Hard-Premeditation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.51K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

8,168

Trades

12,636

lifetime

Volume

$68.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 05-16 10:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 58% -$3,262

Other

6% 65% -$246

Tech

0% 100% +$3

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 78k on april 11	26	$634	11,358	10,558	+800	No	+$139	04-07 23:55
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	6	$594	4,399	4,399	+0	No	-$6	03-29 09:40
ethereum above 2600 on april 11	3	$422	10,258	0	+10,258	No	-$422	04-08 00:08
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 6	4	$398	2,320	2,160	+160	No	+$198	04-05 23:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 11:30 UTC	5	$379	262	258	+4	Up	+$104	03-21 11:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 05:05 UTC	2	$263	167	165	+2	Up	+$66	02-25 05:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 04:20 UTC	2	$245	158	155	+2	Up	+$47	02-25 04:23
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	2	$241	282	282	+0	Yes	+$41	03-28 16:52
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 11pm et	2	$235	213	209	+3	Up	+$39	03-26 03:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 03:05 UTC	2	$220	179	176	+3	Up	+$22	03-26 03:07
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 21:25 UTC	31	$207	519	517	+2	Down	-$25	03-26 21:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$205	476	476	+0	No	+$5	05-11 22:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 03:00 UTC	2	$185	505	499	+6	Down	-$145	03-26 03:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 03:40 UTC	5	$184	117	115	+2	Down	+$46	03-09 03:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 21:55 UTC	12	$183	164	162	+2	Down	-$16	03-26 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 08:05 UTC	3	$180	132	130	+2	Up	+$80	02-26 08:10
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-29 08:00 UTC	5	$179	280	276	+4	Up	-$28	03-29 11:15
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 01:20 UTC	4	$176	96	96	+1	Down	+$6	04-05 01:25
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 21:25 UTC	11	$174	123	122	+1	Up	+$20	03-26 21:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 03:50 UTC	2	$173	104	103	+1	Up	+$32	02-25 03:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 02:45 UTC	3	$171	779	776	+3	Up	-$69	03-26 02:58
will bitcoin dip to 64k on march 27	4	$166	1,126	1,122	+4	No	-$154	03-27 23:24
bitcoin above 68k on march 29	2	$166	641	638	+3	No	-$34	03-28 09:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 05:55 UTC	6	$164	100	99	+1	Up	+$33	03-28 06:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 13:30 UTC	10	$164	80	101	-21	Down	+$18	02-27 13:36
bitcoin up or down april 4 2026 10pm et	3	$161	174	166	+9	Up	+$60	04-05 02:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:50 UTC	2	$158	114	112	+2	Up	+$48	03-01 11:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 04:15 UTC	2	$158	110	109	+2	Up	+$59	02-25 04:20
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 05:55 UTC	5	$157	100	99	+1	Up	+$40	03-28 06:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 01:25 UTC	3	$156	109	107	+2	Down	+$58	03-15 01:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 10:12:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe33a7e…
05-16 10:10:41	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1a5013…
05-16 10:02:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x8f834e…
05-12 11:02:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xa19c79…
05-12 10:43:49	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x5f200c…
05-12 10:41:55	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1722ce…
05-12 10:35:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf6354c…
05-12 10:35:30	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x073856…
05-12 10:31:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xbb64dd…
05-12 10:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xbd58b9…
05-12 10:29:03	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x12384e…
05-12 10:21:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x53abd5…
05-12 10:16:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf84402…
05-12 10:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x29df7b…
05-12 10:15:31	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x40d408…
05-12 09:52:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xfef0d9…
05-12 08:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3b008f…
05-12 08:35:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xeeeff7…
05-12 08:33:37	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x38f88e…
05-12 08:32:32	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x94385e…
05-12 08:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x5efdd2…
05-12 08:20:31	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xaa47c7…
05-12 08:06:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9649c6…
05-12 07:46:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xac5ef8…
05-12 07:27:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x9ca688…
05-12 07:18:37	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x671a1d…
05-12 07:17:45	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf3c259…
05-12 07:05:32	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x08e1ef…
05-12 06:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4e1cda…
05-12 04:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1a9498…
05-12 04:11:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x923749…
05-12 04:11:38	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x4e0a24…
05-12 03:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x60f6bb…
05-12 02:38:37	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x75a60b…
05-12 02:20:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x84e41e…
05-12 02:20:32	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x567fbb…
05-12 02:08:38	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0f9b60…
05-12 01:46:56	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x73ac65…
05-12 01:41:36	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8c7a5b…
05-12 01:35:32	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2534d4…
05-12 01:35:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd2a918…
05-12 00:57:44	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa2194e…
05-12 00:38:38	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4604e1…
05-12 00:36:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xadb8e5…
05-12 00:36:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x957d8f…
05-12 00:36:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x78f58e…
05-12 00:36:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x38c2e9…
05-12 00:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x50468a…
05-12 00:13:38	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd9447c…
05-12 00:01:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb99e51…
05-11 23:51:40	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf4d804…
05-11 23:47:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x91ca43…
05-11 23:20:38	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa248e4…
05-11 23:16:39	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xaf0a17…
05-11 23:10:31	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x58a2a6…
05-11 23:07:20	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf60c4a…
05-11 23:06:58	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xba0c7f…
05-11 22:40:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	476	22¢	$105	0x6fcba2…
05-11 21:36:20	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	127	9¢	$11	0xfb0b84…
05-11 12:54:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x909e89…
05-11 12:20:43	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	8¢	$10	0xd85f66…
05-11 10:35:31	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x912efc…
05-11 10:27:10	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbe8788…
05-11 10:25:41	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x79d6c9…
05-11 10:23:45	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xaa841f…
05-11 10:13:49	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8f721a…
05-11 10:03:47	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6e0174…
05-11 08:21:49	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3cf79c…
05-11 08:03:40	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2bb207…
05-11 07:59:00	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x924abc…
05-11 07:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xbebe72…
05-11 07:23:41	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa55c1b…
05-11 07:19:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe5e55a…
05-11 07:03:46	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3a1586…
05-11 06:36:52	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4ccf00…
05-11 05:28:37	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xff48e4…
05-11 05:08:42	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc1396b…
05-11 04:48:50	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbedd0b…
05-11 04:47:31	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x931eea…
05-11 04:08:40	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x194357…
05-11 04:04:11	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x27581b…
05-11 04:02:00	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x80d8a3…
05-11 03:58:47	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xaf64d2…
05-11 03:58:47	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2a12cc…
05-11 03:33:47	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x933f63…
05-11 03:24:20	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xaae3f6…
05-11 03:23:42	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5ed2c2…
05-11 03:18:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xbbe2b4…
05-11 02:42:20	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x65e3b8…
05-11 02:41:59	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd8357b…
05-11 02:38:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xdfeb32…
05-11 02:38:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xab4c1b…
05-11 02:38:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x3e9a0d…
05-11 02:35:34	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb96b19…
05-11 02:27:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x56fe57…
05-11 02:27:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0xee0263…
05-11 02:27:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x0f30bf…
05-11 02:04:43	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xdf7364…
05-11 01:55:32	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x73ae4d…
05-11 01:21:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0xa4e1ed…