Distorted-Howard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.3%

Resolved

Trades

132

lifetime

Volume

$394

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 05-30 13:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 68% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	4	$27	27	26	+1	open	—	04-27 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	3	$16	22	9	+12	open	—	05-17 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	05-13 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	2	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	05-19 17:45
bitcoin up or down on march 31 2026	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 15:23
bitcoin up or down on march 27 2026	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-27 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?	2	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	04-28 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26?	1	$9	12	0	+12	open	—	04-26 05:00
bitcoin up or down on march 24 2026	2	$9	10	9	+0	open	—	03-24 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	3	$7	5	2	+2	open	—	04-29 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	05-22 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-01 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-30 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-04 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-01 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-02 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-02 18:55
bitcoin up or down on april 3 2026	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-03 05:01
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-10 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-30 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 11:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-01 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-03 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 07:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 13:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x5d9d7d…
05-29 14:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x594750…
05-27 13:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x5e2187…
05-22 12:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x27ecd0…
05-19 17:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x08e1c0…
05-19 05:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x156631…
05-17 13:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Up	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0xca49a1…
05-17 13:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Down	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0xedf5f3…
05-17 05:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x0be552…
05-13 16:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4a01e4…
05-13 13:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x512ade…
05-11 16:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3d0e60…
05-11 13:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x5fe2a6…
05-10 05:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x2e5b67…
05-08 19:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x25b7ac…
05-08 18:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x90065d…
05-08 18:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x093eae…
05-08 17:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xca74a9…
05-08 17:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x8cbe3b…
05-08 16:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xdc98cf…
05-08 15:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x94121e…
05-08 14:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdc6cc0…
05-08 14:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf0f7ab…
05-08 13:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf1b408…
05-08 13:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x8cccfa…
05-08 12:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xad0077…
05-08 11:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xcd9fa8…
05-08 11:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x42edbf…
05-08 10:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xde80bd…
05-08 09:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x5baa4d…
05-08 05:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xda798c…
05-07 20:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xdd4dd5…
05-07 16:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x63a608…
05-07 15:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x219f20…
05-07 14:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x13d3e8…
05-07 13:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xc7c014…
05-07 06:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x525f04…
05-06 19:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa8cd1e…
05-06 18:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x5aa64d…
05-06 17:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6f9a60…
05-06 16:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x8aaf80…
05-06 15:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xe9fd7d…
05-06 14:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x5172db…
05-06 14:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe0068c…
05-06 13:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x392d9d…
05-06 13:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe2b2c6…
05-06 12:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xfcb52e…
05-06 05:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x47ed36…
05-05 20:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xda1c48…
05-05 14:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x8d3797…
05-05 09:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x252d31…
05-04 22:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x25cb1a…
05-04 21:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x88f773…
05-04 21:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x15d895…
05-04 20:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xb2233a…
05-04 18:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x7e9b78…
05-04 12:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x38894e…
05-04 11:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x09ac2d…
05-04 09:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x309c7b…
05-03 23:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x98085d…
05-03 20:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x730401…
05-03 20:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4fc92c…
05-03 17:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x6f4d58…
05-03 15:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x978bb3…
05-03 14:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xf1359f…
05-03 13:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xe89f10…
05-02 19:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x62d28f…
05-02 18:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7ac670…
05-02 18:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x34476f…
05-02 17:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x01d4c5…
05-02 16:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x75074c…
05-02 15:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x751602…
05-02 15:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd0c28d…
05-02 14:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x8b0311…
05-02 11:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x96c26b…
05-02 11:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9f8501…
05-02 10:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x7394a8…
05-02 09:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x51553d…
05-02 07:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x6a04c1…
05-01 22:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x55dd1f…
05-01 20:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x5d3d65…
05-01 19:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x267c3a…
05-01 18:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0x594147…
05-01 18:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x273f18…
05-01 17:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe36591…
05-01 17:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x0ab1ab…
05-01 16:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xfca9d2…
05-01 12:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x204931…
05-01 11:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xabe3f4…
05-01 11:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6b6878…
05-01 10:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x2c8053…
05-01 10:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb940b3…
05-01 09:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xfa02c0…
05-01 05:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x1343cd…
04-30 21:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6e16e9…
04-30 20:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x71afe5…
04-30 19:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x58338e…
04-30 18:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x49d3b9…
04-30 17:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x8906f9…
04-30 17:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x45dd7e…