Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.3%

Resolved

Trades

128

lifetime

Volume

$9.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 04-22 18:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

51% 0% $-5

Other

48% 100% +$19

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$2.1K	2,113	11	+2,102	open	—	04-22 18:00
military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	1	$1.7K	1,779	0	+1,779	open	—	03-28 23:13
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	7	$1.4K	861	861	+0	open	—	04-13 19:47
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	9	$1.0K	908	329	+578	open	—	03-31 03:41
will france strike iran by march 31	6	$860	452	452	+0	open	—	03-22 17:01
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	1	$435	449	0	+449	open	—	03-22 17:02
will iran strike cyprus in march	5	$248	150	150	+0	open	—	03-08 13:29
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$194	323	323	+0	open	—	03-10 20:23
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	2	$171	239	239	+0	open	—	03-05 12:07
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	5	$166	289	289	+0	open	—	03-12 14:24
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	10	$124	1,456	281	+1,175	open	—	03-09 13:43
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	6	$108	177	177	+0	open	—	03-23 01:43
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	3	$100	236	236	+0	open	—	03-08 21:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$100	80	80	+0	open	—	04-18 00:07
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	3	$91	164	164	+0	Yes	$-5	03-09 21:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$83	460	460	+0	open	—	04-21 02:01
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	1	$50	110	0	+110	open	—	04-15 16:45
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$49	40	40	+0	open	—	03-10 10:22
kristi noem out by march 31	2	$48	38	38	+0	open	—	03-05 20:51
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$41	60	60	+0	open	—	03-24 10:24
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$39	200	200	+0	No	+$19	03-19 21:11
trump approval up or down this week 596	2	$37	36	36	+0	open	—	03-06 22:00
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$25	55	55	+0	open	—	03-21 23:54
military action against iran ends on march 28 2026	5	$22	626	626	+0	open	—	03-24 16:35
will iran strike turkey in march	2	$20	92	92	+0	open	—	03-12 20:58
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$18	120	120	+0	open	—	04-17 17:43
will trump say hormuz during taoiseach events	2	$17	321	0	+321	open	—	03-17 19:43
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	2	$16	10,280	0	+10,280	open	—	02-02 00:18
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	2	$15	115	115	+0	open	—	04-20 22:56
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	2	$13	37	37	+0	open	—	03-08 13:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-22 18:01:02	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x65136a…
04-22 18:00:54	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x642506…
04-22 08:07:56	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,298	98¢	$1,275	0x7cb5d4…
04-22 06:17:04	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	815	96¢	$786	0x0df3a7…
04-21 02:01:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	460	7¢	$33	0x52ac9f…
04-20 23:54:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	460	11¢	$51	0x2cce8c…
04-20 22:56:14	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	SELL	115	4¢	$5	0x6e2407…
04-19 17:31:14	lol th mkoi 2026 04 19	Team Heretics	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x65a255…
04-19 15:01:54	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	115	9¢	$10	0xf9c073…
04-19 13:14:44	btc updown 5m 1776604200	Up	SELL	31	8¢	$2	0x2979ad…
04-19 13:14:00	btc updown 5m 1776604200	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x165ac8…
04-18 00:07:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	80	62¢	$50	0x65c13b…
04-17 23:32:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	60	63¢	$38	0xce356b…
04-17 23:32:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xbb4f62…
04-17 17:43:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	120	6¢	$7	0xeea757…
04-17 13:52:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	120	9¢	$11	0xfed049…
04-15 16:45:02	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	110	45¢	$50	0x8233b2…
04-14 00:14:57	btc updown 5m 1776125400	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xbc4fe8…
04-14 00:14:13	btc updown 5m 1776125400	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x03a2da…
04-13 19:47:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	650	99¢	$645	0x0178d7…
04-12 22:04:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x109fb7…
04-12 18:29:25	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	677	94¢	$633	0xe224f4…
04-12 17:26:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	120	12¢	$14	0xe94717…
04-12 15:38:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	64	84¢	$54	0x80571c…
04-12 15:37:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	120	17¢	$20	0x7b457e…
04-11 17:46:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	64	71¢	$45	0x4333de…
03-31 03:41:29	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xce6fbd…
03-28 23:13:14	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,779	97¢	$1,735	0x255e61…
03-24 16:37:21	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	478	98¢	$468	0xb98582…
03-24 16:35:33	military action against iran ends on march 25 2026	Yes	SELL	419	1¢	$3	0xc4b965…
03-24 16:35:29	military action against iran ends on march 29 2026	Yes	SELL	189	2¢	$3	0x89a915…
03-24 16:35:27	military action against iran ends on march 27 2026	Yes	SELL	412	1¢	$4	0x57966b…
03-24 16:35:25	military action against iran ends on march 26 2026	Yes	SELL	524	1¢	$4	0x923b2c…
03-24 16:35:23	military action against iran ends on march 28 2026	Yes	SELL	285	2¢	$5	0x6de1f8…
03-24 10:24:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xc17d97…
03-24 10:24:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	60	30¢	$18	0x97801b…
