Thoughtful-Affect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.90K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.8%

Resolved

121

Trades

221

lifetime

Volume

$5.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 09-30 10:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Sports

56% 67% -$1,577

Crypto

42% 76% -$313

Other

2% 59% -$9

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 4pt5	16	$1.8K	2,443	889	+1,554	Knicks	-$560	06-04 02:50
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals	14	$1.0K	2,525	0	+2,525	Milwaukee Brewers	-$1,035	05-01 20:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	30	$833	481	481	+0	Up	+$33	06-04 00:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:30 UTC	7	$447	287	287	+0	Up	+$47	06-04 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:55 UTC	26	$300	200	200	+0	Up	+$76	06-03 23:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 23:45 UTC	3	$168	368	0	+368	Down	-$168	06-03 23:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 23:30 UTC	2	$151	269	0	+269	Down	-$151	06-03 23:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:40 UTC	3	$107	154	10	+144	Down	-$93	06-03 23:42
bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 8pm et	3	$90	70	70	+0	Down	+$5	06-04 00:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 23:15 UTC	3	$64	688	0	+688	Down	-$64	06-03 23:27
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres	1	$20	33	0	+33	San Diego Padres	+$13	05-03 16:57
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	1	$3	5	0	+5	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$2	05-14 17:58
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox	1	$3	7	0	+7	Chicago White Sox	+$4	05-14 17:58
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	1	$3	5	0	+5	Los Angeles Angels	-$3	05-22 15:19
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs fnatic (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs	1	$3	6	0	+6	SPARTA	+$3	05-02 15:55
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers	1	$3	5	0	+5	Detroit Tigers	+$2	05-03 16:52
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners	1	$3	6	0	+6	Kansas City Royals	-$3	05-03 16:53
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants	1	$3	6	0	+6	Chicago White Sox	+$3	05-22 15:19
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 01:00 UTC	1	$3	3	0	+3	Up	+$0	06-07 01:09
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landaluce	1	$3	5	0	+5	Martin Landaluce	+$3	05-10 18:35
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	1	$2	5	0	+5	LOUD	+$3	05-03 16:49
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-05-03?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$2	05-02 15:55
mlb bal bos 2026 06 04	1	$2	2	0	+2	Baltimore Orioles	+$0	06-04 19:17
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1	$2	5	0	+5	Andrey Rublev	-$2	05-10 18:35
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	09-30 10:46
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-02?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	05-02 15:53
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	05-17 16:53
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	1	$2	3	0	+3	Colorado Rockies	-$2	05-22 15:19
Paris: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Blinkova	1	$2	6	0	+6	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	-$2	05-13 19:12
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$2	05-15 20:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 10:46:56	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4a7d35…
06-07 01:10:10	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x27b9a2…
06-07 01:09:48	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x380049…
06-07 01:09:39	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x093b8d…
06-04 19:18:31	mlb sf mil 2026 06 04	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xfac57c…
06-04 19:17:55	mlb bal bos 2026 06 04	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4d7ea9…
06-04 19:17:37	mlb cle nyy 2026 06 04	New York Yankees	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xfaaa2a…
06-04 19:17:28	mlb sd phi 2026 06 04	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x427b17…
06-04 02:50:34	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 4pt5	Spurs	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0xf24cbe…
06-04 01:37:42	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 4pt5	Spurs	BUY	66	51¢	$33	0x91b46b…
06-04 01:37:34	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 4pt5	Spurs	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7adc55…
06-04 01:37:28	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 4pt5	Spurs	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x1d3beb…
06-04 01:36:57	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 4pt5	Spurs	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x7785d5…
06-04 01:36:46	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 4pt5	Spurs	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x7544ae…
06-04 01:36:31	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 4pt5	Spurs	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x7aa188…
06-04 01:36:19	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 4pt5	Spurs	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0xa55c81…
06-04 01:36:07	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 4pt5	Spurs	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x4bcfcf…
06-04 01:35:54	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 4pt5	Spurs	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xe4ff47…
06-04 01:35:43	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 4pt5	Spurs	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0xd399be…
06-04 01:35:27	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 4pt5	Spurs	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x925d4f…
06-04 01:29:00	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 4pt5	Spurs	BUY	300	56¢	$168	0x23f9fb…
06-04 01:09:40	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 4pt5	Spurs	SELL	889	69¢	$616	0x17b83e…
06-04 00:48:01	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 4pt5	Spurs	BUY	444	45¢	$200	0x1c7710…
06-04 00:47:55	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 4pt5	Spurs	BUY	444	45¢	$200	0x7877c8…
06-04 00:44:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:30 UTC	Up	SELL	159	82¢	$130	0xc3bb0b…
06-04 00:37:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xafa788…
06-04 00:35:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:30 UTC	Up	SELL	36	91¢	$32	0xd64e6f…
