Known-Design — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$192

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.3%

Resolved

167

Trades

781

lifetime

Volume

$2.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 05-20 23:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Sports

65% 59% +$203

Other

18% 47% $-11

Politics

13% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	30	$105	106	106	+0	open	—	04-12 22:29
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	13	$45	53	53	+0	open	—	04-10 05:10
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	24	$40	96	96	+0	open	—	04-09 01:32
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	17	$39	69	69	+0	open	—	04-07 23:15
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	10	$37	34	34	+0	open	—	04-11 23:09
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	6	$27	64	0	+64	Spurs	$-4	05-13 00:17
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-02 17:57
SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5	4	$18	34	0	+34	Under	+$16	05-13 12:02
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	4	$18	34	0	+34	Spurs	+$16	05-13 00:04
Thunder vs. Lakers	4	$18	22	0	+22	Thunder	+$5	05-12 05:07
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5	4	$16	35	0	+35	Over	+$18	05-13 01:34
will bitcoin dip to 56k march 30 april 5	5	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	03-31 02:08
bitcoin up or down on march 31 2026	25	$15	18	17	+0	open	—	03-31 03:45
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	8	$15	22	22	+0	open	—	04-09 01:32
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	3	$14	43	0	+43	open	—	05-16 01:58
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	3	$13	25	0	+25	Cavaliers	+$12	05-13 21:12
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5	3	$13	25	0	+25	Over	$-13	05-13 19:29
Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5	3	$13	28	0	+28	Over	$-13	05-13 14:13
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox	3	$13	25	0	+25	Boston Red Sox	+$11	05-13 22:36
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5	3	$13	28	0	+28	Over	$-13	05-12 02:32
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)	3	$13	24	0	+24	Wild	+$11	05-13 20:36
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	3	$13	27	0	+27	Cavaliers	+$13	05-11 21:59
will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	4	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	03-31 02:08
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)	3	$12	22	0	+22	Lakers	+$11	05-12 03:24
btc updown 5m 1774912200	10	$11	52	0	+52	open	—	03-30 23:13
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)	2	$9	25	0	+25	Bologna FC 1909	$-9	05-11 18:24
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	2	$9	15	0	+15	Cavaliers	+$6	05-11 04:53
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5	2	$9	18	0	+18	Over	+$9	05-10 23:38
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds	2	$9	15	0	+15	Cincinnati Reds	+$6	05-09 20:15
btc updown 15m 1774910700	3	$9	40	0	+40	open	—	03-30 22:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 23:06:28	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xf2ae4b…
05-20 23:05:32	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xbac021…
05-20 23:04:10	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x82085b…
05-20 23:04:05	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x5b8f51…
05-20 12:20:59	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Thunder	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x6f7c96…
05-20 02:28:22	San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	San Francisco Giants	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xe23c6d…
05-20 02:28:08	San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	San Francisco Giants	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x5fe42b…
05-19 23:12:54	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xcdf7e8…
05-19 23:12:49	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x1147df…
05-19 23:12:45	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0x167324…
05-19 23:12:43	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xab2940…
05-19 22:51:52	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5	Under	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xfa5173…
05-19 22:48:59	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	8	58¢	$4	0x81067a…
05-19 22:47:37	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5	Under	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x93a79d…
05-19 22:00:53	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5	Under	BUY	10	47¢	$4	0xb91844…
05-19 15:31:48	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x55bbcf…
05-19 15:20:33	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x669cc3…
05-19 14:51:19	Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xbe26c1…
05-19 14:46:16	Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	Texas Rangers	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x754144…
05-19 14:11:58	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x9d8141…
05-19 14:07:10	Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xea0ebd…
05-19 13:47:32	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x38aed0…
05-19 13:42:54	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x86406e…
05-19 13:00:13	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	AFC Bournemouth	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xa145e0…
05-19 11:51:27	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xb391aa…
05-19 03:47:34	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0xa5a92c…
05-19 03:41:55	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	9	52¢	$4	0xf9c415…
05-19 03:15:56	Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	10	47¢	$4	0x7060c9…
05-19 02:29:59	Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xa79dcf…
05-19 02:29:26	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xb2bacf…
05-19 02:27:32	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Thunder	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xbd83de…
05-19 02:24:29	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Thunder	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0x8bc6b4…
05-19 02:14:32	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x3c73a2…
05-19 02:14:23	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xefbfa5…
05-18 22:22:29	Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x955cc3…
05-18 22:21:01	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xbd8374…
05-18 22:20:02	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xf4bf87…
05-18 22:09:49	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xa9f5f7…
05-18 19:49:14	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	9	52¢	$4	0x619111…
05-18 18:49:36	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Burnley FC	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xa62e4e…
