30	Spread: Knicks (-8.5)	Knicks	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x85b0b1…
05-21 20:13:02	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x69c2a6…
05-18 21:24:16	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xbc3ac5…
05-18 20:06:39	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x607220…
05-18 01:14:17	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 100.5	Under	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xc4999e…
05-18 01:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xac8e97…
05-18 01:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6f9fca…
05-17 14:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x850744…
05-15 03:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x94be35…
05-15 03:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xbe0b86…
05-14 11:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc4c6e2…
05-13 22:04:19	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	44	62¢	$27	0x748792…
05-13 22:04:01	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline	Pistons	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x4dd5e2…
05-13 15:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	72	7¢	$5	0x80cdf1…
05-13 15:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	66¢	$15	0x2bee1b…
05-13 15:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xe69f1e…
05-13 15:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	69	83¢	$57	0x695011…
05-13 15:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x78b339…
05-13 15:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x2467c5…
05-13 15:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x884e5f…
05-13 15:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe72017…
05-13 12:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7cfaa8…
05-13 12:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x05396d…
05-13 11:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	32	85¢	$27	0xa5b52c…
05-13 11:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xdcc83a…
05-13 01:04:10	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline	Spurs	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0b725d…
05-13 01:03:56	Spread: Spurs (-20.5)	Spurs	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xadaf43…
05-13 01:02:04	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5	Under	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x02cc48…
05-13 01:02:02	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x4d3f55…
05-12 23:36:28	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5	Under	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2b27c9…
05-12 23:36:03	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xd92286…
05-12 12:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x6811c0…
05-12 12:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	23	32¢	$7	0x3fd9d9…
05-12 12:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xbecddb…
05-12 12:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xebe60b…
05-12 12:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xacf219…
05-12 12:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x08e9c4…
05-11 21:44:32	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6cf08d…
05-11 21:44:15	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc4532e…
05-11 21:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x35474e…
05-11 21:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x825b9f…
05-11 21:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0x5cdaa3…
05-11 21:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x696300…
05-11 01:55:02	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0x9016bb…
05-11 01:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	83	20¢	$17	0xa83fe0…
05-11 01:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	83	13¢	$11	0x2df49d…
05-11 01:25:06	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	45	39¢	$17	0xd4dc60…
05-11 01:04:12	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xd02f75…
05-11 01:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0xdedfad…
05-11 01:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0xe93cb6…
05-11 00:59:42	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x7eb585…
05-11 00:59:11	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xfc583d…
05-11 00:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x939517…
05-11 00:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$6	0xe13478…
05-11 00:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf19718…
05-11 00:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb59998…