Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.34K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

60.8%

Resolved

767

Trades

2,309

lifetime

Volume

$75.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$26

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-15 19:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 54% -$930

Politics

31% 42% -$3,060

Other

10% 36% -$2,302

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$48

Sports

0% 67% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+23	$15	68¢	$16	+$1	10-15 13:26
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+14	$10	70¢	$10	$0	10-15 13:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	25	$8.0K	22,559	17,559	+5,000	No	-$3,704	02-03 14:15
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	4	$5.1K	3,015	3,015	+0	Yes	+$330	02-01 05:34
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$4.3K	2,439	2,439	+0	No	+$268	01-30 18:39
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 21:30 UTC	3	$2.6K	1,542	1,536	+6	Down	+$11	01-25 21:44
us strike on somalia by january 31 956	4	$2.6K	3,297	1,298	+1,999	Yes	-$1,120	01-24 21:48
will bitcoin dip to 86k january 19 25	3	$2.4K	2,600	566	+2,034	No	-$1,654	01-25 23:06
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 21:00 UTC	2	$2.1K	1,080	1,080	+0	Up	+$24	01-25 21:16
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 21:00 UTC	2	$2.1K	1,140	1,137	+3	Down	+$129	01-25 21:15
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	1	$2.0K	2,299	0	+2,299	No	+$299	01-22 21:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 13:15 UTC	7	$1.4K	1,549	1,347	+202	Up	+$1,439	02-06 13:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 17:15 UTC	5	$1.3K	1,792	0	+1,792	Down	-$22	01-27 17:28
bitcoin up or down january 25 1pm et	2	$1.2K	626	626	+0	Down	+$60	01-25 18:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 22:00 UTC	1	$1.2K	1,513	0	+1,513	Down	+$344	01-25 22:03
will ethereum dip to 2800 january 19 25	2	$1.1K	639	639	+0	Yes	+$153	01-25 20:18
trumprx launched by january 31 2026	8	$1.0K	939	939	+0	No	-$475	02-01 05:34
trumprx launched by february 28 2026	7	$1.0K	750	750	+0	Yes	-$102	02-01 05:40
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 19:00 UTC	2	$959	545	541	+4	Up	+$117	01-25 19:15
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$888	592	592	+0	No	-$12	01-30 18:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 21:15 UTC	2	$887	1,117	0	+1,117	Up	-$887	01-25 21:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 23:15 UTC	2	$829	2,021	0	+2,021	Up	-$829	01-27 23:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 18:15 UTC	4	$763	448	444	+5	Down	+$128	01-25 18:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 06:30 UTC	2	$757	410	409	+1	Up	+$53	01-25 06:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 06:45 UTC	7	$757	773	457	+317	Down	+$111	01-25 07:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 16:45 UTC	11	$712	1,203	278	+925	Up	-$239	01-25 16:52
will the us next strike iran on january 24 2026 et 848	2	$661	346	346	+0	No	+$31	01-25 06:08
Will the US strike Somalia next?	2	$659	353	353	+0	Yes	+$47	01-30 00:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 17:00 UTC	4	$638	340	339	+1	Down	+$39	01-25 17:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 11:00 UTC	3	$615	697	0	+697	Down	+$82	01-25 11:11
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-03 17:00 UTC	24	$574	869	649	+220	Down	+$93	02-03 20:59
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	2	$525	310	310	+0	Yes	+$85	01-29 19:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 19:02:13	will ukraine target moscow on october 15 2026	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa242b0…
10-15 13:28:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x27928f…
10-15 13:28:53	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x7a9829…
10-15 13:28:50	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb212d5…
10-15 13:27:07	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x9f6405…
10-15 13:26:20	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xd8f684…
10-15 13:23:52	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x579f69…
10-15 13:23:40	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xeb0bed…
10-15 13:23:28	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7d26c3…
10-15 13:23:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x9e7923…
10-15 13:17:56	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7865dd…
10-15 13:17:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x086285…
10-15 13:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe3f869…
10-15 13:12:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x623753…
10-15 13:12:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x90d523…
10-15 13:08:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf7ece2…
10-15 13:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x94d8b6…
10-15 13:04:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9d9ca6…
10-15 13:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1c45cc…
10-15 13:01:16	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x415d39…
10-15 13:01:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbd3b20…
10-15 12:56:31	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1e850c…
10-15 12:56:23	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5ce81f…
10-15 12:52:46	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x743285…
10-15 12:51:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x39878c…
10-15 12:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x059355…
10-15 12:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8a1de7…
10-15 12:46:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0ee405…
10-15 12:44:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe0c0c3…
