Prickly-Fortune — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.80K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.7%

Resolved

116

Trades

895

lifetime

Volume

$114.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$128

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 09-16 17:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Politics

57% 42% -$1,140

Other

37% 23% -$3,087

Sports

5% 47% -$457

Tech

1% 50% -$35

Crypto

1% 33% -$80

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another us government shutdown by february 14	43	$7.4K	7,320	7,825	-505	No	-$201	02-14 06:24
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	17	$6.8K	9,235	9,235	+0	Yes	+$1,808	01-30 10:47
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	32	$5.2K	3,655	3,655	+0	No	+$247	04-01 03:45
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	25	$5.0K	8,993	9,190	-197	No	-$1,044	02-06 03:40
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	9	$4.7K	3,535	3,535	+0	No	+$512	02-01 06:56
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	45	$4.4K	9,093	10,846	-1,753	No	-$962	03-25 17:59
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	27	$4.2K	3,136	3,536	-400	Yes	+$482	03-08 22:51
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	5	$4.0K	15,442	15,442	+0	No	-$494	02-02 01:32
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	14	$3.6K	3,321	3,565	-244	No	-$1,891	02-28 06:37
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	20	$3.4K	2,069	2,069	+0	No	+$207	02-14 03:13
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$3.3K	1,730	1,730	+0	No	+$15	01-31 18:35
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	8	$3.2K	2,278	2,278	+0	Yes	+$439	03-07 17:13
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	22	$3.2K	3,634	2,074	+1,560	No	+$364	03-23 15:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	14	$2.9K	2,008	2,008	+0	No	+$810	04-28 03:04
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	12	$2.6K	2,433	2,433	+0	Yes	+$389	02-28 06:55
us strikes iraq by february 28	5	$2.2K	1,646	1,646	+0	Yes	+$629	03-01 04:09
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	7	$1.8K	1,913	2,280	-367	Yes	+$228	02-27 13:18
iran leadership change by march 31	2	$1.7K	1,089	1,089	+0	No	+$302	03-24 08:47
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	13	$1.6K	8,231	8,231	+0	No	+$142	06-17 18:04
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	36	$1.5K	8,654	4,567	+4,087	No	-$930	03-08 19:06
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	7	$1.5K	973	973	+0	No	+$387	03-11 16:50
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$1.5K	824	824	+0	No	+$74	02-13 06:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$1.4K	4,800	3,200	+1,600	No	-$696	09-16 17:29
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	2	$1.4K	897	897	+0	Yes	+$332	02-28 06:55
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	6	$1.4K	1,355	1,355	+0	No	-$89	02-02 17:14
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	22	$1.4K	1,440	1,440	+0	No	-$52	03-26 06:33
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	46	$1.3K	5,449	5,490	-41	No	-$522	04-05 06:40
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$1.2K	2,394	2,394	+0	No	-$187	03-01 15:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$1.2K	784	784	+0	No	+$299	04-28 03:04
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$1.1K	778	778	+0	Yes	+$57	02-13 06:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-16 17:29:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,600	14¢	$224	0xf9c2f0…
09-15 09:34:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,600	11¢	$176	0x4ba4f0…
09-15 05:37:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,600	12¢	$192	0xbe9344…
09-14 01:43:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	21¢	$84	0x13ee19…
09-11 15:38:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,600	18¢	$288	0x24c563…
09-11 11:13:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,200	39¢	$468	0x1952ff…
06-29 18:34:28	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	273	11¢	$30	0x60878f…
06-29 18:14:25	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	444	45¢	$200	0xa3775b…
06-18 23:52:25	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,262	2¢	$20	0x90dda2…
06-18 23:08:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2,353	14¢	$329	0x0a4ab8…
06-18 15:28:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	422	1¢	$5	0xb8082a…
06-17 18:19:43	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,262	24¢	$300	0xe5e5a5…
06-17 18:15:26	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	SELL	403	97¢	$392	0x1d7a1f…
06-17 18:05:56	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	623	14¢	$85	0x38868a…
06-17 18:04:17	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	697	12¢	$84	0x548dcf…
06-17 13:57:17	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	422	4¢	$16	0xcfe07f…
06-16 08:08:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2,353	17¢	$400	0xcd5fe1…
06-16 08:06:09	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	204	4¢	$7	0x4cb034…
06-16 08:02:27	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	697	26¢	$182	0x836dc1…
06-16 00:54:22	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	204	8¢	$15	0x92a4b6…
06-16 00:54:10	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	464	22¢	$102	0x9e8de9…
06-15 11:24:48	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	SELL	208	23¢	$48	0x608bb7…
06-15 11:24:40	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	408	8¢	$34	0x24d0b0…
06-15 01:18:42	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xcc50b6…
06-14 16:48:19	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x92ece8…
06-14 14:28:15	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xa48461…
06-14 14:27:48	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	262	25¢	$66	0x0cc46e…
06-14 14:27:42	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	SELL	161	68¢	$109	0xe60c01…
06-14 13:27:09	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x6918d4…
06-14 13:17:33	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	95	30¢	$29	0x860701…
