Ironclad-Cattle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$216

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

226

lifetime

Volume

$101.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$450

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-04

last 06-05 23:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 100% +$216

Other

12% — —

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		-4	$-4	86¢	$-4	$-0	06-05 23:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	37	$23.8K	11,278	12,678	-1,400	Yes	+$79	05-12 14:13
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	10	$12.6K	6,407	6,405	+2	open	—	03-11 04:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	6	$7.7K	3,884	3,884	+0	No	+$31	05-13 10:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	5	$7.2K	3,622	3,622	+0	No	+$7	05-10 08:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	20	$7.2K	4,630	2,630	+2,000	No	+$21	05-10 15:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	13	$7.2K	3,593	3,593	+0	No	+$7	05-09 07:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	26	$7.2K	3,585	3,585	+0	No	+$7	05-08 08:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	4	$5.4K	3,645	1,765	+1,880	Yes	+$9	05-11 09:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	25	$5.1K	3,770	1,441	+2,329	No	+$44	05-12 07:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	11	$5.0K	2,537	2,537	+0	open	—	05-14 14:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	13	$4.5K	1,462	3,103	-1,641	open	—	05-14 14:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	8	$3.5K	1,771	1,735	+36	Yes	+$6	05-13 14:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	5	$3.0K	1,523	1,523	+0	No	+$4	05-13 15:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	11	$2.2K	1,154	1,154	+0	open	—	05-13 13:32
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	03-02 18:40
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	02-14 15:39
bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-05 04:53
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$7	6	1	+5	open	—	04-17 02:50
kraken ipo by march 31 2026	1	$7	0	8	-8	open	—	02-22 14:43
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	02-20 16:20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	03-24 11:40
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-08 00:39
Will Solana reach $100 April 20-26?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-23 02:15
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-18 14:28
will solana reach 110 in march 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	03-27 01:40
Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	04-19 09:06
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-11 01:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$4	0	4	-4	open	—	06-05 23:20
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	2	$3	3	1	+3	open	—	03-14 14:16
will bitcoin dip to 68k on march 19	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-19 23:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 23:20:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	4	85¢	$4	0xbcf124…
05-14 17:27:48	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6cc43f…
05-14 14:39:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	917	100¢	$914	0x866115…
05-14 14:12:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	2,363	99¢	$2,344	0xe326f4…
05-14 14:08:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	740	99¢	$734	0xa66047…
05-14 13:57:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	917	100¢	$912	0x999011…
05-14 11:20:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x269e27…
05-14 11:20:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	690	99¢	$685	0x3945f8…
05-14 09:21:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x544f4c…
05-14 09:18:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	537	98¢	$527	0x0768b0…
05-14 09:07:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	158	98¢	$155	0xe58c09…
05-14 03:25:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	130	98¢	$127	0x472ace…
05-14 03:22:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x0afb66…
05-14 02:50:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	770	98¢	$756	0x825eea…
05-14 00:29:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	920	98¢	$897	0x30c899…
05-13 23:49:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x6513e8…
05-13 23:44:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x841a03…
05-13 23:22:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x07c28e…
05-13 23:06:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	123	86¢	$106	0x5884ac…
05-13 22:54:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	80	86¢	$69	0x001593…
05-13 15:01:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	1,118	100¢	$1,117	0x86181e…
05-13 14:35:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	711	100¢	$709	0x633a4f…
05-13 14:25:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	715	99¢	$711	0x4fb24f…
05-13 14:05:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	407	100¢	$406	0x739a47…
05-13 14:04:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	405	100¢	$404	0xd980da…
05-13 13:41:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	405	99¢	$402	0xe08530…
05-13 13:36:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	690	99¢	$685	0xf77bfe…
05-13 13:32:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	1,011	98¢	$988	0xfc86d5…
05-13 13:31:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	105	98¢	$103	0x84df01…
05-13 12:51:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe8759c…
05-13 12:42:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x350904…
05-13 12:42:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x035cb5…
05-13 12:42:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x03b573…
05-13 12:33:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0xd4ecae…
05-13 12:33:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x8dc0fa…
