Staid-Grouper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.54K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.1%

Resolved

2,829

Trades

5,283

lifetime

Volume

$24.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 10-09 15:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 70% -$1,106

Other

9% 23% -$494

Politics

1% 59% +$111

Sports

0% 35% -$52

Tech

0% 67% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$200	206	0	+206	Down	+$6	05-11 02:15
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	1	$200	217	0	+217	Down	+$17	05-11 01:36
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	2	$130	198	198	+0	Yes	+$122	04-13 00:21
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	1	$105	113	0	+113	Down	-$105	05-11 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	1	$100	100,000	0	+100,000	Up	-$100	05-04 15:55
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$100	102	0	+102	Up	+$2	05-04 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$100	103	0	+103	Down	+$3	05-04 06:26
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$100	102	0	+102	Up	+$2	05-04 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$100	103	0	+103	Up	+$3	05-04 02:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$100	103	0	+103	Down	+$3	05-04 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$100	103	0	+103	Down	+$3	05-04 03:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$100	103	0	+103	Up	+$3	05-04 14:37
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$100	103	0	+103	Down	+$3	05-04 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$100	111	0	+111	Up	+$11	05-04 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$100	107	0	+107	Down	+$7	05-04 02:02
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$100	107	0	+107	Up	+$7	05-04 02:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	1	$100	107	0	+107	Down	+$8	05-04 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$99	123	0	+123	Down	+$23	05-04 10:11
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$96	99	0	+99	Up	+$3	05-11 00:31
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$86	92	0	+92	Up	+$6	05-04 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	24	$80	155	0	+155	Up	-$6	04-28 04:38
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$79	82	0	+82	Up	+$2	05-04 01:56
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$78	80	0	+80	Down	+$2	05-11 00:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	31	$76	107	49	+58	Up	+$7	04-28 19:21
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	1	$72	73	0	+73	Down	+$1	05-04 15:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	13	$68	74	74	+0	Down	+$10	05-11 16:27
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$67	69	0	+69	Up	-$67	05-04 15:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$66	68	0	+68	Down	+$2	05-11 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	18	$65	74	74	+0	Down	+$8	05-11 16:27
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	1	$65	68	0	+68	Down	+$3	05-04 15:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 15:02:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xf6883b…
10-09 14:47:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x88d4c3…
10-09 14:46:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x89d5ad…
10-09 14:26:10	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xac99d8…
10-09 14:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x512ea9…
10-09 13:52:34	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xcd0b26…
10-09 13:48:57	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x53e77e…
10-09 13:48:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xaa35bf…
10-09 13:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xaac7a6…
10-09 13:42:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7e6694…
10-09 13:37:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xcb07e4…
10-09 13:37:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1f54a2…
10-09 13:37:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0b302b…
10-09 13:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc0a1dc…
10-09 13:32:45	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xf8c42f…
10-09 13:28:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x0b28bc…
10-09 13:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x23d3e3…
10-09 13:23:06	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x212cc7…
10-09 13:22:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd046c2…
10-09 13:18:54	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x11de9d…
10-09 13:12:34	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x405e95…
10-09 13:12:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0fea15…
10-09 13:08:31	BNB Up or Down - October 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x03121e…
10-09 13:07:54	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbee130…
10-09 13:07:36	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xdfbeaf…
10-09 13:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5b3f39…
10-09 12:58:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xb8f227…
10-09 12:57:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb40e2d…
10-09 12:57:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xad8c79…
10-09 12:52:34	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0ba158…
10-09 12:47:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe975ba…
10-09 12:47:34	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xbd6a87…
10-09 12:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x974b7e…
10-09 12:42:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x703967…
10-09 12:38:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6c3be9…
10-09 12:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x1fc08e…
10-09 12:33:52	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdbcf42…
10-09 12:27:36	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x99f8a1…
10-09 12:18:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7d8092…
10-09 12:12:33	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x034442…
10-09 12:07:49	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x12dda6…
10-09 11:57:15	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x7d13ce…
10-09 11:52:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xc59065…
10-09 11:42:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3f5ae1…
10-09 11:42:04	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xd761f8…
10-09 11:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc769df…
10-09 11:32:36	BNB Up or Down - October 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x998989…
10-09 11:32:27	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcba39a…
10-09 11:32:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6b4ea5…
10-09 11:27:04	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x1f762a…
10-09 11:27:03	BNB Up or Down - October 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2becda…
10-09 11:22:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x1762e1…
10-09 11:22:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb8d815…
10-09 11:22:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfbed40…
10-09 11:18:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xff80de…
10-09 11:17:07	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe21c93…
10-09 11:13:43	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x5b0e4d…
10-09 11:12:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa78b52…
10-09 11:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x215aa1…
10-09 11:07:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x97d0d9…
10-09 11:07:04	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6b1cb4…
10-09 11:02:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x49506a…
10-09 11:02:19	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x723e70…
10-09 10:57:04	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1ce1f8…
10-09 10:47:03	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xffb269…
10-09 10:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x6a9f47…
10-09 10:42:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xfa74d4…
10-09 10:37:07	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7a647d…
10-09 10:32:15	BNB Up or Down - October 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x224181…
10-09 10:32:07	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x663bf2…
10-09 10:32:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb678e6…
10-09 10:27:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x6f1b1c…
10-09 10:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9147c5…
10-09 10:22:03	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xb2042d…
10-09 10:22:03	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x40461f…
10-09 10:18:07	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x22a57c…
10-09 10:12:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc84cfb…
10-09 10:07:46	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x424665…
10-09 10:02:55	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x2d72cc…
10-09 10:02:04	BNB Up or Down - October 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8aced7…
10-09 10:02:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa82de4…
10-09 09:37:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe673b8…
10-09 09:37:04	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x09bd41…
10-09 09:33:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xcb0f5b…
10-09 09:32:39	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xabbe5e…
10-09 09:27:15	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x945189…
10-09 09:18:34	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x906570…
10-09 09:17:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x01a743…
10-09 09:12:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x24614d…
10-09 09:07:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x790602…
10-09 09:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xd04fdd…
10-09 09:02:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x4ae34f…
10-09 09:02:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x2dab6f…
10-09 08:57:54	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4c82aa…
10-09 08:57:36	BNB Up or Down - October 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x472831…
10-09 08:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x48c397…
10-09 08:52:06	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x8c9956…
10-09 08:47:39	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x33aad1…
10-09 08:43:36	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x5cbf18…
10-09 08:43:24	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x81cca1…