Deep-Treaty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.1%

Resolved

472

Trades

2,193

lifetime

Volume

$5.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 05-16 09:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 60% +$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 894 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	19	$72	94	55	+39	Up	+$3	05-10 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	7	$28	33	21	+13	Down	+$11	05-10 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	9	$26	24	21	+3	Up	+$5	05-11 12:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	9	$26	26	22	+4	Down	+$6	05-11 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	7	$25	33	18	+15	Down	+$8	05-10 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	6	$25	33	18	+15	Down	+$8	05-10 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	8	$25	29	18	+11	Up	+$6	05-10 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	8	$25	22	20	+2	Up	+$6	05-10 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	9	$25	33	11	+22	Up	+$6	05-11 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	9	$25	27	23	+3	Up	+$7	05-10 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	8	$24	25	22	+2	Down	+$5	05-10 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	9	$23	25	23	+2	Up	+$5	05-10 22:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	8	$23	26	24	+2	Up	+$3	05-10 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	6	$23	24	22	+1	Up	+$3	05-10 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	9	$23	23	21	+1	Down	+$3	05-10 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	7	$23	22	21	+1	Up	+$4	05-10 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	8	$23	22	20	+2	Up	+$4	05-10 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	6	$23	22	21	+2	Up	+$4	05-10 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	5	$23	22	21	+2	Down	+$5	05-10 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	4	$20	22	18	+4	Up	+$2	05-10 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	5	$20	45	0	+45	Up	+$14	05-10 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	4	$20	22	15	+7	Down	+$1	05-10 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	6	$20	34	6	+28	Down	+$7	05-10 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	4	$20	33	6	+28	Down	$-5	05-10 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$20	22	11	+11	Down	+$0	05-10 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	5	$20	22	18	+4	Up	+$2	05-10 10:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	5	$20	22	18	+3	Up	+$2	05-10 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	8	$20	22	11	+11	Down	+$0	05-11 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	4	$20	22	15	+7	Up	+$5	05-10 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	6	$20	22	11	+11	Down	+$0	05-10 21:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 09:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xfb3c0d…
05-16 09:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0x6e304d…
05-16 09:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x428cd9…
05-16 09:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x90c976…
05-16 09:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x93c949…
05-16 09:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0xce8580…
05-16 09:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x5cba55…
05-16 08:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x21e6b1…
05-16 08:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xdb549a…
05-16 08:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe2b31b…
05-16 08:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x24307a…
05-16 08:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0xcb527c…
05-16 08:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0x9b3b39…
05-16 08:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x4c2cf4…
05-16 08:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe6a0bf…
05-16 08:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x7d6e92…
05-16 08:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc654a7…
05-16 08:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xcf506d…
05-16 08:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8cc462…
05-16 07:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x83d540…
05-16 07:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xcbf15d…
05-16 07:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x65d71f…
05-16 07:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xb67af2…
05-16 07:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6dfe4f…
05-16 07:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xd54200…
05-16 07:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x22d86b…
05-16 07:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x4c8d8c…
05-16 07:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xa28851…
05-16 07:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf1c179…
05-16 07:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x2eacf8…
05-16 07:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe7d67b…
05-16 06:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x656de4…
05-16 06:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6e52ac…
05-16 06:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xbe5e55…
05-16 06:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xefcf9d…
05-16 06:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x6330f9…
05-16 06:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x67c7a0…
05-16 06:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x52e454…
05-16 06:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x9db825…
05-16 05:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x0f6bd0…
05-16 05:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x842d3e…
05-16 05:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x802b49…
05-16 05:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x311740…
05-16 05:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8afe2d…
05-16 05:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x0bb394…
05-16 05:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x996b95…
05-16 05:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x5b8c7a…
05-16 05:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1db7c8…
05-16 05:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x1e667e…
05-16 05:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8e248f…
05-16 04:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xdeadb3…
05-16 04:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xd2e81c…
05-16 04:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x28ef79…
05-16 04:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x1dbfe6…
05-16 04:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa553f1…
05-16 04:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x5383ed…
05-16 04:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x47b534…
05-16 04:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x6eccf7…
05-16 04:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x89e499…
05-16 04:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xbc99d8…
05-16 04:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x93962c…
05-16 04:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x8c7445…
05-16 04:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xae93f5…
05-16 03:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x1f4359…
05-16 03:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x94506e…
05-16 03:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xa50d81…
05-16 03:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x7ba211…
05-16 03:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x95fe15…
05-16 03:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x21d84a…
05-16 03:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xdcfd2f…
05-16 03:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xce9639…
05-16 03:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x2755c0…
05-16 03:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xdc23de…
05-16 03:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x23dcab…
05-16 03:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x748b12…
05-16 03:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x82fe82…
05-16 03:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x393a7f…
05-16 03:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xd9ad46…
05-16 02:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x0c84d9…
05-16 02:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7b7aeb…
05-16 02:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xb587ec…
05-16 02:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa2f161…
05-16 02:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xf269ea…
05-16 02:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6909ae…
05-16 02:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1f9b43…
05-16 02:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2502b3…
05-16 02:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xa94ea3…
05-16 02:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x96cc67…
05-16 02:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xf752b3…
05-16 02:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x117db5…
05-16 02:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xb31215…
05-16 02:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x494861…
05-16 01:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x8fe6c3…
05-16 01:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9a2cf1…
05-16 01:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x0d0357…
05-16 01:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0d4c84…
05-16 01:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x453097…
05-16 01:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb55288…
05-16 01:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x9613c1…
05-16 01:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x8c838d…