Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$220

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

41.0%

Resolved

Trades

112

lifetime

Volume

$1.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$47

5 positions

First seen

2026-09-16

last 10-27 08:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

44% 34% -$188

Sports

43% 50% -$39

Politics

8% 50% +$53

Crypto

5% 0% -$46

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	+37	$15	30¢	$11	-$4	10-26 21:36
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+15	$10	66¢	$10	+$0	10-26 15:45
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+28	$10	34¢	$9	-$1	10-26 15:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	+15	$10	56¢	$8	-$2	10-25 21:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	+18	$10	44¢	$8	-$2	10-25 21:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$69	531	0	+531	Yes	-$69	09-16 16:16
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$30	93	0	+93	Yes	+$63	10-25 21:59
Guangzhou Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Katie Volynets	2	$26	29	29	+0	Dayana Yastremska	+$16	10-27 08:40
Will Jay Z perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	10-27 07:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	2	$15	37	0	+37	open	—	10-26 21:36
Buccaneers vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5	1	$10	20	0	+20	Over	+$10	10-25 12:38
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)	1	$10	20	0	+20	Thunder	-$10	10-26 18:16
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	1	$10	20	0	+20	Team Spirit	-$10	10-26 19:14
Pistons vs. 76ers	1	$10	20	0	+20	Pistons	+$10	10-25 18:06
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)	1	$10	22	0	+22	Hornets	-$10	10-26 15:23
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win - Game 1 Winner	1	$10	50	0	+50	Team Yandex	-$10	10-25 13:33
Will Al Qadsiah vs. Al Sadd SC end in a draw?	1	$10	42	0	+42	Yes	-$10	10-26 20:05
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?	1	$10	152	0	+152	open	—	10-25 21:58
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)	1	$10	19	0	+19	Rockets	+$9	10-27 02:28
Spread: Heat (-8.5)	1	$10	20	0	+20	Mavericks	-$10	10-26 14:02
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$10	18	0	+18	No	-$10	10-25 21:59
Magic vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5	1	$10	19	0	+19	Under	-$10	10-25 13:37
Packers vs. Lions	1	$10	14	0	+14	Lions	+$4	10-25 20:37
Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 5.5	1	$10	27	0	+27	Under	-$10	10-26 05:05
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	1	$10	256	0	+256	open	—	10-25 21:57
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-10-25?	1	$10	29	0	+29	No	-$10	10-26 01:57
Pacers vs. Bucks	1	$10	25	0	+25	Bucks	+$15	10-26 18:16
Raptors vs. Timberwolves	1	$10	20	0	+20	Timberwolves	-$10	10-25 12:07
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5	1	$10	19	0	+19	Over	+$9	10-26 12:08
nba gsw den 2026 10 26 spread home 4pt5	1	$10	17	0	+17	Warriors	-$10	10-25 18:47
Spread: Jazz (-1.5)	1	$10	21	0	+21	Grizzlies	-$10	10-27 00:35
Spread: Broncos (-7.5)	1	$10	16	0	+16	Broncos	-$10	10-25 20:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	10-25 21:56
Warriors vs. Nuggets	1	$10	29	0	+29	Warriors	+$19	10-25 16:39
Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5	1	$10	20	0	+20	Under	+$10	10-26 16:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:40:21	Guangzhou Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Katie Volynets	Dayana Yastremska	SELL	29	73¢	$21	0xcd5d6e…
10-27 08:14:44	Guangzhou Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Katie Volynets	Dayana Yastremska	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xd97443…
10-27 07:11:50	Will Jay Z perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xbb9fcb…
10-27 05:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xfe9937…
10-27 04:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb7dcb1…
10-27 03:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xb7d99e…
10-27 03:03:33	Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xa20fda…
10-27 02:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x2d442a…
10-27 02:28:14	Spread: Rockets (-7.5)	Rockets	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x3f6802…
10-27 02:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x70b79e…
10-27 02:17:14	nba det nyk 2026 10 27 spread home 3pt5	Knicks	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x3bb82e…
10-27 02:05:57	Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CD Riestra: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xba3239…
10-27 01:53:50	Will Jay Z perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x29737e…
10-27 00:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xc838bf…
10-27 00:35:08	Spread: Jazz (-1.5)	Jazz	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xc77629…
10-26 23:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	828	1¢	$5	0x892161…
10-26 23:15:11	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x078865…
10-26 22:26:23	Curitiba: Nauhany Leme Da Silva vs Despina Papamichail	Despina Papamichail	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x019798…
10-26 22:16:57	Wizards vs. Hornets	Wizards	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xc82f06…
10-26 22:13:26	Sioux Falls: Ozan Baris vs James Kent Trotter	James Kent Trotter	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x08c729…
10-26 22:05:26	Oregon State vs. Fresno State	Oregon State	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x98951e…
10-26 21:36:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xa8b39f…
10-26 20:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xcbda33…
10-26 20:05:05	Will Al Qadsiah vs. Al Sadd SC end in a draw?	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xf3f506…
10-26 19:52:20	Spread: Rangers (-1.5)	Kings	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x2638df…
10-26 19:40:00	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner	Team Secret Whales	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x79c638…
10-26 19:14:48	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x438087…
10-26 18:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xffe361…
10-26 18:29:51	Suns vs. Thunder	Suns	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xd85820…
10-26 18:22:42	Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 233.5	Over	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd70b2e…
10-26 18:22:41	Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5	Over	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x8513a6…
10-26 18:22:41	W75 Toronto: Michaela Bayerlova vs Theadora Rabman	Michaela Bayerlova	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x0619c8…
10-26 18:16:36	Pacers vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xc8884c…