06-04 00:35:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:30 UTC	Up	SELL	18	91¢	$17	0x829cb4…
06-04 00:35:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:30 UTC	Up	SELL	19	91¢	$17	0x5f05c9…
06-04 00:35:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:30 UTC	Up	SELL	55	91¢	$50	0xf65bbd…
06-04 00:32:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xeb1180…
06-04 00:13:30	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 8pm et	Up	SELL	65	68¢	$44	0x2a0a54…
06-04 00:13:13	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 8pm et	Up	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xa7bf2a…
06-04 00:08:28	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	70	61¢	$43	0x4e6140…
06-04 00:05:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	48	90¢	$43	0x2dac15…
06-04 00:05:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xf882aa…
06-04 00:05:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xf3d431…
06-04 00:05:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xef9499…
06-04 00:05:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xba8c69…
06-04 00:05:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xb58239…
06-04 00:05:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x88b681…
06-04 00:05:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x82f6c9…
06-04 00:05:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	29	90¢	$26	0x4e5c63…
06-04 00:05:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x32d378…
06-04 00:05:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x01ef87…
06-04 00:05:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x4e4161…
06-04 00:05:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x24cd5c…
06-04 00:05:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	21	90¢	$19	0x45c803…
06-04 00:05:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x6fb531…
06-04 00:05:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0xd9cd10…
06-04 00:05:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x73b9f2…
06-04 00:05:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	101	90¢	$91	0x54b937…
06-04 00:05:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0x11c0b5…
06-04 00:05:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x8c42aa…
06-04 00:05:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x618f39…
06-04 00:05:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	34	90¢	$30	0x3c0822…
06-04 00:05:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	36	90¢	$32	0x2c6bc6…
06-04 00:05:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xcf4f02…
06-04 00:05:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xb7a553…
06-04 00:04:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xb40c2d…
06-04 00:04:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	36	90¢	$33	0x6e3b43…
06-04 00:04:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0x011273…
06-04 00:01:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xadb903…
06-04 00:01:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	358	84¢	$300	0x92d60d…
06-03 23:59:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4c54d3…
06-03 23:59:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x212397…
06-03 23:59:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:55 UTC	Up	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x1c8f8d…
06-03 23:59:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xf24cd7…
06-03 23:59:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xeaa1f0…
06-03 23:59:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:55 UTC	Up	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xe73ec6…
06-03 23:59:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xdcf138…
06-03 23:59:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xdaef05…
06-03 23:59:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xd430c9…
06-03 23:59:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:55 UTC	Up	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0xa4c447…
06-03 23:59:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:55 UTC	Up	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0xa0a7a2…
06-03 23:59:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:55 UTC	Up	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0x9fb248…
06-03 23:59:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:55 UTC	Up	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x98ae6e…
06-03 23:59:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x678986…
06-03 23:59:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:55 UTC	Up	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x648460…
06-03 23:59:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:55 UTC	Up	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x5e21e1…
06-03 23:59:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:55 UTC	Up	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x5e1a28…
06-03 23:59:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x4a9304…
06-03 23:59:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0b344a…
06-03 23:59:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:55 UTC	Up	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x0b1d9b…
06-03 23:59:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x7656dd…
06-03 23:56:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	113	56¢	$63	0xb6920c…
06-03 23:56:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0xfaed02…
06-03 23:56:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xeac1e5…
06-03 23:56:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	51	56¢	$29	0xbf25fb…
06-03 23:56:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x4c3966…
06-03 23:53:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	118	34¢	$40	0x07d8a9…
06-03 23:49:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x325be7…
06-03 23:48:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	150	53¢	$80	0xbb44c5…
06-03 23:42:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:40 UTC	Up	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xaf5ac1…
06-03 23:42:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:40 UTC	Up	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xbbcdc3…
06-03 23:41:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x3d7e68…
06-03 23:34:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xbec3fc…
06-03 23:30:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	176	57¢	$101	0x814e7e…
06-03 23:27:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x1c7381…
06-03 23:27:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0xeeb9c9…