(anonymous) 0x19aa59…d22dc4
hot 30W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.10K
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
98.0%
Resolved
747
Trades
1,772
lifetime
Volume
$49.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$1.02K
26 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-29 13:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Other
83% 87% +$2,010
Politics
8% 89% -$60
Sports
6% 90% +$138
Tech
1% 89% +$3
Crypto
1% 100% +$7
Pop-Culture
0% 80% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 235 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +178 $174 96¢ $171 -$3 10-14 10:42
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +170 $169 99¢ $169 +$0 10-14 04:22
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +90 $88 100¢ $90 +$2 10-12 04:21
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +90 $64 100¢ $90 +$26 10-12 04:21
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +90 $90 100¢ $90 $0 10-13 22:44
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +68 $68 99¢ $68 +$0 10-14 15:12
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026? No +62 $62 100¢ $62 $0 10-07 21:56
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +39 $13 100¢ $39 +$26 10-27 18:55
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $34 98¢ $33 $0 10-15 16:09
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +25 $15 92¢ $23 +$7 10-12 07:34
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +22 $22 99¢ $22 +$1 10-08 05:35
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +22 $19 90¢ $19 +$0 10-26 03:32
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +146 $16 13¢ $19 +$3 10-13 20:57
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026? No +18 $18 100¢ $18 $0 10-17 23:01
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +18 $17 96¢ $17 $0 10-22 03:11
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +95 $20 16¢ $15 -$5 10-26 17:42
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? No +14 $14 99¢ $14 $0 10-07 04:32
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No +21 $8 50¢ $11 +$2 10-08 23:25
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +10 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 10-20 21:12
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? No +18 $10 55¢ $10 -$1 10-13 09:17
Will Saquon Barkley win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +9 $9 100¢ $9 +$0 10-13 13:15
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +9 $7 86¢ $7 +$0 10-19 14:04
Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? No +7 $7 100¢ $7 $0 10-14 12:31
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +327 $7 0¢ $1 -$6 10-11 18:50
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +100 $71 1¢ $1 -$70 10-27 19:35
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? No +16 $1 2¢ $0 $0 10-14 04:46