05-13 12:29:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x420552…
05-13 12:24:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xad1a56…
05-13 11:50:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0xfc04c5…
05-13 11:50:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc7ac9b…
05-13 10:48:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0xca9b43…
05-13 09:48:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x7e5aff…
05-13 07:04:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf10a8b…
05-13 06:34:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	249	96¢	$239	0x5cad9a…
05-13 05:46:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	751	96¢	$724	0xc752db…
05-13 05:02:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	107	96¢	$103	0xd0cd48…
05-13 03:29:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x91c05d…
05-13 03:29:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	680	95¢	$645	0x67e6f7…
05-13 03:29:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	465	95¢	$441	0xc3fd4a…
05-13 01:31:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	1,000	99¢	$993	0xd14643…
05-13 00:53:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xf4554f…
05-13 00:34:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$989	0x393d47…
05-13 00:25:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4b784a…
05-13 00:16:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	1,654	99¢	$1,644	0x1f3f65…
05-13 00:06:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$994	0xa4df9d…
05-13 00:05:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	1,146	99¢	$1,139	0x37f69c…
05-12 22:51:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	3,800	99¢	$3,747	0xcebdb7…
05-12 14:13:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	1,788	100¢	$1,784	0x1bada1…
05-12 13:41:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1,788	100¢	$1,781	0x3e61ae…
05-12 13:11:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	2,660	100¢	$2,655	0x2b60ab…
05-12 13:04:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	1,130	100¢	$1,127	0x47c221…
05-12 12:35:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1,130	99¢	$1,120	0x4ef19e…
05-12 09:27:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	660	99¢	$651	0x8775a9…
05-12 09:27:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0x28ae0d…
05-12 09:21:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	394	99¢	$389	0xb5afb7…
05-12 07:31:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x7bdd56…
05-12 07:27:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcb462a…
05-12 07:26:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x3d54a0…
05-12 07:23:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xb05f31…
05-12 07:21:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x7900da…
05-12 07:19:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1,100	99¢	$1,091	0xab6fed…
05-12 07:16:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x55fe68…
05-12 07:16:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xe2a096…
05-12 07:13:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$71	0x6a3f3a…
05-12 07:12:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	72	99¢	$72	0x6beaae…
05-12 07:12:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	72	99¢	$72	0x161287…
05-12 07:11:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	72	99¢	$72	0xf7bc53…
05-12 07:09:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$71	0x4467fd…
05-12 07:08:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x992680…
05-12 07:07:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x80d5aa…
05-12 07:07:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	73	99¢	$73	0xf1576b…
05-12 07:06:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	73	99¢	$73	0x246068…
05-12 07:05:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$71	0x485d8c…
05-12 07:05:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$71	0xc6d878…
05-12 07:04:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	506	99¢	$503	0xb3f6b5…
05-12 03:16:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	3,200	99¢	$3,158	0xd0d9c1…
05-12 03:07:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x979d8f…
05-12 03:04:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	1,862	99¢	$1,849	0x0238cb…
05-12 02:55:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x775579…
05-12 02:54:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x9f12e6…
05-12 02:49:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x7b0d97…
05-12 02:42:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	1,070	99¢	$1,063	0xfb37c1…
05-12 02:30:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x721ff9…
05-12 02:25:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	285	98¢	$280	0xbe9ddd…
05-12 02:23:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x3c3f11…
05-12 02:22:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x4e8217…
05-12 02:21:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x60e85f…
05-12 02:18:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	122	98¢	$120	0xf2faac…
05-12 02:17:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	83	98¢	$82	0x2de247…
05-12 02:05:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0xd7cab0…
05-12 02:05:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x66571f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	33	$175.5K	3,551	06-07 10:40
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	27	$1.82K	437	05-18 12:01
Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f	24	$875	427	05-13 18:08
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	20	$30.6K	265	06-08 20:14
Powerless-Product 0xf961…34dd	20	$721	73	05-18 05:33
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	19	$62.9K	390	06-07 01:17
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	19	$17.3K	2,167	03-28 06:14
Vengeful-Netsuke 0x5cd5…ac33	18	$165.1K	308	05-13 17:21