Prickly-Fortune — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$101

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

51.6%

Resolved

Trades

830

lifetime

Volume

$107.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$129

Open exposure

$149

1 position

First seen

2026-01-15

last 06-09 21:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

58% 25% +$416

Other

37% — —

Sports

4% 0% $-315

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+1,488	$139	10¢	$149	+$10	06-10 01:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another us government shutdown by february 14	43	$7.4K	7,320	7,825	-505	open	—	02-14 06:24
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	17	$6.8K	9,235	9,235	+0	open	—	01-30 10:47
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	32	$5.2K	3,655	3,655	+0	open	—	04-01 03:45
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	25	$5.0K	8,993	9,190	-197	open	—	02-06 03:40
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	9	$4.7K	3,535	3,535	+0	open	—	02-01 06:56
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	45	$4.4K	9,093	10,846	-1,753	open	—	03-25 17:59
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	27	$4.2K	3,136	3,536	-400	open	—	03-08 22:51
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	5	$4.0K	15,442	15,442	+0	open	—	02-02 01:32
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	14	$3.6K	3,321	3,565	-244	open	—	02-28 06:37
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	20	$3.4K	2,069	2,069	+0	open	—	02-14 03:13
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$3.3K	1,730	1,730	+0	open	—	01-31 18:35
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	8	$3.2K	2,278	2,278	+0	open	—	03-07 17:13
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	22	$3.2K	3,634	2,074	+1,560	open	—	03-23 15:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	14	$2.9K	2,008	2,008	+0	open	—	04-28 03:04
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	12	$2.6K	2,433	2,433	+0	open	—	02-28 06:55
us strikes iraq by february 28	5	$2.2K	1,646	1,646	+0	open	—	03-01 04:09
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	7	$1.8K	1,913	2,280	-367	open	—	02-27 13:18
iran leadership change by march 31	2	$1.7K	1,089	1,089	+0	open	—	03-24 08:47
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	36	$1.5K	8,654	4,567	+4,087	open	—	03-08 19:06
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	7	$1.5K	973	973	+0	open	—	03-11 16:50
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$1.5K	824	824	+0	open	—	02-13 06:27
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	2	$1.4K	897	897	+0	open	—	02-28 06:55
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	6	$1.4K	1,355	1,355	+0	open	—	02-02 17:14
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	22	$1.4K	1,440	1,440	+0	open	—	03-26 06:33
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	46	$1.3K	5,449	5,490	-41	open	—	04-05 06:40
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$1.2K	2,394	2,394	+0	open	—	03-01 15:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$1.2K	784	784	+0	open	—	04-28 03:04
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$1.1K	778	778	+0	open	—	02-13 06:43
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	5	$1.0K	618	618	+0	open	—	04-01 04:11
us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	2	$978	762	762	+0	open	—	02-02 11:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 01:15:07	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,488	9¢	$137	0x3c4328…
06-09 21:36:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	11¢	$8	0xc1a283…
06-09 21:36:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0xabd4fa…
06-09 21:36:03	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	11¢	$6	0x9a5955…
06-09 21:32:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	131	11¢	$14	0xe2cd36…
06-09 21:32:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	11¢	$8	0x6834c9…
06-09 21:31:45	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5f5132…
06-09 21:26:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x910d55…
06-09 21:20:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	11¢	$55	0x2cfbe0…
06-09 20:50:37	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	BUY	600	26¢	$156	0x9f342f…
06-09 20:47:58	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xbcd38c…
06-09 20:47:55	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	11¢	$16	0x4045b8…
06-09 20:47:15	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	3,132	5¢	$150	0x31f165…
06-09 06:28:43	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	10¢	$5	0xc49f9a…
06-08 12:17:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x2e0880…
06-08 12:17:03	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	500	12¢	$60	0x0c7d61…
06-08 12:14:39	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,821	8¢	$150	0x726940…
05-29 00:44:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,400	2¢	$22	0x9a7e68…
05-23 05:21:07	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	625	5¢	$29	0x160ff4…
05-23 03:08:35	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x3b1486…
05-23 03:03:45	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xd9d78c…
05-23 03:01:58	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	86	5¢	$4	0xb65791…
05-23 03:01:35	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	58	5¢	$3	0x410e50…
05-23 02:55:24	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	225	5¢	$11	0x44ae41…
05-23 02:10:31	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x233c0b…
05-11 01:18:57	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	700	45¢	$315	0x9459f2…
05-11 00:51:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	135	5¢	$7	0x084bc4…
04-30 00:45:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	509	11¢	$56	0x0a38b6…
04-29 09:02:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0x2bc247…
04-29 02:29:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x7b419a…
04-28 04:50:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0xcbeb9b…
04-28 03:53:00	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Timberwolves	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0xe58daa…
04-28 03:16:04	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Timberwolves	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x9cd63b…