05-18 18:46:18	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Thunder	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x79700b…
05-18 18:18:00	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Thunder	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xd34b7c…
05-18 17:42:03	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	47¢	$4	0xb7c334…
05-18 17:42:03	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	47¢	$4	0x897c3f…
05-18 16:49:40	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5	Over	BUY	10	47¢	$4	0x17c533…
05-18 14:53:40	Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	Thunder	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xd47c54…
05-18 14:53:38	Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	Thunder	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xc5d8d2…
05-18 14:50:38	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Burnley FC	BUY	9	52¢	$4	0xa9fe2c…
05-18 13:32:05	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x4a4669…
05-18 13:00:28	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0xb3078c…
05-18 12:56:51	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	8	60¢	$4	0x619794…
05-18 12:55:01	Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5	Under	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x8beb4d…
05-18 11:50:23	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	13	35¢	$4	0x509431…
05-18 10:39:51	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x405108…
05-18 07:33:01	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	7	68¢	$4	0x0c2817…
05-18 07:28:12	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	7	68¢	$4	0xe62fc0…
05-18 03:08:23	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5	Under	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x29a40e…
05-18 01:13:19	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5	Under	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x0b8676…
05-18 01:06:58	Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)	Pistons	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xa0927a…
05-18 01:06:58	Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)	Pistons	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x179e04…
05-18 01:06:53	Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)	Pistons	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xfd533e…
05-18 01:06:53	Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)	Pistons	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xb20227…
05-18 00:47:34	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x30b0a2…
05-18 00:47:29	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0xd3f01e…
05-17 23:41:41	Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5	Over	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xd35f95…
05-17 23:41:39	Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5	Over	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x6d6876…
05-17 23:38:00	Spread: Pistons (-5.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0xf82f94…
05-17 23:26:27	San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	8	58¢	$4	0xdc1063…
05-17 20:28:39	Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	Pistons	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x3f3d05…
05-17 20:21:50	Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5)	Seattle Storm	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xd9300b…
05-17 17:11:14	Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 169.5	Under	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0x42482a…
05-17 16:51:11	Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5	Under	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x089709…
05-17 16:47:40	Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)	Inter Miami CF	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x2ba061…
05-17 16:42:19	Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream	Atlanta Dream	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0xb89552…
05-17 16:39:44	Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x7cd911…
05-17 16:29:28	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 100.5	Under	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xb34f5a…
05-17 16:26:19	Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x99c950…
05-17 16:26:17	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	Miami Marlins	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xa08dbc…
05-17 16:26:15	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	Miami Marlins	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xcdea23…
05-17 16:26:15	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)	Miami Marlins	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x6ae8f5…
05-17 15:48:06	Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 168.5	Under	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xc33692…
05-17 15:46:02	Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 168.5	Under	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x120536…
05-17 15:23:38	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x99a5b6…
05-17 15:19:21	RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x9ef91a…
05-17 15:09:59	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x6110f7…
05-17 15:09:59	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x0c962d…
05-17 15:03:01	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x95df8a…
05-17 13:58:02	Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Miami Marlins	BUY	11	42¢	$4	0xaf6541…
05-17 13:58:02	Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Miami Marlins	BUY	11	42¢	$4	0x2fbe53…
05-17 12:00:17	Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)	AJ Auxerre	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0x7bf1e8…
05-17 11:59:37	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5	Under	BUY	9	52¢	$4	0x28a930…
05-17 11:37:23	Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)	AJ Auxerre	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0x25713f…
05-17 07:17:31	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5	Under	BUY	9	52¢	$4	0xeb30fa…
05-17 04:55:39	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5	Under	BUY	10	47¢	$4	0x9e6c67…
05-17 02:03:32	San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5	Under	BUY	8	59¢	$4	0xe32f2b…
05-17 01:47:43	San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics	San Francisco Giants	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0xd12a00…
05-17 01:47:42	San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics	San Francisco Giants	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x030ca2…
05-17 01:12:01	San Diego FC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	46¢	$4	0xae3f15…
05-17 00:45:24	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0xaa29ee…
05-17 00:43:16	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x1bef4d…