Outlying-Program — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$319

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.5%

Resolved

8,409

Trades

8,893

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 11-07 23:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 126 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 59% +$354

Other

5% 54% -$29

Sports

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 365 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$77	1,787	1,787	+0	No	-$5	05-07 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	5	$30	45	0	+45	Down	+$15	05-27 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	4	$26	17	17	+0	Down	+$6	05-27 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	6	$25	76	0	+76	Down	-$25	05-23 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	10	$21	54	0	+54	Down	+$13	05-23 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	5	$20	102	0	+102	Up	-$20	05-27 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 18:30 UTC	2	$20	27	0	+27	Down	-$20	06-17 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	3	$20	39	0	+39	Up	-$20	05-23 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$20	33	0	+33	Up	-$20	05-23 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	3	$20	37	0	+37	Up	-$20	05-23 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$20	38	0	+38	Up	-$20	05-23 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	3	$20	34	0	+34	Up	-$20	05-23 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$20	30	0	+30	Down	+$10	05-23 16:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 15:40 UTC	2	$19	14	10	+4	Up	+$2	06-17 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	5	$16	45	0	+45	Down	+$9	05-23 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$15	22	0	+22	Up	+$7	05-26 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	3	$15	25	0	+25	Down	+$10	05-27 03:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	3	$15	19	0	+19	Down	+$4	05-27 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$14	44	0	+44	Up	-$14	05-23 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$12	21	0	+21	Down	+$9	05-27 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$12	20	0	+20	Down	-$12	05-27 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$12	17	0	+17	Down	-$12	05-27 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$12	28	0	+28	Down	+$6	05-23 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	5	$12	27	0	+27	Up	-$12	05-23 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	4	$12	19	0	+19	Up	-$12	05-23 07:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:15 UTC	1	$12	20	0	+20	Up	-$12	06-11 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	6	$12	22	0	+22	Down	-$12	05-26 19:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$4	05-23 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	6	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-26 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$11	40	0	+40	Up	+$9	05-23 18:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 23:54:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x761903…
11-07 23:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0x5176a3…
11-07 23:39:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6ef78b…
11-07 23:29:48	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xcfcb44…
11-07 23:19:43	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xd8bb6a…
11-07 23:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0x9305c4…
11-07 23:14:42	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x059abc…
11-07 22:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4a57e8…
11-07 22:19:43	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xd6ca44…
11-07 22:14:48	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xda1c94…
11-07 22:09:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x97719d…
11-07 14:34:48	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x5af4cc…
11-07 14:19:48	BNB Up or Down - November 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x08163a…
11-07 14:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x585c70…
11-07 14:04:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x20b3c8…
11-07 13:24:48	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x27b899…
11-07 13:24:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xa00f4e…
11-07 12:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0xb0d670…
11-07 12:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x5f024b…
11-07 12:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$2	0x455a36…
11-07 12:14:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x24c117…
11-07 11:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x954a99…
11-07 11:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0x9e1170…
11-07 10:54:48	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xa7a300…
11-07 10:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$2	0xcaed22…
11-07 10:24:48	BNB Up or Down - November 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x41fd62…
11-07 10:24:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x89a1a2…
11-07 09:49:43	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x69f766…
11-06 15:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x816d15…
11-06 15:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa2ac5d…
11-06 15:29:52	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa8b9f5…
11-06 15:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf747d7…
11-06 14:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdeec1d…
11-06 14:44:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x969f15…
11-06 14:44:49	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xf1e272…
11-06 14:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1750e8…
11-06 14:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf2e155…
11-06 14:29:33	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x10465d…
11-06 14:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9eabcd…
11-06 14:14:33	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xdc6932…
11-06 13:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x16a219…
11-06 13:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x13cf55…
11-06 13:29:43	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xc3650a…
11-06 12:59:43	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x442227…
11-06 12:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4206c7…
11-06 12:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x84db3e…
11-06 12:29:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x902850…
11-06 12:04:52	BNB Up or Down - November 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xaf3332…
11-06 11:59:33	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x0bff5e…
11-06 11:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x22b21e…
11-06 10:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9251ae…
11-06 10:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1ba724…
11-06 10:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb1a4b0…
11-06 10:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x5ff074…
11-06 10:04:43	BNB Up or Down - November 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x761319…
11-06 10:04:33	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xac9cf2…
11-06 09:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x6cbe70…
11-06 09:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x008de2…
11-06 09:54:48	BNB Up or Down - November 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xaf0ae2…
11-06 09:54:48	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x91a9ec…
11-06 09:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x7e3beb…
11-06 09:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0a4ee3…
11-06 09:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd62546…
11-06 09:14:33	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x335cea…
11-06 09:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x47f7e7…
11-06 08:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb153d9…
11-06 08:24:52	BNB Up or Down - November 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x121b87…
11-06 07:49:48	BNB Up or Down - November 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x04a579…
11-06 07:19:42	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x2a9ae1…
11-06 06:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x2d22d4…
11-06 06:59:33	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xbfa49f…
11-06 06:59:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x6cb3cb…
11-06 06:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x19760a…
11-06 06:39:52	BNB Up or Down - November 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4ddd3d…
11-06 06:19:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x23fdad…
11-06 06:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x37810e…
11-06 06:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa1f3e7…
11-06 05:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8f072f…
11-06 05:39:43	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xc8a015…
11-06 05:39:43	BNB Up or Down - November 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x22da6a…
11-06 05:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5faf42…
11-06 05:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd3a410…
11-06 05:19:42	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x97ce32…
11-06 05:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x24d05f…
11-06 05:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x494bb1…
11-06 04:49:48	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xb887b2…
11-06 04:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdf7b57…
11-06 04:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc854c0…
11-06 04:09:33	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xc3f37e…
11-06 03:59:33	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xa0e5b5…
11-06 03:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc82d71…
11-06 03:54:48	BNB Up or Down - November 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4a48e3…
11-06 03:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9e6c9a…
11-06 03:49:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xbb8cfe…
11-06 03:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa30d04…
11-06 03:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x55f6d7…
11-06 03:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x46a627…
11-06 03:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x80b3ab…
11-06 03:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4f94d8…
11-06 02:54:33	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x776334…