06-13 03:38:28	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	474	8¢	$38	0xe6f28f…
06-13 03:37:39	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	653	14¢	$92	0x2612ad…
06-12 18:51:28	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	177	57¢	$100	0x64443b…
06-12 18:49:21	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x36967f…
06-12 18:38:49	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	338	30¢	$100	0x734c43…
06-12 18:26:46	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	BUY	145	55¢	$80	0x3ca506…
06-12 17:09:46	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	1,246	15¢	$190	0x64c137…
06-12 14:47:27	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	711	5¢	$36	0x3a97ad…
06-12 14:47:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	842	5¢	$38	0x595c69…
06-12 14:44:58	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	SELL	72	35¢	$25	0x8bf419…
06-12 14:44:51	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	240	27¢	$65	0x4a1936…
06-12 14:25:13	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	659	6¢	$40	0x83b5ee…
06-12 14:24:03	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	3,093	7¢	$227	0xb39d1d…
06-12 14:14:16	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	1,257	10¢	$121	0xdef80d…
06-12 11:34:09	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0x1bdee9…
06-12 08:31:10	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	1,359	13¢	$180	0x923d13…
06-12 08:30:24	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	832	24¢	$200	0xcdb51f…
06-12 01:05:28	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	673	9¢	$60	0xf30aab…
06-12 01:03:39	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	2,474	9¢	$220	0xb71788…
06-12 00:39:51	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x79aa47…
06-10 19:04:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$22	0xdee934…
06-10 01:15:07	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,488	9¢	$137	0x3c4328…
06-09 21:36:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	11¢	$8	0xc1a283…
06-09 21:36:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0xabd4fa…
06-09 21:36:03	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	11¢	$6	0x9a5955…
06-09 21:32:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	131	11¢	$14	0xe2cd36…
06-09 21:32:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	11¢	$8	0x6834c9…
06-09 21:31:45	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5f5132…
06-09 21:26:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x910d55…
06-09 21:20:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	11¢	$55	0x2cfbe0…
06-09 20:50:37	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	BUY	600	26¢	$156	0x9f342f…
06-09 20:47:58	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xbcd38c…
06-09 20:47:55	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	11¢	$16	0x4045b8…
06-09 20:47:15	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	3,132	5¢	$150	0x31f165…
06-09 06:28:43	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	10¢	$5	0xc49f9a…
06-08 12:17:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x2e0880…
06-08 12:17:03	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	500	12¢	$60	0x0c7d61…
06-08 12:14:39	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,821	8¢	$150	0x726940…
06-08 12:07:36	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	581	22¢	$128	0xeda00d…
05-29 01:53:06	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	49	30¢	$15	0xcac713…
05-29 00:46:03	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xd14f88…
05-29 00:44:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,400	2¢	$22	0x9a7e68…
05-29 00:44:26	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x88732c…
05-23 08:38:59	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	132	5¢	$6	0x7dd272…
05-23 05:21:07	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	625	5¢	$29	0x160ff4…
05-23 03:08:35	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x3b1486…
05-23 03:03:45	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xd9d78c…
05-23 03:01:58	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	86	5¢	$4	0xb65791…
05-23 03:01:35	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	58	5¢	$3	0x410e50…
05-23 02:55:24	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	225	5¢	$11	0x44ae41…
05-23 02:12:07	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	192	5¢	$9	0x3d0a85…
05-23 02:10:31	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x233c0b…
05-23 01:58:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	61	4¢	$3	0x0825cb…
05-19 03:19:03	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	13	35¢	$4	0x249f5e…
05-19 03:09:34	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$3	0x30e065…
05-13 01:13:06	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x878ca0…
05-11 01:19:55	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	528	19¢	$100	0x2d3248…
05-11 01:18:57	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	700	45¢	$315	0x9459f2…
05-11 00:51:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	135	5¢	$7	0x084bc4…
05-06 05:08:14	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4,900	15¢	$745	0x3b65d3…
04-30 00:45:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	509	11¢	$56	0x0a38b6…
04-29 09:02:42	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	578	17¢	$100	0xb31779…
04-29 09:02:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0x2bc247…
04-29 02:29:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x7b419a…
04-28 04:50:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0xcbeb9b…
04-28 03:53:00	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Timberwolves	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0xe58daa…
04-28 03:16:04	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Timberwolves	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x9cd63b…
04-28 03:04:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	392	98¢	$386	0xbc4be9…
04-28 03:04:10	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,197	99¢	$1,187	0xd753a5…
04-28 03:03:26	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	225	0¢	$0	0x2c218f…