10-15 12:42:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8c05e8…
10-15 12:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x657543…
03-31 09:29:43	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x415b25…
03-04 18:25:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0xe9c1c7…
03-02 16:56:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	556	0¢	$1	0x56e2e1…
03-01 18:35:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0x1f920b…
03-01 18:34:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x169574…
03-01 18:32:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc2dc12…
03-01 18:24:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6f5569…
03-01 18:15:25	will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	No	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x024133…
03-01 18:15:11	will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	No	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xaff817…
03-01 18:15:05	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	No	BUY	169	6¢	$10	0x759403…
03-01 18:14:59	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	No	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x3aeaec…
02-28 21:49:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	556	3¢	$15	0xee08a8…
02-28 21:46:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x3e0df9…
02-20 20:00:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1,100	1¢	$11	0xf38d0e…
02-20 19:58:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0xd02f5e…
02-20 19:56:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf928e0…
02-20 19:56:00	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x4b8fdb…
02-20 19:54:50	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xcd27cf…
02-20 19:54:24	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xb87772…
02-20 19:50:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x881e3b…
02-20 19:50:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa9dde9…
02-20 19:49:32	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x89e8d2…
02-20 19:49:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x3196cb…
02-20 19:49:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x6d8e51…
02-20 19:16:08	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x661248…
02-20 19:15:56	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xbf54ff…
02-20 19:15:48	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa7009e…
02-20 19:15:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xaccac8…
02-20 19:15:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xd7f678…
02-20 19:15:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x920ac4…
02-20 19:15:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6f065b…
02-20 19:11:26	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 19:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xe40179…
02-20 19:11:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 19:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x30f589…
02-20 19:11:02	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 19:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xace5d8…
02-20 19:06:28	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x51a3bb…
02-20 19:06:22	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x291cad…
02-20 19:06:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2e7a24…
02-20 19:06:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xa7c31a…
02-20 19:02:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb81f5a…
02-20 19:01:48	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x7f0c15…
02-20 19:01:40	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x3e03fc…
02-20 19:01:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x3c45e7…
02-20 19:01:22	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x372797…
02-20 19:01:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x81de48…
02-20 19:01:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x732ec8…
02-20 18:58:58	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xe80a5b…
02-20 18:58:54	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x4a7535…
02-20 18:58:50	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x7c5ce9…
02-20 18:58:10	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x309791…
02-20 18:58:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xcbaf24…
02-20 18:58:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xfcfec9…
02-20 18:31:38	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 18:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe78dcc…
02-20 18:30:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x09fe97…
02-20 18:30:02	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x28affc…
02-20 18:22:42	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8a8442…
02-20 18:22:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x530be9…
02-20 18:22:10	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xb203a7…
02-20 18:22:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x161ede…
02-20 16:01:56	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xf9f46b…
02-20 16:01:48	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xfb5e1f…
02-20 16:01:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf0c9a9…
02-20 16:00:26	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4b9357…
02-20 16:00:26	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0a3c4c…
02-20 16:00:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:55 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x30f127…
02-20 15:59:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x42b62b…
02-20 15:56:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9a6b15…
02-20 15:56:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x0d04b2…
02-20 15:55:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xc2f359…
02-20 15:55:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x92d9d9…