03-23 20:18:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	60	39¢	$23	0x57005d…
03-23 01:43:33	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x38dc05…
03-22 17:03:31	will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x2caecb…
03-22 17:02:23	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	449	97¢	$435	0x638f1c…
03-22 17:01:37	will france strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	411	98¢	$403	0x8db1d1…
03-22 17:00:17	will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x820ce5…
03-21 23:54:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	55	23¢	$13	0xa99093…
03-21 10:21:55	military action against iran ends on march 26 2026	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x0ca513…
03-21 10:21:53	military action against iran ends on march 28 2026	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0xe5b4b7…
03-21 10:21:51	military action against iran ends on march 29 2026	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x0a0c59…
03-21 10:21:45	military action against iran ends on march 25 2026	Yes	BUY	226	0¢	$1	0x7f2ddc…
03-21 10:21:43	military action against iran ends on march 24 2026	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xd54ad7…
03-21 10:21:41	military action against iran ends on march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	162	1¢	$1	0xcff759…
03-19 21:11:55	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x744172…
03-18 11:11:13	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	193	15¢	$29	0x62933a…
03-17 19:45:33	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during taoiseach events	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xa83ac1…
03-17 19:45:25	will trump say epic fury during taoiseach events	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x747978…
03-17 19:45:11	will trump say greenland during taoiseach events	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xa6d4be…
03-17 19:44:55	will france strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x42c72c…
03-17 19:43:27	will trump say hormuz during taoiseach events	Yes	BUY	146	6¢	$8	0xa01077…
03-17 19:43:17	will france strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0x494ad1…
03-17 19:42:23	will trump say hormuz during taoiseach events	Yes	BUY	175	5¢	$8	0x5812b0…
03-17 14:18:31	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	55	23¢	$13	0xae988d…
03-17 13:55:35	will france strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x95dd31…
03-16 00:48:31	military action against iran ends on march 29 2026	Yes	BUY	81	2¢	$2	0x008eb6…
03-16 00:48:19	military action against iran ends on march 28 2026	Yes	BUY	115	2¢	$2	0xc30b7b…
03-16 00:45:27	military action against iran ends on march 24 2026	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xefa8ed…
03-16 00:45:11	military action against iran ends on march 25 2026	Yes	BUY	193	1¢	$2	0xac2822…
03-16 00:45:03	military action against iran ends on march 26 2026	Yes	BUY	191	2¢	$3	0x00b7b2…
03-16 00:44:53	military action against iran ends on march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$3	0x704f95…
03-14 01:14:07	will france strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x8dfe15…
03-13 16:23:37	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x27ab10…
03-12 20:58:45	will iran strike turkey in march	Yes	SELL	92	10¢	$10	0xb516b1…
03-12 14:35:59	military action against iran ends on march 28 2026	Yes	SELL	341	2¢	$6	0x2d84bf…
03-12 14:34:47	military action against iran ends on march 28 2026	Yes	BUY	341	2¢	$7	0x84ba29…
03-12 14:24:09	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	75	16¢	$12	0xdee4a1…
03-10 20:23:37	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	SELL	323	29¢	$94	0xc987e0…
03-10 18:52:59	will france strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	345	92¢	$316	0x573675…
03-10 18:03:33	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x6fa2fe…
03-10 10:22:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	40	66¢	$26	0xc2b9e8…
03-09 21:27:39	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	164	26¢	$43	0xa35884…
03-09 21:20:57	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x6bfac5…
03-09 21:20:49	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	214	39¢	$83	0xe8298e…
03-09 21:19:59	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0xf3451a…
03-09 13:43:17	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	266	2¢	$5	0x81d638…
03-09 12:04:53	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	268	2¢	$5	0x124642…
03-09 12:00:53	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	265	2¢	$5	0x24c637…
03-09 11:37:49	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	140	7¢	$10	0x5c874e…
03-09 09:47:49	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	169	3¢	$5	0x27195a…
03-08 23:08:51	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	208	10¢	$20	0xfd265d…
03-08 22:45:09	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	281	12¢	$34	0x247ce5…
03-08 22:28:39	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	123	16¢	$20	0xa8ab65…
03-08 22:06:03	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x195fef…
03-08 22:01:09	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x732c95…
03-08 21:50:37	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x2de0a3…
03-08 21:30:07	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	236	30¢	$71	0xd683a6…
03-08 21:22:49	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	84	23¢	$19	0xd7e1f3…
03-08 17:52:57	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	152	7¢	$10	0xdf050f…
03-08 13:42:17	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xe63d85…
03-08 13:30:21	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	No	SELL	37	7¢	$3	0x0f6cf6…
03-08 13:29:09	will iran strike cyprus in march	No	SELL	150	91¢	$136	0x8c0074…
03-08 13:28:33	will iran strike turkey in march	Yes	BUY	92	11¢	$10	0x4a8add…
03-08 05:22:51	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	769	1¢	$10	0x5fc96e…
03-08 05:22:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xaffae7…