Realized P&L
+$7.69K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
73.6%
Resolved
43
Trades
223
lifetime
Volume
$98.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$440
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 02-19 00:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Politics
85%
42%
+$7,807
Other
9%
33%
+$756
Crypto
4%
31%
+$277
Sports
1%
0%
-$1,150
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-02-19).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 12 | $19.8K | 18,714 | 18,714 | +0 | No | +$1,648 | 01-20 04:35 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | 7 | $16.8K | 22,587 | 4,110 | +18,477 | No | +$4,704 | 01-20 04:44 |
| israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453 | 14 | $10.4K | 7,281 | 7,281 | +0 | No | +$156 | 01-20 04:43 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 5 | $8.0K | 4,956 | 4,956 | +0 | No | +$63 | 01-20 01:44 |
| us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612 | 2 | $7.8K | 4,789 | 4,789 | +0 | No | +$1,672 | 01-15 22:49 |
| will witkoff meet with iranian officials by february 28 | 25 | $7.6K | 6,716 | 5,836 | +880 | Yes | -$1,951 | 02-04 20:39 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? | 2 | $4.0K | 2,513 | 2,513 | +0 | No | +$11 | 02-04 18:40 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | 5 | $2.7K | 2,420 | 1,455 | +965 | Yes | -$774 | 02-19 00:11 |
| israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418 | 7 | $2.1K | 1,136 | 1,136 | +0 | No | +$163 | 01-16 01:07 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 6 | $2.0K | 1,297 | 1,297 | +0 | Yes | -$16 | 02-05 15:44 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | 2 | $1.9K | 2,300 | 2,300 | +0 | Yes | -$87 | 02-03 06:37 |
| Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | 4 | $1.9K | 1,658 | 1,658 | +0 | Yes | -$138 | 02-03 20:03 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | 6 | $1.5K | 1,521 | 1,521 | +0 | Yes | -$113 | 02-04 18:38 |
| iran strike on israel by february 28 | 4 | $1.4K | 940 | 940 | +0 | Yes | -$138 | 02-04 18:48 |
| will the price of bitcoin be less than 78000 on february 2 | 4 | $1.1K | 901 | 901 | +0 | No | +$624 | 02-02 16:53 |
| nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 | 6 | $1.1K | 3,871 | 0 | +3,871 | Seahawks | -$1,100 | 02-09 01:19 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 2 | $945 | 808 | 808 | +0 | Yes | -$57 | 02-04 18:38 |
| israel strikes iran by february 28 2026 | 2 | $940 | 602 | 602 | +0 | Yes | -$60 | 02-04 18:40 |
| will trump and machado not shake hands | 15 | $601 | 2,005 | 4,745 | -2,741 | Yes | -$297 | 01-16 15:05 |
| bitcoin up or down on february 3 | 2 | $518 | 500 | 500 | +0 | Down | -$82 | 02-03 03:40 |
| bitcoin up or down february 2 3pm et | 2 | $505 | 314 | 314 | +0 | Down | +$105 | 02-02 20:54 |
| us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026 | 1 | $505 | 0 | 507 | -507 | Yes | -$2 | 01-03 12:20 |
| us x iran meeting by february 13 2026 | 13 | $496 | 1,600 | 0 | +1,600 | Yes | +$1,104 | 02-04 19:23 |
| israel strikes iran by march 31 2026 | 2 | $470 | 414 | 414 | +0 | Yes | -$30 | 01-19 06:33 |
| bitcoin up or down february 2 6pm et | 10 | $443 | 334 | 334 | +0 | Down | +$63 | 02-02 23:59 |
| will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026 | 2 | $397 | 1,043 | 1,043 | +0 | Yes | -$83 | 01-05 01:32 |
| us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392 | 7 | $286 | 3,095 | 0 | +3,095 | Yes | +$2,809 | 01-01 18:14 |
| us anti cartel strikeoperation on foreign soil by january 31 2026 | 2 | $265 | 171 | 171 | +0 | Yes | +$75 | 01-03 12:20 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 7 | $258 | 58,333 | 58,333 | +0 | Yes | -$142 | 02-03 00:14 |
| bitcoin up or down february 2 7pm et | 7 | $239 | 261 | 261 | +0 | Up | -$41 | 02-03 00:22 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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