Strong-Disagreement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$60

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.9%

Resolved

Trades

3,354

lifetime

Volume

$39.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 06-01 13:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% +$60

Other

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 256 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775131800	3	$1.0K	638	622	+17	open	—	04-02 12:14
btc updown 15m 1773839700	2	$1.0K	517	516	+0	open	—	03-18 13:30
btc updown 5m 1774243200	4	$879	750	739	+11	open	—	03-23 05:21
btc updown 5m 1776935400	3	$789	537	520	+17	open	—	04-23 09:14
xrp updown 5m 1774275000	22	$731	461	424	+37	open	—	03-23 14:14
btc updown 5m 1774245300	4	$674	1,366	454	+912	open	—	03-23 05:57
sol updown 5m 1775094600	23	$561	382	369	+13	open	—	04-02 01:55
btc updown 5m 1775742900	5	$476	397	382	+15	open	—	04-09 13:58
btc updown 5m 1773926400	1	$441	515	0	+515	open	—	03-19 13:22
btc updown 5m 1774244400	2	$402	265	261	+4	open	—	03-23 05:45
eth updown 5m 1775222100	2	$393	349	338	+11	open	—	04-03 13:15
btc updown 5m 1774242900	1	$320	1,401	0	+1,401	open	—	03-23 05:16
btc updown 5m 1774245600	1	$311	662	0	+662	open	—	03-23 06:00
xrp updown 5m 1775392500	6	$305	608	0	+608	open	—	04-05 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	3	$297	215	215	+0	open	—	05-26 10:52
sol updown 5m 1774858800	2	$297	171	169	+2	open	—	03-30 08:24
btc updown 5m 1775562300	2	$287	204	197	+8	open	—	04-07 11:49
btc updown 5m 1774783800	2	$274	182	179	+3	open	—	03-29 11:34
eth updown 5m 1775221800	4	$246	166	160	+6	open	—	04-03 13:15
sol updown 5m 1774859100	2	$244	226	222	+4	open	—	03-30 08:21
xrp updown 5m 1775024700	2	$234	188	182	+6	open	—	04-01 06:25
sol updown 5m 1775221500	3	$230	154	149	+5	open	—	04-03 13:08
btc updown 5m 1774505100	2	$228	154	151	+2	open	—	03-26 06:09
xrp updown 5m 1774080000	7	$225	149	147	+2	open	—	03-21 08:06
btc updown 5m 1775622600	2	$224	179	173	+6	open	—	04-08 04:30
btc updown 5m 1775216700	3	$219	142	137	+4	open	—	04-03 11:50
sol updown 5m 1774965300	4	$215	141	136	+4	open	—	03-31 13:59
sol updown 5m 1775019600	6	$213	140	136	+4	open	—	04-01 05:02
xrp updown 5m 1775392200	18	$191	403	0	+403	open	—	04-05 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8AM ET	4	$185	128	128	+0	Down	+$49	05-06 12:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 13:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0x276241…
06-01 13:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb86306…
06-01 12:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xfbad32…
06-01 12:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0xf6371d…
06-01 12:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd4895f…
06-01 12:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xd2b4a5…
06-01 12:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x7cd61b…
06-01 12:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xa85ef1…
06-01 12:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8afee8…
06-01 12:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa8fd26…
06-01 12:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xf6062c…
06-01 11:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe44ac7…
06-01 11:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xc9f213…
06-01 11:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x0339a5…
06-01 10:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xf06b84…
06-01 10:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x935293…
06-01 09:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xd6eb4e…
06-01 08:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x724ef5…
06-01 07:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xe7a0e4…
06-01 06:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xdc2cee…
06-01 06:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	42¢	$4	0x3edb31…
06-01 06:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x755733…
06-01 06:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0xd978cd…
06-01 06:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x65831b…
05-30 17:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe17d8b…
05-30 17:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x124636…
05-30 17:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa73879…
05-30 17:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x966065…
05-30 17:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x1bc1fb…
05-30 17:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x69e9ad…
05-30 16:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x093098…
05-30 16:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x888280…
05-30 15:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x3a21f3…
05-30 15:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x55d3ce…
05-30 04:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x7382ed…
05-30 04:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x93f2e4…
05-29 15:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	9	92¢	$9	0x3a57bf…
05-29 15:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x9cb664…
05-29 15:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	18	94¢	$17	0x65b2b7…
05-29 14:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xd04858…
05-29 14:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x62848d…
05-29 07:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	75	95¢	$71	0xb51a92…
05-29 07:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	75	54¢	$40	0x8a291a…
05-29 07:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xd7aa92…
05-29 07:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x50a293…
05-29 07:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x47b23e…
05-29 07:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x7d1901…
05-29 06:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0xafe39d…
05-29 03:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	19	93¢	$18	0x79b987…
05-29 02:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x42e41c…
05-29 02:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf3837d…
05-29 01:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0x0d3429…
05-29 01:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2fa921…
05-29 00:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xd48523…
05-29 00:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4e9a46…
05-29 00:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe02d40…
05-28 13:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0xf29cba…
05-28 13:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x4dc993…
05-28 13:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8e1f8e…
05-28 13:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x85a48e…
05-28 07:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0xd4ff21…
05-28 07:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x1ce31e…
05-28 07:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	27	92¢	$25	0x5c8d0e…
05-28 06:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x8ea16e…
05-28 06:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xe99647…
05-28 06:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd88d81…
05-28 06:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf2a1fb…
05-27 15:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xe6488a…
05-27 15:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0xdd5ccb…
05-27 13:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2915dc…
05-27 13:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3b2c9d…
05-27 07:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x36c681…
05-27 07:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x2fb985…
05-27 07:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf412c6…
05-27 07:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x094c20…
05-27 04:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	17	73¢	$13	0x313eeb…
05-27 04:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xb5e27f…
05-27 04:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xda9ac9…
05-26 13:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	23	92¢	$21	0x1645ed…
05-26 13:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x008e67…
05-26 13:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x41a276…
05-26 13:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x4cea95…
05-26 13:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x0f8d96…
05-26 13:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xed12c3…
05-26 13:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0xb56d34…
05-26 13:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe32263…
05-26 13:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xd7b709…
05-26 11:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x81366e…
05-26 10:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	14	90¢	$12	0x6ac25e…
05-26 10:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xbb81bf…
05-26 10:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	215	87¢	$187	0x41bad6…
05-26 10:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xed1c81…
05-26 10:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	178	56¢	$100	0xc08cb3…
05-26 10:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe25a25…
05-26 10:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x190f32…
05-26 10:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc6fb7c…
05-26 10:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xdd1e76…
05-26 10:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc616a9…
05-26 10:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x87d82b…
05-26 10:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	22	86¢	$18	0xb9de77…