Monthly-Alley — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$455

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

43.2%

Resolved

520

Trades

833

lifetime

Volume

$2.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 10-28 19:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Other

57% 18% -$317

Crypto

24% 40% -$122

Sports

13% 28% +$69

Politics

7% 26% -$86

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+27	$10	23¢	$6	-$4	07-08 16:17
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	+36	$6	6¢	$2	-$4	07-04 01:04
Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+12	$1	9¢	$1	+$0	10-28 19:05
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	+7	$1	6¢	$0	-$1	07-04 01:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	23	$173	216	390	-175	No	+$117	07-12 14:56
LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs	5	$53	56	56	+0	INTZ e-Sports	+$16	05-04 22:27
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	1	$50	131	0	+131	Yes	-$50	04-12 16:52
lol pnga rmd 2026 04 21	6	$35	80	27	+53	RMD Gaming	-$11	04-21 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	4	$35	32	32	+0	Down	+$5	05-04 10:39
lol wb jdg 2026 04 18 game1	2	$32	23	22	+0	Weibo Gaming	+$13	04-18 13:48
lol vit shft 2026 04 12	4	$32	45	45	+1	Team Vitality	-$8	04-12 16:36
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$30	189	460	-271	No	+$10	06-23 18:35
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$29	214	0	+214	No	-$29	07-04 01:07
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	2	$28	29	27	+1	Yes	+$26	04-21 14:43
lol vks fxw7 2026 04 12	3	$28	76	74	+2	Vivo Keyd Stars	-$12	04-12 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	3	$27	29	29	+0	Up	+$7	05-06 10:42
lol blg jdg 2026 04 14	2	$27	48	46	+1	JD Gaming	+$8	04-13 10:59
lol wb jdg 2026 04 18	3	$26	34	23	+10	JD Gaming	+$6	04-18 13:49
lol g2 vit 2026 04 11	2	$26	17	16	+0	Team Vitality	+$7	04-11 19:23
LoL: EXILE esports vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season	1	$25	238	0	+238	EXILE esports	-$25	05-16 13:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 01:50 UTC	5	$25	118	17	+101	Down	+$10	04-10 01:55
lol th navi 2026 04 11	5	$25	259	252	+7	Natus Vincere	-$23	04-11 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	4	$24	27	27	+0	Down	+$4	05-04 10:44
cs2 pcy uno 2026 04 18	2	$24	17	17	+0	UNO MILLE	+$10	04-19 03:12
LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	3	$22	16	16	+0	MVK Esports	+$10	05-16 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$22	24	24	+0	Up	+$2	05-04 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$22	38	38	+0	Down	+$12	05-04 11:03
lol reda est 2026 04 20	3	$21	31	21	+10	RED Academy	+$10	04-20 21:28
highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 17c	2	$21	17	16	+1	Yes	+$12	04-14 16:34
highest temperature in shanghai on april 13 2026 17c	2	$21	27	26	+1	Yes	+$12	04-13 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	4	$21	81	16	+65	Up	-$1	05-04 10:49
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	2	$20	32	32	+0	DN SOOPers Challengers	$0	05-03 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	3	$19	14	14	+0	Up	+$8	05-04 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$19	28	17	+11	Up	+$10	05-04 20:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:05:31	Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xbf6029…
07-16 14:48:41	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf1791c…
07-16 14:48:01	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xb65932…
07-16 14:47:20	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 assists lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x583631…
07-16 14:46:59	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x3d77ef…
07-16 14:46:47	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3c2307…
07-16 14:46:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd7d8e9…
07-16 14:45:41	Argentina leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xafc4c5…
07-16 14:45:02	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x540f47…
07-16 14:44:44	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xf0face…
07-16 14:44:25	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	130	2¢	$3	0x6044df…
07-16 14:43:49	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	73	4¢	$3	0x7e630e…
07-16 14:43:16	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7796be…
07-15 20:49:23	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc41824…
07-15 20:48:22	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x9ec006…
07-15 20:10:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,314	0¢	$5	0x253f5c…
07-15 20:09:04	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,500	0¢	$7	0x4da095…
07-15 19:04:34	Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xef9e74…
07-15 00:21:25	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcc4c2e…
07-14 20:33:47	Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?	Yes	SELL	17	32¢	$5	0x30615e…
07-14 19:20:25	Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7196ab…
07-14 19:11:23	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x16aa93…
07-14 19:03:43	Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5d1734…
07-12 14:58:08	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0xa11159…
07-12 14:56:38	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x106bc8…
07-12 02:33:37	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9dd9de…
07-12 02:31:07	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x70cf94…
07-12 01:13:08	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Switzerland?	Yes	SELL	24	5¢	$1	0x75da01…
07-12 01:11:05	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 assists lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd9f7b2…
07-12 01:08:50	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x093c11…
07-12 01:05:08	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 corners team away 3pt5	Over	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5fbed3…
07-12 01:04:46	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 corners team away 3pt5	Over	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x27b885…
07-12 01:01:46	Argentina to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf17599…