10-26 18:16:35	Spread: Thunder (-9.5)	Suns	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x588303…
10-26 18:16:35	Guayaquil: Ryan Nijboer vs Lorenzo Claverie	Lorenzo Claverie	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x093a4e…
10-26 17:53:14	Curitiba: Luiza Fullana vs Lourdes Ayala	Luiza Fullana	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x10b722…
10-26 17:41:35	Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xf28c01…
10-26 17:16:32	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x874eed…
10-26 16:34:00	Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5	Under	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x07aba4…
10-26 15:59:27	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x854afe…
10-26 15:45:05	Will XRP reach $1.40 in October?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xb77a06…
10-26 15:45:03	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x5e0b64…
10-26 15:23:56	Spread: Hornets (-1.5)	Wizards	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x68c08f…
10-26 15:12:30	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x15c8bd…
10-26 14:32:36	Spread: Duke (-7.5)	Boston College	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xdbecdf…
10-26 14:23:48	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner	Liquid	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xefce48…
10-26 14:02:20	Spread: Pacers (-4.5)	Bucks	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x48f18a…
10-26 14:02:18	Spread: Heat (-8.5)	Heat	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0e9101…
10-26 14:02:17	Mavericks vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xac459b…
10-26 14:02:17	Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	Liquid	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x10ab04…
10-26 13:53:59	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x871964…
10-26 13:46:42	Spread: Hornets (-2.5)	Hornets	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x8f2eec…
10-26 12:08:12	Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xe58df7…
10-26 11:54:54	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	GamerLegion	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x51ad3f…
10-26 10:25:56	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)	FUT Esports	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x02bfc7…
10-26 09:23:24	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner	GamerLegion	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xc3e3dc…
10-26 08:46:02	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x8c4f71…
10-26 05:05:51	Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x6e5f3f…
10-26 03:44:51	Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xdde25d…
10-26 02:57:18	Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)	Seahawks	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x0d3495…
10-26 02:45:18	Spread: Rockets (-5.5)	Hawks	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x06fc89…
10-26 02:08:20	Grizzlies vs. Kings	Grizzlies	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x0351fe…
10-26 01:57:41	Will CD Tolima win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x454540…
10-26 01:50:15	Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x8819d6…
10-26 00:12:47	Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	Clippers	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x6a7e80…
10-25 22:19:38	Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x672e89…
10-25 22:11:18	Spread: Pacers (-6.5)	Nets	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x5051d9…
10-25 22:04:27	Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)	Raptors	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xfacfff…
10-25 22:04:24	Spread: Raptors (-1.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x33579c…
10-25 21:59:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x7c5239…
10-25 21:59:14	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x859bba…
10-25 21:58:03	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	152	7¢	$10	0xe9c808…
10-25 21:57:53	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	256	4¢	$10	0xf28a73…
10-25 21:56:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x6ba78f…
10-25 21:56:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x247a8c…
10-25 21:55:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x052f0d…
10-25 21:19:30	Spread: Pistons (-2.5)	76ers	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xf51ffc…
10-25 21:19:30	Magic vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xae08bc…
10-25 21:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x68a860…
10-25 20:37:09	Packers vs. Lions	Lions	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x05ddb0…
10-25 20:16:50	Spread: Broncos (-7.5)	Cardinals	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x3b8b74…
10-25 19:05:54	Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)	Movistar KOI	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x48a1ee…
10-25 18:47:50	Bengals vs. Ravens	Bengals	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x7b95a2…
10-25 18:47:47	nba gsw den 2026 10 26 spread home 4pt5	Nuggets	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xea5181…
10-25 18:44:27	Dolphins vs. Jets	Dolphins	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x4bf415…
10-25 18:38:20	Giants vs. Texans	Texans	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xbc00f5…
10-25 18:38:18	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xc7c8ac…
10-25 18:06:44	Pistons vs. 76ers	Pistons	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x86709e…
10-25 17:39:08	Browns vs. Titans	Titans	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x939845…
10-25 17:39:06	Spread: Buccaneers (-9.5)	Buccaneers	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x578683…
10-25 17:09:18	Buccaneers vs. Panthers	Panthers	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x9f8653…
10-25 17:04:57	Colts vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x1d1f64…
10-25 17:04:57	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x040ca9…
10-25 16:45:17	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winner	DENDELE CS	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x5ecbdc…
10-25 16:39:24	Hawks vs. Rockets	Hawks	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xe87dd8…
10-25 16:39:24	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Warriors	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x9c80a5…
10-25 16:18:06	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xe6bfd4…
10-25 15:44:54	Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Astra Invicta (+1.5)	Astra Invicta	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x6d1f30…
10-25 15:44:53	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x52d5cd…
10-25 15:31:02	Spread: Jets (-4.5)	Dolphins	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xfe5233…