04-28 03:04:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	392	98¢	$386	0xbc4be9…
04-28 03:04:10	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,197	99¢	$1,187	0xd753a5…
04-28 03:03:26	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	225	0¢	$0	0x2c218f…
04-25 12:52:16	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	847	12¢	$100	0x302bd8…
04-25 07:16:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	179	51¢	$92	0x6a0e4a…
04-24 19:13:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x764ebf…
04-24 19:02:16	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	101	54¢	$54	0xb236b4…
04-24 19:01:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	392	88¢	$345	0x27e0a0…
04-24 19:01:42	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	538	93¢	$502	0xd17b4b…
04-24 08:56:30	Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$3	0xf87fff…
04-24 03:50:14	Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xf65275…
04-24 03:39:20	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x2f6b1a…
04-23 19:31:06	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	SELL	299	7¢	$20	0x11a341…
04-21 14:46:54	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	357	14¢	$49	0x649f99…
04-21 14:45:08	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	126	40¢	$51	0x5ed4ab…
04-20 17:02:54	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	1,000	7¢	$67	0x1eee46…
04-20 07:28:20	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0xf547d7…
04-20 07:27:34	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	1,170	8¢	$93	0x79ed52…
04-20 06:21:08	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	330	9¢	$31	0xe54433…
04-19 19:16:08	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	44	51¢	$22	0xb98bde…
04-19 19:14:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	SELL	350	10¢	$35	0x7dbac2…
04-19 08:58:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	303	9¢	$27	0xb7ad5b…
04-19 08:57:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xd9e0b0…
04-19 08:57:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x9d1d61…
04-19 08:57:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x573b62…
04-19 08:55:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x744a42…
04-19 08:53:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3165f0…
04-19 08:53:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0xe011f9…
04-19 06:55:00	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	400	71¢	$284	0x5af7d8…
04-19 06:54:34	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0xae655d…
04-19 03:18:44	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	45	19¢	$9	0x8dda79…
04-19 03:15:22	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x6ae6d6…
04-19 03:14:42	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x4ec91d…
04-19 03:13:08	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x733b6c…
04-19 03:12:44	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	799	19¢	$151	0xd28456…
04-19 03:10:34	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	SELL	95	31¢	$29	0xab0971…
04-19 03:09:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	SELL	346	8¢	$28	0xa92fa6…
04-18 23:33:36	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	70	18¢	$13	0x7950d0…
04-18 23:28:18	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	1,009	18¢	$182	0xae1da2…
04-18 21:29:30	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	273	66¢	$181	0x7b8251…
04-18 21:07:10	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	SELL	126	30¢	$38	0x94ede3…
04-18 21:05:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	SELL	204	17¢	$35	0xcc878d…
04-18 21:01:22	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	96	9¢	$9	0x008d97…
04-18 21:01:12	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$0	0xcdf2f5…
04-18 20:59:50	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x828b0f…
04-18 20:59:46	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x4440bc…
04-18 20:59:42	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1,395	9¢	$126	0xe0b63d…
04-18 19:59:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	SELL	550	18¢	$98	0x3e63e7…
04-18 15:50:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$3	0x3bca2e…
04-18 15:50:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	247	35¢	$86	0xf91247…
04-18 15:47:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	46	35¢	$16	0x0ab255…
04-18 15:46:40	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	48	15¢	$7	0xed3c4d…
04-18 15:33:22	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xbeeb1c…
04-18 11:38:30	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0x9dfbcb…
04-18 11:38:04	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	175	71¢	$124	0x70d1d1…
04-18 11:35:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	BUY	175	43¢	$75	0x89e9de…
04-18 11:35:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0xfc235e…
04-18 11:35:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	71	45¢	$32	0xea6f10…
04-18 11:35:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xd69b95…
04-18 11:35:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xbdbba5…
04-18 11:35:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x098d55…
04-18 11:35:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	184	45¢	$83	0xfeb948…
04-18 11:35:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0x93e666…
04-18 11:34:58	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$4	0x6cb02b…
04-18 11:33:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	84	47¢	$39	0x5690a2…
04-18 11:31:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0xff5652…
04-18 11:26:42	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1,112	8¢	$89	0x799b01…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	86	$23.6M	39,243	06-10 00:35
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	84	$1.15M	19,945	06-09 16:40
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	83	$450.7K	35,207	06-01 04:54
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	81	$110.6K	1,327	06-08 20:16
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	73	$398.1K	44,051	06-09 20:47
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	72	$411.1K	29,585	06-09 23:22
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	71	$200.1K	18,436	03-28 06:22
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	69	$63.5K	5,661	06-01 08:07