07-11 22:13:08	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	44	7¢	$3	0x3ef170…
07-11 20:41:41	Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbd5e2b…
07-11 20:41:28	Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2b14c6…
07-11 20:40:55	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x725bc6…
07-11 19:51:25	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x214a5a…
07-11 19:50:41	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xcb8c5a…
07-11 19:50:28	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7adfb9…
07-11 19:50:20	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe65eff…
07-11 19:49:52	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x890299…
07-09 22:28:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 22:25 UTC	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x3cd2e2…
07-09 22:26:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3debea…
07-09 22:21:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9ddec2…
07-09 21:28:37	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x38f725…
07-09 21:28:11	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners total 11pt5	Over	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x49de64…
07-09 21:27:52	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners team away 4pt5	Over	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2a5333…
07-09 21:27:29	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners odd even	Odd	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x235da0…
07-09 21:27:20	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 first corner	Belgium	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x94125e…
07-09 21:26:44	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5d0b72…
07-09 21:23:52	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 first half team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xddd059…
07-09 21:23:13	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x825273…
07-09 21:22:53	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7078d5…
07-09 21:19:05	Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe2eca9…
07-09 21:18:53	Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x727678…
07-09 21:18:31	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x370f8c…
07-08 16:17:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x43d050…
07-08 16:11:49	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x39e4c4…
07-08 16:11:31	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x1b5f51…
07-08 16:10:17	Belgium leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x77aa85…
07-08 16:09:53	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xa509e7…
07-08 16:09:41	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x63e5aa…
07-08 16:08:28	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x785116…
07-08 16:08:23	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf6a49a…
07-07 19:59:44	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x44b27d…
07-07 18:39:53	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9304dd…
07-07 16:31:13	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4453f8…
07-06 20:14:17	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?	Yes	SELL	143	0¢	$0	0xd17635…
07-06 20:13:10	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6989b5…
07-06 20:12:53	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x649951…
07-05 21:54:22	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x159c34…
07-05 21:54:01	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x2b4f64…
07-05 21:53:23	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	109	5¢	$5	0x52c4ec…
07-05 21:06:16	Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Norway?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x997a3c…
07-05 21:03:35	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x9e6921…
07-04 22:03:29	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x956c4f…
07-04 22:02:59	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe06279…
07-04 22:00:25	Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 2 France?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x92851e…
07-04 22:00:16	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0x0420d7…
07-04 21:15:38	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbefbde…
07-04 21:15:32	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x79345d…
07-04 21:14:44	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0xd32703…
07-04 21:07:19	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7ec64c…
07-04 21:04:22	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 goals julio cesar enciso gte1	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x8a16f8…
07-04 21:02:53	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 goals kylian mbappe gte2	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xbc3b7d…
07-04 21:02:41	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 goals kylian mbappe gte1	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xbd71ad…
07-04 21:00:43	Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8b5c86…
07-04 21:00:25	Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3d2c76…
07-04 01:12:34	Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 2 France?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa2536c…
07-04 01:12:08	Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 1 France?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x6cce33…
07-04 01:11:56	Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 0 France?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x50e2d4…
07-04 01:11:46	Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 France?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xaaf5ea…
07-04 01:11:37	Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 0 France?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x2ef0cd…
07-04 01:11:08	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf45f88…
07-04 01:10:46	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x62e7e6…
07-04 01:09:17	Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa203ab…
07-04 01:09:13	Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb6edff…
07-04 01:07:26	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xee60a6…
07-04 01:07:08	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xaf1856…