Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$175

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

65.4%

Resolved

Trades

254

lifetime

Volume

$7.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-10-07

last 10-26 15:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 32% +$88

Other

49% 45% -$263

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		+77	$10	12¢	$9	-$1	10-20 02:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	5	$1.3K	1,282	1,182	+100	Up	+$703	10-22 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	7	$503	521	421	+100	Up	+$161	10-22 19:50
wti closes above 98 on october 16 2026	3	$470	528	528	+0	Yes	+$270	10-16 17:01
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 20?	11	$412	360	360	+0	No	+$99	10-20 14:14
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on October 20?	8	$239	200	200	+0	Yes	+$91	10-20 15:03
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on October 20?	4	$236	160	160	+0	No	+$72	10-20 15:03
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 23?	10	$226	800	0	+800	Yes	-$226	10-23 06:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	3	$211	195	195	+0	Up	+$31	10-22 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	9	$195	1,540	0	+1,540	Down	-$195	10-22 20:18
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on October 23?	2	$168	1,200	0	+1,200	Yes	-$168	10-23 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	4	$165	149	149	+0	Up	-$5	10-22 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	5	$140	1,390	0	+1,390	Up	-$140	10-24 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$128	79	79	+0	Up	+$28	10-22 18:49
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on October 19?	7	$126	185	185	+0	Yes	+$26	10-19 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	4	$110	753	0	+753	Down	-$110	10-22 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$108	182	62	+119	Up	-$22	10-22 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	5	$105	275	0	+275	Down	-$105	10-22 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$100	149	0	+149	Up	+$49	10-22 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$95	348	0	+348	Down	-$95	10-22 20:14
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on October 23?	2	$94	1,300	0	+1,300	Yes	-$94	10-23 05:28
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on October 20?	2	$93	60	60	+0	No	+$23	10-20 16:47
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 21?	4	$93	160	0	+160	No	+$67	10-21 02:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	4	$86	82	82	+0	Down	+$26	10-22 19:02
wti closes above 96 on october 16 2026	3	$85	78	78	+0	Yes	+$5	10-16 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	5	$85	480	0	+480	Down	-$85	10-22 19:43
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on October 23?	3	$85	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	-$85	10-23 10:41
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on October 19?	2	$79	256	256	+0	Yes	+$19	10-19 05:44
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on October 21?	4	$74	200	0	+200	No	+$126	10-21 02:00
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on October 22?	6	$71	220	0	+220	Yes	-$71	10-22 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$70	161	0	+161	Down	-$70	10-22 19:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 15:44:05	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on October 26?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x59110c…
10-26 06:36:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on October 26?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xcf7d79…
10-24 12:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xf8a479…
10-24 12:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x8a7983…
10-24 12:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xf4e68c…
10-24 12:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x299522…
10-24 12:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x47ef18…
10-23 10:41:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on October 23?	No	BUY	1,714	2¢	$34	0xd32236…
10-23 10:22:09	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on October 23?	No	BUY	286	2¢	$6	0xabbc8b…
10-23 09:51:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on October 23?	No	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0xeb0b96…
10-23 06:36:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 23?	No	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0xf5d0a3…
10-23 06:30:05	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on October 23?	No	BUY	800	13¢	$104	0xff673f…
10-23 05:28:05	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on October 23?	No	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x9e6258…
10-23 02:01:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 23?	No	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0xfaa6e9…
10-23 02:00:51	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on October 23?	No	BUY	1,000	4¢	$45	0x08cb36…
10-23 01:59:15	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 23?	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x935000…
10-23 01:59:11	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 23?	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x473133…
10-23 01:59:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 23?	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x74eaa2…
10-23 01:59:05	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 23?	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x1a659b…
10-23 01:59:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 23?	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x7c167a…
10-23 01:58:57	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 23?	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x55901e…
10-23 01:56:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 23?	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x85e771…
10-23 01:56:33	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on October 23?	No	BUY	400	16¢	$64	0x203289…
10-23 01:55:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 23?	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x60309c…
10-23 01:54:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on October 23?	No	BUY	800	8¢	$64	0xac577c…
10-22 20:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x91c02f…
10-22 20:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x9c3c0d…
10-22 20:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x8d9a36…
10-22 20:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x60aa69…
10-22 20:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x774ca7…
10-22 20:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x7cead6…
10-22 20:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xa377cd…
10-22 20:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x876084…
10-22 20:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	105	29¢	$30	0xab6b07…
10-22 20:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	289	42¢	$120	0x56ca3c…
10-22 20:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x99fac6…
10-22 20:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xf002b0…
10-22 20:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	237	30¢	$70	0x0b1b58…
10-22 20:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x4a0547…
10-22 20:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xa0598d…
10-22 20:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	130	46¢	$60	0x0f7a51…
10-22 20:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0x9517f2…
10-22 20:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x6cfac4…
10-22 20:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xd72efb…
10-22 20:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x61e3a2…
10-22 20:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x5f501e…
10-22 20:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	150	47¢	$70	0x1482d4…
10-22 19:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x0d67ef…
10-22 19:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xa4f059…
10-22 19:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x9b9a90…
10-22 19:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xab582d…
10-22 19:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf106da…
10-22 19:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4ece04…
10-22 19:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	421	79¢	$332	0x532f88…
10-22 19:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xe6e29f…
10-22 19:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xc4decf…
10-22 19:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xc9754b…
10-22 19:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x3254d8…
10-22 19:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	140	43¢	$60	0x4c8f63…
10-22 19:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x69f849…
10-22 19:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	131	8¢	$10	0x151b66…
10-22 19:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xb4e6f4…
10-22 19:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x5e29bc…
10-22 19:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x84b418…
10-22 19:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xd69037…
10-22 19:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xe6338c…
10-22 19:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x5966b9…
10-22 19:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x0c764b…
10-22 19:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	63	63¢	$40	0x63f2e9…
10-22 19:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x8715c5…
10-22 19:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x7b536d…
10-22 19:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	62	68¢	$42	0x952e9a…
10-22 19:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0x4df038…
10-22 19:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	11	85¢	$10	0xda5913…
10-22 19:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x6959c7…
10-22 19:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2dfd9b…
10-22 19:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1,182	85¢	$1,004	0x309c7b…
10-22 19:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0x2b9bb3…
10-22 19:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	252	40¢	$100	0x148ce5…
10-22 19:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x1f61a1…
10-22 19:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	79	25¢	$20	0xe4f799…
10-22 19:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x5424b7…
10-22 19:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	82	68¢	$56	0x6611cc…
10-22 19:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x16ed51…
10-22 19:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x7d2660…
10-22 19:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x445193…
10-22 18:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x6d12d6…
10-22 18:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0x744c95…
10-22 18:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	95	63¢	$60	0xf44ed0…
10-22 18:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	79	98¢	$78	0x426e75…
10-22 18:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xd1f7af…
10-22 18:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	195	62¢	$121	0x94aab9…
10-22 18:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x20399d…
10-22 18:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	121	58¢	$70	0x2921bc…
10-22 18:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	74	76¢	$56	0xbedc5e…
10-22 18:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	74	61¢	$45	0x398ed2…
10-22 18:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	75	31¢	$23	0xe34a89…
10-22 18:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0xa10745…
10-22 18:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x391a0e…
10-22 18:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0x8620c6…